BRAZIL SERIE D
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Piauí Win 69%
Draw 7.3%
Maguary PE Win 23.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Piauí1.04
Maguary PE0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Piauí Piauí
WWDLW
14 GF / 11 GA
Maguary PE Maguary PE
WLDWL
8 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
7
BTTS Yes
1
5
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Piauí Piauí 10 matches
Maguary PE Maguary PE 10 matches
Piauí Statistic Maguary PE
5 Wins 3
2 Draws 4
3 Losses 3
14 Goals For 8
11 Goals Against 5
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
7 BTTS Yes 1
7 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 1
2 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Maguary PE. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maguary PE having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Piauí Analysis

Piauí enter this tie with a season profile built on 17 points from 10 matches, placing them 2 in their league. With 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses plus a goal ratio of 14:11, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Kauan Maranhao (9 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

Maguary PE Analysis

Maguary PE come into this tie placed 3 in their league with 13 points from 10 matches. With 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses plus a goal ratio of 8:5, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Eduardo (2 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.7%)
Last matches: Piauí
13.06.26
Ser
Piauí
Tirol/CEFAT
2
1
W
01.06.26
Ser
Piauí
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Piauí
Fluminense PI
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Piauí
Altos
1
0
W
11.05.26
Ser
Piauí
Ferroviario
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Piauí
Ferroviario
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Piauí
Altos
3
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Piauí
Fluminense PI
2
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Piauí
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Piauí
Tirol/CEFAT
2
1
W
Last matches: Maguary PE
14.06.26
Ser
Maguary PE
ABC
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Sousa
2
0
W
25.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Laguna
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Central SC
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
America-RN
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
America-RN
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Central SC
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Laguna
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Sousa
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
ABC
3
0
W
Last matches: Piauí
13.06.26
Ser
Piauí
Tirol/CEFAT
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Piauí
Fluminense PI
0
1
L
11.05.26
Ser
Piauí
Ferroviario
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Piauí
Altos
3
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Piauí
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
1
1
D
Last matches: Maguary PE
14.06.26
Ser
Maguary PE
ABC
0
1
L
25.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Laguna
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Central SC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
America-RN
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Sousa
0
1
L

Standings

Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)