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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
10.10.2026 23:30
Talen Energy Stadium
Referee: Elijio Arreguin, USA
Philadelphia Union
Match Timeline
Real Salt Lake
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
Danley Jean Jacques
Philadelphia Union
🟨
13'
DeAndre Yedlin
Real Salt Lake
🟨
23'
Frankie Westfield
Philadelphia Union
⚽
31'
B. Damiani · Assist: F. Westfield
Philadelphia Union
🔄
46'
D. Yedlin ↔ L. De Fougerolles
Real Salt Lake
🔄
46'
S. Junqua ↔ J. Sanabria
Real Salt Lake
🟨
62'
Dominik Marczuk
Real Salt Lake
🔄
64'
I. Vassilev ↔ Q. Sullivan
Philadelphia Union
🔄
65'
A. Hezarkhani ↔ S. Lobjanidze
Real Salt Lake
🔄
70'
D. Marczuk ↔ Z. Booth
Real Salt Lake
🔄
74'
J. Lukic ↔ J. Bueno
Philadelphia Union
🔄
79'
S. Solans ↔ A. Piol
Real Salt Lake
🟨
80'
Jesus Bueno
Philadelphia Union
⚽
81'
M. Iloski · Assist: C. Sullivan
Philadelphia Union
VAR
82'
Milan Iloski
Philadelphia Union
🟨
89'
Bruno Damiani
Philadelphia Union
🔄
90+2'
D. Jean Jacques ↔ A. Bedoya
Philadelphia Union
🔄
90+1'
C. Sullivan ↔ B. Bender
Philadelphia Union
🔄
90+1'
M. Iloski ↔ M. Jakupovic
Philadelphia Union
⚽
90'
S. Lobjanidze · Assist: L. De Fougerolles
Real Salt Lake

Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.9%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.38
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.9%
1.36 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.38 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.91 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Philadelphia Union Win 87.9%
Draw 4.9%
Real Salt Lake Win 7.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Philadelphia Union1.91
Real Salt Lake1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
WWDLW
76 GF / 53 GA
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
WLDWL
50 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
2.11
Average Goals Scored
1.61
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
22
BTTS Yes
22
23
Over 2.5
21
5.29
Shots on Goal
5.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 36 matches
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 31 matches
Philadelphia Union Statistic Real Salt Lake
15 Wins 11
8 Draws 7
13 Losses 13
76 Goals For 50
53 Goals Against 50
2.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
22 BTTS Yes 22
30 Over 1.5 29
23 Over 2.5 21
16 Over 3.5 10
10 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 6
5.29 Shots On Goal 5.22
16.19 Total Shots 13.81
6 Corners 4.81
47.9% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Philadelphia Union's more proactive style and Real Salt Lake's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Real Salt Lake. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Philadelphia Union expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Real Salt Lake in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Salt Lake having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Philadelphia Union come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Philadelphia Union Analysis

From their first 27 matches, Philadelphia Union have collected 39 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, while the 54:44 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Iloski (14 goals), B. Damiani (8 goals), Cavan Sullivan (6 goals), with creative support from I. Vassilev (5 assists), Frankie Westfield (5 assists), Cavan Sullivan (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Real Salt Lake Analysis

Real Salt Lake approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 32 points from 27 matches. Their record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 40:44, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through S. Solans (6 goals), Zavier Gozo (4 goals), D. Luna (4 goals), with creative support from S. Solans (3 assists), M. Guilavogui (3 assists), Zavier Gozo (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Philadelphia Union won 1 times, Real Salt Lake won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:17 from Philadelphia Union's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Philadelphia Union 4-4-2 / Real Salt Lake 3-4-3
Missing players: Philadelphia Union 2, Real Salt Lake 8
H2H summary: Philadelphia Union wins 1, draws 4, Real Salt Lake wins 4

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 20 6 3 63:22 41 66
W W W W D
2 29 14 10 5 70:50 20 52
W W L D D
3 29 15 4 10 48:41 7 49
W L L W W
4 29 14 6 9 52:43 9 48
L W W W L
5 29 13 7 9 51:43 8 46
L W L W D
6 29 13 6 10 59:46 13 45
W W W W W
7 29 11 5 13 54:69 -15 38
D W L L W
8 29 10 6 13 39:54 -15 36
L W L W W
9 28 9 9 10 60:68 -8 36
L W L D D
10 29 8 9 12 42:40 2 33
L L D L W
11 29 7 12 10 44:55 -11 33
D W L L L
12 28 7 12 9 36:47 -11 33
W L D L D
13 29 9 5 15 44:47 -3 32
W L W W L
14 29 8 6 15 36:48 -12 30
W L D W D
15 29 6 6 17 35:59 -24 24
L L W L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)