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SWEDEN › ETTAN - NORRA
03.10.2026 14:00
LF Arena
Piteå
Match Timeline
IF Karlstad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
62'
L. Jordan ↔ H. Bergstrom
Piteå
🔄
62'
J. Carstrom ↔ W. Miguel
IF Karlstad
🔄
62'
O. Alvers ↔ N. Jatta
IF Karlstad
⚽
64'
S. Jamehdar
Piteå
🔄
69'
K. Kack Ofordu ↔ L. Maasland
IF Karlstad
🔄
69'
S. Zurmati ↔ K. Gustafsson
IF Karlstad
🔄
75'
J. Lundback ↔ Q. Hoeve
Piteå
🟨
76'
W. Miguel
IF Karlstad
🔄
86'
B. Brooks ↔ J. Bonilla
Piteå
🟨
88'
E. Nilsson King
IF Karlstad
⚽
88'
K. Gustafsson
IF Karlstad
🟨
90+3'
H. Bellman
IF Karlstad

Piteå vs IF Karlstad Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 51.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
51.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Piteå Win 33.7%
Draw 14.5%
IF Karlstad Win 51.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Piteå1.22
IF Karlstad1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Piteå Piteå
WWDLW
41 GF / 55 GA
IF Karlstad IF Karlstad
WLDWL
44 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
19
BTTS Yes
16
18
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Piteå Piteå 31 matches
IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 30 matches
Piteå Statistic IF Karlstad
9 Wins 13
7 Draws 8
15 Losses 9
41 Goals For 44
55 Goals Against 32
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
19 BTTS Yes 16
27 Over 1.5 22
18 Over 2.5 15
12 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by IF Karlstad's more proactive style and Piteå's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward IF Karlstad. Piteå have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward IF Karlstad having the stronger overall control. IF Karlstad carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 39 points while Piteå sit 14 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Piteå Analysis

Piteå approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 18 points from 23 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats with a 27:44 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

IF Karlstad Analysis

IF Karlstad arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 39 points after 23 matches. The record of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 35:23 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Piteå won 2 times, IF Karlstad won 7 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:26 from Piteå's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.89 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.5%)
H2H summary: Piteå wins 2, draws 0, IF Karlstad wins 7

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 19 3 4 63:21 42 60
W W W W W
2 26 14 6 6 46:31 15 48
L W W W W
3 27 15 3 9 42:41 1 48
W W W L D
4 26 14 5 7 48:37 11 47
L D W L W
5 26 13 6 7 51:26 25 45
L L W L D
6 26 12 8 6 40:25 15 44
W D D D D
7 26 12 7 7 41:36 5 43
L D W D D
8 26 10 5 11 44:45 -1 35
W L L W L
9 26 10 5 11 36:42 -6 35
W W L W W
10 26 9 6 11 36:44 -8 33
D W D L L
11 26 9 4 13 32:46 -14 31
D L L W L
12 26 7 7 12 39:55 -16 28
D L W L D
13 26 6 9 11 27:36 -9 27
W L L D L
14 26 5 8 13 33:49 -16 23
D D W W L
15 26 5 4 17 34:57 -23 19
L D L L W
16 27 3 6 18 46:67 -21 15
L L D L L