🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER

01.08.2026 23:30

Philadelphia Union

3 - 2

Atlanta United FC

Subaru Park

Referee: Allen Chapman, USA

Philadelphia Union

Match Timeline

Atlanta United FC

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home or Draw

Probability 66.7%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 78.9%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 72%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home or Draw	66.7%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	78.9%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	72%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Philadelphia Union Win 41.1%

Draw 25.6%

Atlanta United FC Win 33.3%

Expected Goals (xG)

Philadelphia Union1.64

Atlanta United FC1.33

Recent Form (Last 5)

Philadelphia Union

WWDLW

44 GF / 40 GA

Atlanta United FC

WLDWL

25 GF / 33 GA

Key Stats

1.69

Average Goals Scored

1.19

1.54

Average Goals Conceded

1.57

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.81

Shots on Goal

4.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Philadelphia Union 26 matches

Atlanta United FC 21 matches

Philadelphia Union	Statistic	Atlanta United FC
7	Wins	5
6	Draws	5
13	Losses	11
44	Goals For	25
40	Goals Against	33
1.69	Avg Goals Scored	1.19
1.54	Avg Goals Conceded	1.57
15	BTTS Yes	12
20	Over 1.5	17
15	Over 2.5	11
8	Over 3.5	8
7	Clean Sheets	3
6	Failed To Score	8
4.81	Shots On Goal	4.35
15.14	Total Shots	13.35
5.95	Corners	4.94
47.1%	Ball Possession	52.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Philadelphia Union won 7 times, Atlanta United FC won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:18 from Philadelphia Union's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (74.5%)

Predicted formations: Philadelphia Union 4-4-2 / Atlanta United FC 3-4-3

H2H summary: Philadelphia Union wins 7, draws 5, Atlanta United FC wins 3

Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Nashville SC	25	16	6	3	50:21	29	54	D L D W W
2	Inter Miami	25	12	9	4	61:46	15	45	D D D W L
3	New England Revolution	25	13	4	8	41:31	10	43	W W L W D
4	Charlotte	25	11	7	7	45:36	9	40	D W D W W
5	Chicago Fire	24	11	6	7	45:35	10	39	L D D D D
6	Orlando City SC	25	10	4	11	44:56	-12	34	W W W D W
7	Philadelphia Union Home	25	9	6	10	46:39	7	33	W W W W D
8	New York City FC	25	8	8	9	39:33	6	32	W L D D D
9	FC Cincinnati	24	8	8	8	52:59	-7	32	D L L D W
10	New York Red Bulls	25	8	6	11	33:48	-15	30	W L D L D
11	DC United	24	6	11	7	30:37	-7	29	D W D L L
12	Toronto FC	25	6	11	8	38:46	-8	29	L W D D W
13	Columbus Crew	25	6	5	14	35:42	-7	23	L L W L L
14	Atlanta United FC Away	25	6	5	14	29:43	-14	23	D L D L W
15	CF Montreal	25	5	6	14	31:51	-20	21	L L L L D

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