🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
16.05.2026 23:30
Subaru Park
Referee: Armando Villarrea, USA
Philadelphia Union
Match Timeline
Columbus Crew
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Ben Bender
Philadelphia Union
10'
H. Picard
Columbus Crew
🟨
26'
Milan Iloski
Philadelphia Union
🟨
30'
Rudy Camacho
Columbus Crew
🟨
45'
Olwethu Makhanya
Philadelphia Union
🔄
46'
J. Lukic ↔ A. Anello
Philadelphia Union
🔄
65'
B. Damiani ↔ E. Alladoh
Philadelphia Union
🔄
67'
M. Farsi ↔ A. Herrera
Columbus Crew
🔄
67'
A. Gomes ↔ D. Chambost
Columbus Crew
70'
M. Iloski · Assist: A. Anello
Philadelphia Union
🔄
80'
D. Gazdag ↔ T. Habroune
Columbus Crew
🔄
80'
S. Bangoura ↔ A. Sejdic
Columbus Crew

Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Philadelphia Union Win 14.1%
Draw 26.4%
Columbus Crew Win 59.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Philadelphia Union1.59
Columbus Crew1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
WWDLW
35 GF / 32 GA
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
WLDWL
22 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
12
BTTS Yes
10
13
Over 2.5
10
4.18
Shots on Goal
4.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 22 matches
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 15 matches
Philadelphia Union Statistic Columbus Crew
5 Wins 4
5 Draws 3
12 Losses 8
35 Goals For 22
32 Goals Against 24
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
12 BTTS Yes 10
17 Over 1.5 12
13 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 4
4.18 Shots On Goal 4.31
14.47 Total Shots 12.15
6.18 Corners 5.77
49.1% Ball Possession 56.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Columbus Crew. Columbus Crew arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Philadelphia Union Analysis

Philadelphia Union sit 15 with 6 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats with a 10:19 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Danley Jean Jacques (2 goals), M. Iloski (2 goals), N. Harriel (2 goals), with creative support from A. Bedoya (2 assists), M. Iloski (1 assists), C. Sullivan (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Columbus Crew Analysis

With 12 points from 12 games and a place of 12, Columbus Crew still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 16:19, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through W. Abou Ali (5 goals), D. Rossi (4 goals), M. Arfsten (3 goals), with creative support from M. Arfsten (4 assists), T. Habroune (2 assists), W. Abou Ali (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Philadelphia Union won 4 times, Columbus Crew won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:17 from Philadelphia Union's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (85.9%)
Predicted formations: Philadelphia Union 4-4-2 / Columbus Crew 4-4-2
Missing players: Philadelphia Union 7, Columbus Crew 4
H2H summary: Philadelphia Union wins 4, draws 5, Columbus Crew wins 6

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 6 3 50:21 29 54
D L D W W
2 25 12 9 4 61:46 15 45
D D D W L
3 25 13 4 8 41:31 10 43
W W L W D
4 25 11 7 7 45:36 9 40
D W D W W
5 24 11 6 7 45:35 10 39
L D D D D
6 25 10 4 11 44:56 -12 34
W W W D W
7 25 9 6 10 46:39 7 33
W W W W D
8 25 8 8 9 39:33 6 32
W L D D D
9 24 8 8 8 52:59 -7 32
D L L D W
10 25 8 6 11 33:48 -15 30
W L D L D
11 24 6 11 7 30:37 -7 29
D W D L L
12 25 6 11 8 38:46 -8 29
L W D D W
13 25 6 5 14 35:42 -7 23
L L W L L
14 25 6 5 14 29:43 -14 23
D L D L W
15 25 5 6 14 31:51 -20 21
L L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)