FINLAND YKKöNEN
--.--.---- --:--
FT
2 - 2
Kalevan Urheilupuisto
PKKU
Match Timeline
TPV
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
E. Riikonen
TPV
🟨
30'
J. Sivunen
PKKU
🟨
41'
A. Musa
PKKU
🟨
45'
J. Norss
PKKU
🔄
46'
A. Musa ↔ V. Azemi
PKKU
🔄
46'
J. Mattila ↔ K. Kylen
TPV
🟨
49'
S. Pitkakoski
TPV
56'
T. Toijala
TPV
🟨
57'
E. Riikonen
TPV
🔄
62'
J. Norss ↔ S. Tiainen
PKKU
🔄
62'
J. Sivunen ↔ A. Marjo
PKKU
🟨
63'
A. Kujala
TPV
🔄
69'
I. Karsama ↔ L. Azhar
PKKU
🔄
70'
R. Kostiainen ↔ L. Jadama
TPV
🔄
70'
A. Kujala ↔ S. Sipila
TPV
76'
L. Azhar
PKKU
🔄
80'
E. Riikonen ↔ T. Ylinen
TPV
84'
H. Toivonen
PKKU
🔄
86'
T. Toijala ↔ E. Maentakanen
TPV
🟨
87'
R. Makila
PKKU
🟥
90+1'
T. Ylinen
TPV

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.9%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
PKKU Win 84.9%
Draw 7.5%
TPV Win 7.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
PKKU1.84
TPV1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
PKKU PKKU
WWDLW
16 GF / 10 GA
TPV TPV
WLDWL
19 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.93
4
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

PKKU PKKU 9 matches
TPV TPV 15 matches
PKKU Statistic TPV
4 Wins 3
2 Draws 4
3 Losses 8
16 Goals For 19
10 Goals Against 29
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.93
4 BTTS Yes 9
8 Over 1.5 12
5 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around PKKU's more proactive style and TPV's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring TPV. PKKU arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 14 points compared to TPV in 11 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward TPV having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

PKKU Analysis

So far, PKKU have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 14 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 16:10 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on H. Toivonen (5 goals), J. Sivunen (3 goals), O. Niemi (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

TPV Analysis

So far, TPV have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 6 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 9:19 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by A. Kujala (2 goals), O. Rattari (2 goals), B. Ozcelik (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, PKKU won 2 times, TPV won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from PKKU's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.5%)
H2H summary: PKKU wins 2, draws 1, TPV wins 1

Lineups

PKKU
Formation
TPV
O. Tikkanen
O. Tikkanen
O. Niemela
O. Niemela
R. Makila
R. Makila
I. Karsama
I. Karsama
J. Sivunen
J. Sivunen
H. Toivonen
H. Toivonen
J. Norss
J. Norss
N. Lokake
N. Lokake
A. Barraza
A. Barraza
A. Musa
A. Musa
O. Minkkinen
O. Minkkinen
J. Pazio
J. Pazio
A. Kujala
A. Kujala
B. Ozcelik
B. Ozcelik
R. Kostiainen
R. Kostiainen
V. Anttila
V. Anttila
E. Riikonen
E. Riikonen
J. Venemies
J. Venemies
J. Mattila
J. Mattila
S. Pitkakoski
S. Pitkakoski
T. Toijala
T. Toijala
V. Veltti
V. Veltti
PKKU 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
56
O. Tikkanen
4
O. Niemela
5
R. Makila
🟨 87'
10
I. Karsama
↓ 69'
13
J. Sivunen
↓ 62' 🟨 30'
15
H. Toivonen
⚽ 84'
16
J. Norss
↓ 62' 🟨 45'
19
N. Lokake
28
A. Barraza
31
A. Musa
↓ 46' 🟨 41'
9
O. Minkkinen
Substitutes
1
R. Barton
6
V. Azemi
↑ 46'
7
M. Ahmed
17
S. Tiainen
↑ 62'
21
A. Marjo
↑ 62'
23
R. Kortelainen
29
L. Azhar
⚽ 76' ↑ 69'
TPV 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Pazio
7
A. Kujala
↓ 70' 🟨 63'
8
B. Ozcelik
11
R. Kostiainen
↓ 70'
16
V. Anttila
18
E. Riikonen
⚽ 15' ↓ 80' 🟨 57'
22
J. Venemies
25
J. Mattila
↓ 46'
26
S. Pitkakoski
🟨 49'
27
T. Toijala
⚽ 56' ↓ 86'
77
V. Veltti
Substitutes
12
N. Pienmunne
9
E. Maentakanen
↑ 86'
15
E. Bullock
19
M. Akbal
20
L. Jadama
↑ 70'
33
K. Kylen
↑ 46'
34
S. Sipila
↑ 70'
56
T. Ylinen
↑ 80' 🟥 90+1'
Last matches: PKKU
06.06.26
Ykk
PKKU
JJK
3
1
W
29.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
KuPS Akatemia
3
0
W
24.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
Inter Turku II
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
Tampere United
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
SalPa
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
PKKU
OLS
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ykk
PKKU
Rops
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
PKKU
FC jazz
5
1
W
04.04.26
Ykk
PKKU
KPV-j
2
2
D
Last matches: TPV
06.06.26
Ykk
TPV
Inter Turku II
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Tampere United
0
3
L
23.05.26
Ykk
TPV
SalPa
2
4
L
16.05.26
Ykk
TPV
OLS
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Rops
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ykk
TPV
FC jazz
0
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ykk
TPV
VJS
3
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
TPV
JäPS
0
1
L
22.03.26
Fri
TPV
Haka
1
3
L
22.02.26
Fri
TPV
Tampere United
4
2
W
25.01.26
Fri
TPV
Atlantis
3
2
W
18.01.26
Fri
TPV
JJK
2
2
D
H2H: PKKU vs TPV
14.06.26
H2H
PKKU
TPV
2
2
D
27.09.15
H2H
PKKU
TPV
2
0
W
01.09.15
H2H
PKKU
TPV
0
1
L
02.08.15
H2H
TPV
PKKU
0
1
W
Last matches: PKKU
29.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
KuPS Akatemia
3
0
W
02.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
SalPa
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
PKKU
Rops
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ykk
PKKU
KPV-j
2
2
D
H2H at home: PKKU
14.06.26
H2H
PKKU
TPV
2
2
D
27.09.15
H2H
PKKU
TPV
2
0
W
01.09.15
H2H
PKKU
TPV
0
1
L
Last matches: TPV
23.05.26
Ykk
TPV
SalPa
2
4
L
09.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Rops
0
1
L
24.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
TPV
JäPS
0
1
L
22.03.26
Fri
TPV
Haka
1
3
L
22.02.26
Fri
TPV
Tampere United
4
2
W
H2H away: TPV
14.06.26
H2H
PKKU
TPV
2
2
D
27.09.15
H2H
PKKU
TPV
2
0
L
01.09.15
H2H
PKKU
TPV
0
1
W

Standings

Ykkonen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 9 1 2 25:6 19 28
W W W W W
2 13 7 3 3 35:21 14 24
W W L D W
3 11 6 3 2 22:10 12 21
W L D W L
4 12 6 3 3 23:13 10 21
L W D L L
5 11 5 3 3 24:20 4 18
W L W W D
6
PKKU Home
10 4 3 3 18:12 6 15
D W W L D
7 12 5 2 5 14:19 -5 14
L D D L W
8 10 3 4 3 17:12 5 13
L D D W W
9 12 3 3 6 22:36 -14 12
L D D L W
10 11 2 1 8 16:25 -9 7
L W L L L
11
TPV Away
11 1 4 6 11:21 -10 7
D D L L D
12 11 1 2 8 9:41 -32 5
L L W L L
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Ykkonen (Relegation Group)