FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
FT
3 - 1
Markku.fi Areena
Referee: M. Haapakoski
PK-35
Match Timeline
MP
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
35'
S. Seppanen ↔ M. Kastrati
MP
54'
E. Pitkala · Assist: J. Tapani
PK-35
58'
P. Diniz · Assist: S. Uchiyama
PK-35
🔄
62'
E. Ylonen ↔ S. Stenius
MP
🔄
62'
T. Afshari ↔ A. Tervaniemi
MP
🔄
62'
S. Atakayi ↔ P. Kerminen
MP
🟨
64'
A. Tervaniemi
MP
🔄
70'
E. Pitkala ↔ M. Tolonen
PK-35
🔄
70'
M. Al Sheikh ↔ V. Karttunen
MP
🔄
79'
I. Sadik ↔ O. Salmensuu
PK-35
79'
I. Sadik · Assist: K. Rasanen
PK-35
🟨
82'
J. Nakanishi
PK-35
🔄
84'
E. Kawakita ↔ A. Abdi
PK-35
🔄
84'
J. Nakanishi ↔ J. Costa
PK-35
🟨
85'
O. Salmensuu
PK-35
🔄
85'
P. Diniz ↔ A. Goshnaw
PK-35
90'
V. Karttunen · Assist: P. Kerminen
MP

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 71.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 84%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
71.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
84%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
PK-35 Win 71.3%
Draw 7.6%
MP Win 21.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
PK-351.14
MP1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
PK-35 PK-35
WWDLW
14 GF / 12 GA
MP MP
WLDWL
13 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
4
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

PK-35 PK-35 12 matches
MP MP 11 matches
PK-35 Statistic MP
4 Wins 5
3 Draws 1
5 Losses 5
14 Goals For 13
12 Goals Against 12
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
4 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with PK-35's more proactive style and MP's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward MP having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring MP. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. MP arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

PK-35 Analysis

PK-35 come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 7 points from 5 matches. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 5:4 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Sadik (2 goals), P. Diniz (2 goals), S. Uchiyama (1 goals), with creative support from E. Kawakita (2 assists), E. Pitkala (1 assists), J. Nakanishi (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

MP Analysis

With 6 points from 5 games and a place of 6, MP still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 2:3 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on N. Forsell (1 goals), S. Atakayi (1 goals), with creative support from M. Kastrati (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, PK-35 won 8 times, MP won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:14 from PK-35's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
H2H summary: PK-35 wins 8, draws 2, MP wins 4

Lineups

PK-35
Formation
MP
A. Ramula
A. Ramula
R. Sipi
R. Sipi
A. Forsstrom
A. Forsstrom
J. Nakanishi
J. Nakanishi
P. Diniz
P. Diniz
I. Sadik
I. Sadik
E. Kawakita
E. Kawakita
J. Tapani
🎯
J. Tapani
E. Pitkala
E. Pitkala
K. Rasanen
🎯
K. Rasanen
S. Uchiyama
🎯
S. Uchiyama
V. Laiho
V. Laiho
T. Afshari
T. Afshari
A. Chishima
A. Chishima
M. Al Sheikh
M. Al Sheikh
E. Ylonen
E. Ylonen
S. Seppanen
S. Seppanen
V. Janhunen
V. Janhunen
S. Saidy
S. Saidy
J. Uronen
J. Uronen
A. Traore
A. Traore
S. Atakayi
S. Atakayi
PK-35 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Ramula
2
R. Sipi
3
A. Forsstrom
6
J. Nakanishi
↓ 84' 🟨 82'
7
P. Diniz
⚽ 58' ↓ 85'
9
I. Sadik
⚽ 79' ↓ 79'
14
E. Kawakita
↓ 84'
15
J. Tapani
🎯 54'
18
E. Pitkala
⚽ 54' ↓ 70'
21
K. Rasanen
🎯 79'
23
S. Uchiyama
🎯 58'
Substitutes
12
D. Azabani
4
A. Abdi
↑ 84'
8
J. Costa
↑ 84'
10
O. Salmensuu
↑ 79' 🟨 85'
16
N. Jokiniemi
17
A. Goshnaw
↑ 85'
19
M. Tolonen
↑ 70'
24
N. Ndaziramiye
88
J. Pikkuhookana
MP 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
4
V. Laiho
6
T. Afshari
↓ 62'
7
A. Chishima
9
M. Al Sheikh
↓ 70'
10
E. Ylonen
↓ 62'
17
S. Seppanen
↓ 35'
19
V. Janhunen
20
S. Saidy
22
J. Uronen
27
A. Traore
45
S. Atakayi
↓ 62'
Substitutes
14
M. Snellman
15
S. Stenius
↑ 62'
28
A. Tervaniemi
↑ 62' 🟨 64'
29
V. Karttunen
⚽ 90' ↑ 70'
30
T. Heikkinen
87
M. Kastrati
↑ 35'
99
P. Kerminen
🎯 90' ↑ 62'
Last matches: PK-35
04.07.26
Ykk
PK-35
EIF
3
0
W
26.06.26
Ykk
PK-35
MP
2
1
W
12.06.26
Ykk
PK-35
JäPS
5
0
W
31.05.26
Ykk
PK-35
Klubi-04
1
1
D
27.05.26
Ykk
PK-35
Klubi-04
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ykk
PK-35
JIPPO
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ykk
PK-35
KäPa
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ykk
PK-35
JäPS
0
1
L
24.04.26
Ykk
PK-35
Kooteepee
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ykk
PK-35
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ykk
PK-35
Haka
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ykk
PK-35
EIF
4
2
W
27.03.26
Fri
PK-35
Turku PS
0
1
L
21.03.26
Fri
PK-35
Gnistan
0
2
L
20.03.26
Fri
PK-35
Klubi-04
2
2
D
13.03.26
Fri
PK-35
MP
2
0
W
04.02.26
Fri
PK-35
Inter Turku
3
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
PK-35
JäPS
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
PK-35
Laagri
1
1
D
Last matches: MP
05.07.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
2
1
W
26.06.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
1
0
W
22.05.26
Ykk
MP
JäPS
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ykk
MP
JIPPO
1
3
L
02.05.26
Ykk
MP
Haka
1
0
W
24.04.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ykk
MP
KäPa
0
1
L
10.04.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
MP
JJK
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
MP
Ilves
0
2
L
13.03.26
Fri
MP
PK-35
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
MP
MyPa
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
MP
PEPO
4
2
W
10.01.26
Fri
MP
Atlantis
4
1
W
H2H: PK-35 vs MP
26.06.26
H2H
PK-35
MP
2
1
W
07.05.26
H2H
PK-35
MP
3
1
W
13.03.26
H2H
PK-35
MP
2
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
PK-35
MP
1
0
W
06.07.24
H2H
PK-35
MP
1
2
L
05.05.24
H2H
MP
PK-35
0
0
D
03.02.24
H2H
PK-35
MP
1
3
L
10.09.22
H2H
MP
PK-35
1
0
L
31.07.22
H2H
MP
PK-35
1
2
W
29.05.22
H2H
PK-35
MP
2
0
W
03.10.21
H2H
MP
PK-35
2
3
W
19.09.21
H2H
PK-35
MP
3
1
W
01.09.21
H2H
MP
PK-35
1
1
D
29.04.21
H2H
MP
PK-35
1
0
L
Last matches: PK-35
26.06.26
Ykk
PK-35
MP
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ykk
PK-35
Klubi-04
1
1
D
24.04.26
Ykk
PK-35
Kooteepee
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ykk
PK-35
Haka
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ykk
PK-35
EIF
4
2
W
13.03.26
Fri
PK-35
MP
2
0
W
H2H at home: PK-35
26.06.26
H2H
PK-35
MP
2
1
W
07.05.26
H2H
PK-35
MP
3
1
W
13.03.26
H2H
PK-35
MP
2
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
PK-35
MP
1
0
W
06.07.24
H2H
PK-35
MP
1
2
L
03.02.24
H2H
PK-35
MP
1
3
L
29.05.22
H2H
PK-35
MP
2
0
W
19.09.21
H2H
PK-35
MP
3
1
W
Last matches: MP
26.06.26
Ykk
MP
PK-35
1
2
L
06.06.26
Ykk
MP
EIF
0
1
L
22.05.26
Ykk
MP
JäPS
2
0
W
24.04.26
Ykk
MP
Klubi-04
1
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
MP
Kooteepee
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ykk
MP
SJK Akatemia
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
MP
Ilves
0
2
L
13.03.26
Fri
MP
PK-35
0
2
L
H2H away: MP
26.06.26
H2H
PK-35
MP
2
1
L
07.05.26
H2H
PK-35
MP
3
1
L
13.03.26
H2H
PK-35
MP
2
0
L
19.10.24
H2H
PK-35
MP
1
0
L
06.07.24
H2H
PK-35
MP
1
2
W
03.02.24
H2H
PK-35
MP
1
3
W
29.05.22
H2H
PK-35
MP
2
0
L
19.09.21
H2H
PK-35
MP
3
1
L

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 9 2 2 21:13 8 29
D W W L W
2
PK-35 Home
13 8 3 2 21:7 14 27
W W W D W
3 13 6 3 4 21:14 7 21
L L W W L
4 13 5 6 2 17:10 7 21
D D W D L
5 13 6 1 6 12:19 -7 19
W L L W L
6
MP Away
13 5 1 7 12:15 -3 16
W L D L W
7 13 5 1 7 20:26 -6 16
L D L W L
8 12 4 3 5 14:17 -3 15
W L L W L
9 12 1 5 6 10:14 -4 8
W D D L L
10 13 1 3 9 4:17 -13 6
L L L D L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen