SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
16.09.2026 17:00
LF Arena
Piteå
Match Timeline
Umeå FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
45+1'
D. Ekman
Umeå FC
🔄
60'
K. Sulaiman ↔ J. Lundback
Piteå
🔄
60'
L. Jordan ↔ G. Felicia
Piteå
🔄
73'
M. Njie ↔ A. Shakir
Umeå FC
🔄
73'
I. Johansson ↔ H. Hassan
Umeå FC
🟨
77'
S. Jamehdar
Piteå
🔄
77'
S. Jamehdar ↔ C. Berglund
Piteå
🔄
77'
A. Muyenga ↔ H. Naslund
Piteå
🔄
80'
S. Forsman ↔ T. Lindgren
Umeå FC
🔄
82'
J. Johnson ↔ J. Bonilla
Piteå
🟨
86'
H. Hassan
Umeå FC
🔄
89'
S. Wagnsson ↔ E. Yeboah
Umeå FC
90+1'
Z. Bawa
Umeå FC
🟨
90+3'
J. Lundback
Piteå
🟨
90+5'
Z. Bawa
Umeå FC

Piteå vs Umeå FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 61.9%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.63
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
61.9%
1.33
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.63
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.18
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Piteå Win 38.1%
Draw 22.3%
Umeå FC Win 39.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Piteå1.4
Umeå FC1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Piteå Piteå
WWDLW
36 GF / 51 GA
Umeå FC Umeå FC
WLDWL
46 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
17
BTTS Yes
18
16
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Piteå Piteå 28 matches
Umeå FC Umeå FC 32 matches
Piteå Statistic Umeå FC
7 Wins 11
7 Draws 6
14 Losses 15
36 Goals For 46
51 Goals Against 50
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
17 BTTS Yes 18
24 Over 1.5 25
16 Over 2.5 19
11 Over 3.5 14
4 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Umeå FC. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Umeå FC having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Piteå Analysis

With 15 points from 20 games and a place of 14, Piteå still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 11 defeats with a 24:40 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Umeå FC Analysis

Umeå FC are currently 11 in the standings with 23 points from 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, while the 26:33 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Piteå won 5 times, Umeå FC won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:28 from Piteå's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.7%)
H2H summary: Piteå wins 5, draws 2, Umeå FC wins 8

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 16 3 4 55:19 36 51
W W W W W
2 23 13 4 6 41:30 11 43
L W W W W
3 22 12 6 4 46:18 28 42
D W L D D
4 23 11 6 6 35:23 12 39
D D L L D
5 22 11 6 5 36:25 11 39
W L L W W
6 23 11 6 6 36:32 4 39
D D W W W
7 23 12 3 8 37:38 -1 39
D W W W L
8 23 9 3 11 29:41 -12 30
W L W L D
9 22 8 5 9 37:39 -2 29
L L W W L
10 23 8 5 10 31:37 -6 29
W W L W W
11 23 8 4 11 29:38 -9 28
L L W L D
12 22 6 6 10 33:43 -10 24
D L L L W
13 23 5 9 9 21:31 -10 24
D L L W L
14 23 4 6 13 27:44 -17 18
W L L W L
15 23 5 3 15 30:50 -20 18
L W L L L
16 23 3 5 15 43:58 -15 14
L L W L L