FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
FT
2 - 1
Markku.fi Areena
Referee: K. Nummela
PK-35
Match Timeline
MP
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
J. Pikkuhookana
PK-35
🟨
7'
M. Kastrati
MP
9'
J. Pikkuhookana
PK-35
31'
S. Saidy
MP
🔄
33'
A. Chishima ↔ S. Seppanen
MP
🟨
55'
K. Rasanen
PK-35
🔄
64'
J. Pikkuhookana ↔ P. Diniz
PK-35
🔄
64'
J. Costa ↔ M. Tolonen
PK-35
🔄
68'
R. Kawale ↔ V. Janhunen
MP
🔄
75'
I. Sadik ↔ O. Salmensuu
PK-35
🟨
83'
T. Andberg
PK-35
🔄
86'
E. Kawakita ↔ A. Forsstrom
PK-35
🔄
87'
A. Tervaniemi ↔ K. Sundberg
MP
90'
P. Diniz
PK-35

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.2%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
PK-35 Win 54.2%
Draw 16.1%
MP Win 29.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
PK-351.33
MP1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
PK-35 PK-35
WWDLW
25 GF / 14 GA
MP MP
WLDWL
20 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.18
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
6
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

PK-35 PK-35 18 matches
MP MP 17 matches
PK-35 Statistic MP
8 Wins 7
5 Draws 2
5 Losses 8
25 Goals For 20
14 Goals Against 21
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
6 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by PK-35's more proactive style and MP's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward MP. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward MP having the stronger overall control. PK-35 arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 21 points compared to MP in 7 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

PK-35 Analysis

PK-35 approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 21 points after 11 outings. With 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 16:6, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by I. Sadik (5 goals), E. Pitkala (3 goals), P. Diniz (3 goals), with creative support from E. Kawakita (3 assists), E. Pitkala (2 assists), J. Pikkuhookana (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

MP Analysis

So far, MP have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 13 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, while the 9:12 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on S. Saidy (3 goals), A. Traore (1 goals), E. Ylonen (1 goals), with creative support from E. Ylonen (2 assists), M. Kastrati (1 assists), P. Kerminen (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, PK-35 won 8 times, MP won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:14 from PK-35's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.9%)
H2H summary: PK-35 wins 8, draws 2, MP wins 4

Lineups

PK-35
Formation
MP
A. Ramula
A. Ramula
R. Sipi
R. Sipi
J. Costa
J. Costa
I. Sadik
I. Sadik
E. Kawakita
E. Kawakita
J. Tapani
J. Tapani
E. Pitkala
E. Pitkala
K. Rasanen
K. Rasanen
S. Uchiyama
S. Uchiyama
T. Andberg
T. Andberg
J. Pikkuhookana
J. Pikkuhookana
J. Uronen
J. Uronen
V. Laiho
V. Laiho
T. Afshari
T. Afshari
A. Chishima
A. Chishima
E. Ylonen
E. Ylonen
S. Saidy
S. Saidy
R. Kawale
R. Kawale
A. Tervaniemi
A. Tervaniemi
S. Atakayi
S. Atakayi
M. Kastrati
M. Kastrati
A. Traore
A. Traore
PK-35 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Ramula
2
R. Sipi
8
J. Costa
↓ 64'
9
I. Sadik
↓ 75'
14
E. Kawakita
↓ 86'
15
J. Tapani
18
E. Pitkala
21
K. Rasanen
🟨 55'
23
S. Uchiyama
34
T. Andberg
🟨 83'
88
J. Pikkuhookana
⚽ 9' ↓ 64' 🟨 6'
Substitutes
12
D. Azabani
25
A. Kivela
3
A. Forsstrom
↑ 86'
7
P. Diniz
⚽ 90' ↑ 64'
10
O. Salmensuu
↑ 75'
19
M. Tolonen
↑ 64'
22
L. Lokake
24
N. Ndaziramiye
MP 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
22
J. Uronen
4
V. Laiho
6
T. Afshari
7
A. Chishima
↓ 33'
10
E. Ylonen
20
S. Saidy
⚽ 31'
24
R. Kawale
↓ 68'
28
A. Tervaniemi
↓ 87'
45
S. Atakayi
87
M. Kastrati
🟨 7'
97
A. Traore
Substitutes
1
S. Wilson
11
O. Hayhanen
13
V. Karttunen
15
S. Stenius
17
S. Seppanen
↑ 33'
19
V. Janhunen
↑ 68'
21
K. Sundberg
↑ 87'
Last matches: PK-35
04.07.26
Ykk
PK-35
EIF
3
0
W
12.06.26
Ykk
PK-35
JäPS
5
0
W
31.05.26
Ykk
PK-35
Klubi-04
1
1
D
27.05.26
Ykk
PK-35
Klubi-04
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ykk
PK-35
JIPPO
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ykk
PK-35
KäPa
0
0
D
07.05.26
Ykk
PK-35
MP
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ykk
PK-35
JäPS
0
1
L
24.04.26
Ykk
PK-35
Kooteepee
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ykk
PK-35
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ykk
PK-35
Haka
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ykk
PK-35
EIF
4
2
W
27.03.26
Fri
PK-35
Turku PS
0
1
L
21.03.26
Fri
PK-35
Gnistan
0
2
L
20.03.26
Fri
PK-35
Klubi-04
2
2
D
13.03.26
Fri
PK-35
MP
2
0
W
04.02.26
Fri
PK-35
Inter Turku
3
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
PK-35
JäPS
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
PK-35
Laagri
1
1
D
Last matches: MP
05.07.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
2
1
W
14.06.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
1
0
W
22.05.26
Ykk
MP
JäPS
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ykk
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
07.05.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
3
L
02.05.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
1
0
W
24.04.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ykk
MP
KäPa
0
1
L
10.04.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
MP
JJK
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
MP
Ilves
0
2
L
13.03.26
Fri
MP
PK-35
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
MP
MyPa
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
MP
PEPO
4
2
W
10.01.26
Fri
MP
Atlantis
4
1
W
H2H: PK-35 vs MP
26.06.26
H2H
PK-35
MP
2
1
W
07.05.26
H2H
PK-35
MP
3
1
W
13.03.26
H2H
PK-35
MP
2
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
PK-35
MP
1
0
W
06.07.24
H2H
PK-35
MP
1
2
L
05.05.24
H2H
MP
PK-35
0
0
D
03.02.24
H2H
PK-35
MP
1
3
L
10.09.22
H2H
MP
PK-35
1
0
L
31.07.22
H2H
MP
PK-35
1
2
W
29.05.22
H2H
PK-35
MP
2
0
W
03.10.21
H2H
MP
PK-35
2
3
W
19.09.21
H2H
PK-35
MP
3
1
W
01.09.21
H2H
MP
PK-35
1
1
D
29.04.21
H2H
MP
PK-35
1
0
L
Last matches: PK-35
31.05.26
Ykk
PK-35
Klubi-04
1
1
D
07.05.26
Ykk
PK-35
MP
3
1
W
24.04.26
Ykk
PK-35
Kooteepee
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ykk
PK-35
Haka
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ykk
PK-35
EIF
4
2
W
13.03.26
Fri
PK-35
MP
2
0
W
H2H at home: PK-35
26.06.26
H2H
PK-35
MP
2
1
W
07.05.26
H2H
PK-35
MP
3
1
W
13.03.26
H2H
PK-35
MP
2
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
PK-35
MP
1
0
W
06.07.24
H2H
PK-35
MP
1
2
L
03.02.24
H2H
PK-35
MP
1
3
L
29.05.22
H2H
PK-35
MP
2
0
W
19.09.21
H2H
PK-35
MP
3
1
W
Last matches: MP
06.06.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
0
1
L
22.05.26
Ykk
MP
JäPS
2
0
W
07.05.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
3
L
24.04.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
1
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
MP
Ilves
0
2
L
13.03.26
Fri
MP
PK-35
0
2
L
H2H away: MP
26.06.26
H2H
PK-35
MP
2
1
L
07.05.26
H2H
PK-35
MP
3
1
L
13.03.26
H2H
PK-35
MP
2
0
L
19.10.24
H2H
PK-35
MP
1
0
L
06.07.24
H2H
PK-35
MP
1
2
W
03.02.24
H2H
PK-35
MP
1
3
W
29.05.22
H2H
PK-35
MP
2
0
L
19.09.21
H2H
PK-35
MP
3
1
L

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 9 2 2 21:13 8 29
D W W L W
2
PK-35 Home
13 8 3 2 21:7 14 27
W W W D W
3 13 6 3 4 21:14 7 21
L L W W L
4 13 5 6 2 17:10 7 21
D D W D L
5 13 6 1 6 12:19 -7 19
W L L W L
6
MP Away
13 5 1 7 12:15 -3 16
W L D L W
7 13 5 1 7 20:26 -6 16
L D L W L
8 12 4 3 5 14:17 -3 15
W L L W L
9 12 1 5 6 10:14 -4 8
W D D L L
10 13 1 3 9 4:17 -13 6
L L L D L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen