FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Markku.fi Areena
Referee: J. Kontinen
PK-35
Match Timeline
KäPa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
E. Kawakita
PK-35
20'
R. Sipi
PK-35
🔄
52'
N. Leinonen ↔ M. Pulkkinen
KäPa
59'
M. Kuningas
KäPa
🔄
62'
S. Sillah ↔ V. Jokiranta
KäPa
🔄
68'
M. Tolonen ↔ J. Costa
PK-35
🔄
68'
E. Kawakita ↔ O. Salmensuu
PK-35
🔄
68'
J. Pikkuhookana ↔ E. Pitkala
PK-35
🔄
79'
R. Huhtamaki ↔ J. Salmi
KäPa
🔄
79'
D. Ripatti ↔ S. Savini
KäPa
🔄
84'
P. Diniz ↔ I. Sadik
PK-35
🔄
85'
J. Tapani ↔ L. Lokake
PK-35
🟨
88'
P. Hietalahti
KäPa
90'
I. Sadik
PK-35

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.6%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
PK-35 Win 68.6%
Draw 6%
KäPa Win 25.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
PK-351.43
KäPa1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
PK-35 PK-35
WWDLW
30 GF / 15 GA
KäPa KäPa
WLDWL
18 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.2
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
7
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

PK-35 PK-35 20 matches
KäPa KäPa 15 matches
PK-35 Statistic KäPa
10 Wins 6
5 Draws 3
5 Losses 6
30 Goals For 18
15 Goals Against 20
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
7 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 10
8 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 4
9 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by PK-35's more proactive style and KäPa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring KäPa. PK-35 come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. PK-35 arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 24 points compared to KäPa in 7 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KäPa having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

PK-35 Analysis

PK-35 come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 24 points after 12 matches. The return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 18:7, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

KäPa Analysis

KäPa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 15 points from 12 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 14:17, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, PK-35 won 7 times, KäPa won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:7 from PK-35's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
H2H summary: PK-35 wins 7, draws 4, KäPa wins 1

Lineups

PK-35
Formation
KäPa
A. Ramula
A. Ramula
R. Sipi
R. Sipi
A. Forsstrom
A. Forsstrom
J. Nakanishi
J. Nakanishi
P. Diniz
P. Diniz
E. Kawakita
E. Kawakita
J. Tapani
J. Tapani
M. Tolonen
M. Tolonen
K. Rasanen
K. Rasanen
S. Uchiyama
S. Uchiyama
J. Pikkuhookana
J. Pikkuhookana
T. Collin
T. Collin
U. Huhtamaki
U. Huhtamaki
P. Hietalahti
P. Hietalahti
N. Leinonen
N. Leinonen
R. Huhtamaki
R. Huhtamaki
A. Almen
A. Almen
Y. Lika
Y. Lika
S. Sillah
S. Sillah
D. Ripatti
D. Ripatti
M. Kuningas
M. Kuningas
D. Cukici
D. Cukici
PK-35 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Ramula
2
R. Sipi
⚽ 20'
3
A. Forsstrom
6
J. Nakanishi
7
P. Diniz
↓ 84'
14
E. Kawakita
⚽ 17' ↓ 68'
15
J. Tapani
↓ 85'
19
M. Tolonen
↓ 68'
21
K. Rasanen
23
S. Uchiyama
88
J. Pikkuhookana
↓ 68'
Substitutes
25
A. Kivela
8
J. Costa
↑ 68'
9
I. Sadik
⚽ 90' ↑ 84'
10
O. Salmensuu
↑ 68'
16
N. Jokiniemi
18
E. Pitkala
↑ 68'
22
L. Lokake
↑ 85'
24
N. Ndaziramiye
27
A. Ahmed-Nur
KäPa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
T. Collin
2
U. Huhtamaki
4
P. Hietalahti
🟨 88'
7
N. Leinonen
↓ 52'
8
R. Huhtamaki
↓ 79'
9
A. Almen
10
Y. Lika
11
S. Sillah
↓ 62'
22
D. Ripatti
↓ 79'
25
M. Kuningas
⚽ 59'
36
D. Cukici
Substitutes
12
R. Piekkanen
13
M. Pulkkinen
↑ 52'
17
V. Jokiranta
↑ 62'
29
J. Salmi
↑ 79'
37
O. Heinonen
39
S. Savini
↑ 79'
Last matches: PK-35
15.08.26
Ykk
PK-35
Klubi-04
1
1
D
08.08.26
Ykk
PK-35
SJK Akatemia
3
0
W
31.07.26
Ykk
PK-35
Haka
1
4
L
25.07.26
Ykk
PK-35
JIPPO
1
1
D
18.07.26
Ykk
PK-35
Kooteepee
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ykk
PK-35
EIF
3
0
W
26.06.26
Ykk
PK-35
MP
2
1
W
12.06.26
Ykk
PK-35
JäPS
5
0
W
31.05.26
Ykk
PK-35
Klubi-04
1
1
D
27.05.26
Ykk
PK-35
Klubi-04
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ykk
PK-35
JIPPO
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ykk
PK-35
KäPa
0
0
D
07.05.26
Ykk
PK-35
MP
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ykk
PK-35
JäPS
0
1
L
24.04.26
Ykk
PK-35
Kooteepee
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ykk
PK-35
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ykk
PK-35
Haka
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ykk
PK-35
EIF
4
2
W
27.03.26
Fri
PK-35
Turku PS
0
1
L
21.03.26
Fri
PK-35
Gnistan
0
2
L
Last matches: KäPa
15.08.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
08.08.26
Ykk
KäPa
EIF
0
1
L
29.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
2
L
25.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
Haka
1
3
L
21.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
0
2
L
17.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
28.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
3
1
W
13.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
3
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
EIF
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
PK-35
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Haka
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
06.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
KäPa
VJS
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
KäPa
Honka
3
2
W
H2H: PK-35 vs KäPa
10.07.26
H2H
PK-35
KäPa
3
1
W
17.05.26
H2H
KäPa
PK-35
0
0
D
28.02.26
H2H
KäPa
PK-35
1
0
L
12.09.25
H2H
PK-35
KäPa
1
1
D
09.07.25
H2H
KäPa
PK-35
1
1
D
18.05.25
H2H
PK-35
KäPa
4
0
W
06.04.25
H2H
PK-35
KäPa
1
0
W
22.09.24
H2H
KäPa
PK-35
1
1
D
31.05.24
H2H
KäPa
PK-35
0
1
W
13.04.24
H2H
PK-35
KäPa
3
0
W
28.01.23
H2H
KäPa
PK-35
1
2
W
28.01.23
H2H
PK-35
KäPa
2
1
W
Last matches: PK-35
15.08.26
Ykk
PK-35
Klubi-04
1
1
D
31.07.26
Ykk
PK-35
Haka
1
4
L
25.07.26
Ykk
PK-35
JIPPO
1
1
D
26.06.26
Ykk
PK-35
MP
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ykk
PK-35
Klubi-04
1
1
D
07.05.26
Ykk
PK-35
MP
3
1
W
24.04.26
Ykk
PK-35
Kooteepee
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ykk
PK-35
Haka
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ykk
PK-35
EIF
4
2
W
13.03.26
Fri
PK-35
MP
2
0
W
H2H at home: PK-35
10.07.26
H2H
PK-35
KäPa
3
1
W
12.09.25
H2H
PK-35
KäPa
1
1
D
18.05.25
H2H
PK-35
KäPa
4
0
W
06.04.25
H2H
PK-35
KäPa
1
0
W
13.04.24
H2H
PK-35
KäPa
3
0
W
28.01.23
H2H
PK-35
KäPa
2
1
W
Last matches: KäPa
15.08.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
29.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
2
L
25.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
Haka
1
3
L
13.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
3
L
23.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
EIF
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Haka
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
KäPa
Honka
3
2
W
17.01.26
Fri
KäPa
JäPS
1
0
W
H2H away: KäPa
10.07.26
H2H
PK-35
KäPa
3
1
L
12.09.25
H2H
PK-35
KäPa
1
1
D
18.05.25
H2H
PK-35
KäPa
4
0
L
06.04.25
H2H
PK-35
KäPa
1
0
L
13.04.24
H2H
PK-35
KäPa
3
0
L
28.01.23
H2H
PK-35
KäPa
2
1
L

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 3 3 33:20 13 42
W W W D L
2
PK-35 Home
19 11 5 3 31:14 17 38
D W L D W
3 19 11 4 4 38:20 18 37
W W W W D
4 19 8 7 4 24:16 8 31
L L W D W
5 19 9 1 9 18:26 -8 28
L W L W W
6 19 8 2 9 26:30 -4 26
W W W D L
7 19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
L L W D L
8
KäPa Away
19 4 4 11 20:32 -12 16
L L L L L
9 19 2 7 10 15:24 -9 13
D L L L W
10 19 2 6 11 9:25 -16 12
W L L D D
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen