BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Piauí
Match Timeline
Ferroviario
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
58'
Kauan Maranhao
Piauí
63'
Ciel
Ferroviario

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 91.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
91.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Piauí Win 35.7%
Draw 7.7%
Ferroviario Win 56.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Piauí1.48
Ferroviario1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Piauí Piauí
WWDLW
9 GF / 8 GA
Ferroviario Ferroviario
WLDWL
8 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Piauí Piauí 5 matches
Ferroviario Ferroviario 5 matches
Piauí Statistic Ferroviario
2 Wins 3
1 Draws 1
2 Losses 1
9 Goals For 8
8 Goals Against 5
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ferroviario carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 10 points while Piauí sit 3 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Ferroviario. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ferroviario having the stronger overall control.

Piauí Analysis

Piauí arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 7 points after 5 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 9:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Kauan Maranhao (7 goals), Adsson (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Ferroviario Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 10 points from 5 games, Ferroviario bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 8:5, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Ciel (2 goals), Lucas Black (2 goals), Thalisson (2 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Piauí won 0 times, Ferroviario won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Piauí's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
H2H summary: Piauí wins 0, draws 1, Ferroviario wins 1
Last matches: Piauí
27.06.26
Ser
Piauí
Maguary PE
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Piauí
Maguary PE
0
2
L
13.06.26
Ser
Piauí
Tirol/CEFAT
2
1
W
01.06.26
Ser
Piauí
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Piauí
Fluminense PI
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Piauí
Altos
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Piauí
Ferroviario
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Piauí
Altos
3
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Piauí
Fluminense PI
2
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Piauí
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Piauí
Tirol/CEFAT
2
1
W
Last matches: Ferroviario
18.07.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Goiatuba EC
0
3
L
12.07.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Imperatriz
3
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Imperatriz
1
1
D
28.06.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Central SC
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Central SC
1
1
D
13.06.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Fluminense PI
1
0
W
01.06.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Tirol/CEFAT
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Altos
3
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
2
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Piauí
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Altos
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Tirol/CEFAT
3
2
W
04.04.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Fluminense PI
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Ferroviario
ASA
0
2
L
02.08.25
Ser
Ferroviario
ASA
0
1
L
27.07.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Central SC
0
0
D
19.07.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Santa Cruz RN
2
1
W
13.07.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Horizonte
0
2
L
05.07.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Sousa
0
0
D
H2H: Piauí vs Ferroviario
11.05.26
H2H
Piauí
Ferroviario
1
1
D
03.05.26
H2H
Ferroviario
Piauí
2
1
L
Last matches: Piauí
27.06.26
Ser
Piauí
Maguary PE
1
0
W
13.06.26
Ser
Piauí
Tirol/CEFAT
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Piauí
Fluminense PI
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Piauí
Altos
3
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Piauí
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
1
1
D
H2H at home: Piauí
11.05.26
H2H
Piauí
Ferroviario
1
1
D
Last matches: Ferroviario
18.07.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Goiatuba EC
0
3
L
04.07.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Imperatriz
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Central SC
1
1
D
01.06.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Tirol/CEFAT
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Altos
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Fluminense PI
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Ferroviario
ASA
0
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Santa Cruz RN
2
1
W
13.07.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Horizonte
0
2
L
16.06.25
Ser
Ferroviario
America-RN
2
3
L
01.06.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Santa Cruz
1
3
L
18.05.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Treze
0
1
L
11.05.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Sousa
0
4
L
20.04.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Central SC
1
2
L
H2H away: Ferroviario
11.05.26
H2H
Piauí
Ferroviario
1
1
D

Standings

Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)