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11.10.2026 20:00
Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez
Referee: Nicolas Ramirez
Platense
Match Timeline
Argentinos JRS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
Diego Rodrigo Porcel
Argentinos JRS
🟨
15'
Facundo Carrizo
Argentinos JRS
🟨
35'
Mateo Mendía
Platense
🟨
51'
Sebastián Prieto
Argentinos JRS
🔄
63'
Maximiliano Amarfil ↔ Ivan Gómez
Platense
🔄
63'
Guido Mainero ↔ Franco Zapiola Yamartino
Platense
🔄
63'
Bruno Christian Sepulveda ↔ Gonzalo Lencina
Platense
🔄
65'
Gastón Verón ↔ Hernan Lopez
Argentinos JRS
⚽
70'
Franco Zapiola Yamartino
Platense
🟨
73'
Ivan Gómez
Platense
🟨
74'
Kevin Retamar
Platense
🔄
82'
Facundo Carrizo ↔ César Gabriel Florentín
Argentinos JRS
🔄
82'
Sebastián Prieto ↔ Claudio Bravo
Argentinos JRS
🔄
82'
Bautista Merlini ↔ Augusto Lotti
Platense
🔄
88'
Tomas Molina ↔ Kevin Coronel
Argentinos JRS
🔄
88'
Diego Rodrigo Porcel ↔ Matías Giménez
Argentinos JRS

Platense vs Argentinos JRS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.5%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 2.89
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.5%
1.40 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
2.20 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
2.89 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.56 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
13.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Platense Win 45.7%
Draw 5.5%
Argentinos JRS Win 48.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Platense0.83
Argentinos JRS1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Platense Platense
WWDLW
35 GF / 44 GA
Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS
WLDWL
38 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
19
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
10
3.76
Shots on Goal
4.84

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Platense Platense 41 matches
Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS 33 matches
Platense Statistic Argentinos JRS
11 Wins 17
16 Draws 10
14 Losses 6
35 Goals For 38
44 Goals Against 26
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
19 BTTS Yes 15
25 Over 1.5 20
13 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 3
12 Clean Sheets 14
17 Failed To Score 8
3.76 Shots On Goal 4.84
11.86 Total Shots 13.75
4.38 Corners 5.59
48.9% Ball Possession 62.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Argentinos JRS's more proactive style and Platense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Platense expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Argentinos JRS in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Argentinos JRS having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Argentinos JRS. Platense have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Argentinos JRS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 29 points while Platense sit 12 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Platense Analysis

Platense sit 12 with 16 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats with a 10:15 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on B. Merlini (3 goals), F. Zapiola (2 goals), N. Retamar (2 goals), with creative support from F. Zapiola (2 assists), B. Merlini (1 assists), N. Retamar (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Argentinos JRS Analysis

Argentinos JRS come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 29 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, while the 17:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on G. Verón (5 goals), T. Molina (4 goals), Alan Lescano (4 goals), with creative support from T. Molina (3 assists), S. Prieto (3 assists), N. Oroz (3 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Platense won 3 times, Argentinos JRS won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:8 from Platense's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.36 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
Predicted formations: Platense 4-2-3-1 / Argentinos JRS 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Platense wins 3, draws 4, Argentinos JRS wins 4

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
D W L W L
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
D W W W D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
D W D W D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L L W L D
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
L W D W L
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
D W W W L
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
L L D W L
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L L L L W
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
D W W W L
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
W W D W L
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
L D L D W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
D L L D L
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
D D D L L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D W D D D
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
D D L D D
Knockout Phase