Login Register
ITALY › SERIE B
17.10.2026 17:30
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani

Pisa vs Cremonese Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Pisa Win 32.1%
Draw 5.8%
Cremonese Win 62.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pisa1.37
Cremonese1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pisa Pisa
WWDLW
23 GF / 18 GA
Cremonese Cremonese
WLDWL
18 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.77
7
BTTS Yes
4
8
Over 2.5
5
6
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pisa Pisa 13 matches
Cremonese Cremonese 13 matches
Pisa Statistic Cremonese
5 Wins 6
3 Draws 5
5 Losses 2
23 Goals For 18
18 Goals Against 10
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 0.77
7 BTTS Yes 4
11 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 5
6 Shots On Goal 4
15.38 Total Shots 10.75
5.13 Corners 4.25
48.9% Ball Possession 54%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cremonese. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pisa expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Cremonese in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cremonese having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Pisa Analysis

Pisa sit 11 with 7 points after 5 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 8:8 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Tramoni (1 goals), O. Correia (1 goals), S. Canestrelli (1 goals), with creative support from M. Tramoni (2 assists), O. Correia (1 assists), S. Canestrelli (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cremonese Analysis

Cremonese sit 15 with 5 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 5:7 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Bonazzoli (3 goals), Adin Ličina (1 goals), M. Collocolo (1 goals), with creative support from F. Bonazzoli (1 assists), Adin Ličina (1 assists), S. Luperto (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Pisa won 6 times, Cremonese won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:21 from Pisa's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.43 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: Pisa 3-4-2-1 / Cremonese 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Pisa wins 6, draws 5, Cremonese wins 3

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 14:7 7 16
W W D W W
2 6 4 2 0 13:6 7 14
W D W D W
3 6 4 1 1 11:6 5 13
W W D L W
4 6 3 3 0 9:3 6 12
D W D W D
5 6 3 2 1 7:4 3 11
D W L W D
6 6 3 1 2 11:7 4 10
W L D W W
7
Pisa Home
6 3 1 2 11:8 3 10
W D L W W
8 6 3 1 2 8:5 3 10
W W W L D
9 6 2 1 3 12:10 2 7
L W L W D
10 6 2 1 3 5:8 -3 7
L L W L D
11 6 1 4 1 7:8 -1 7
L D D D W
12 6 2 1 3 6:13 -7 7
D L W L L
13 6 2 0 4 6:10 -4 6
L L L W L
14 6 1 3 2 8:7 1 6
D D W D L
15 6 1 3 2 5:7 -2 6
D D D W L
16 6 1 2 3 7:13 -6 5
L L D D L
17 6 1 1 4 4:6 -2 4
W L L L D
18 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
L W L L L
19 6 1 0 5 6:12 -6 3
L L W L L
20 6 1 3 2 5:8 -3 2
D D D L W
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation