ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Weston Homes Stadium
Referee: E. Duckworth
Peterborough
Match Timeline
Doncaster
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
22'
B. Shofowoke ↔ D. Kamara
Peterborough
🟨
38'
Harley Mills
Peterborough
54'
B. Sharp · Assist: G. Broadbent
Doncaster
🟨
56'
Darren Robinson
Doncaster
🔄
66'
H. Mills ↔ J. Mendy
Peterborough
🔄
66'
B. Khela ↔ P. Sykut
Peterborough
🔄
67'
D. Robinson ↔ H. Clifton
Doncaster
🟨
68'
Sean Grehan
Doncaster
🔄
71'
H. Adelakun ↔ E. Lee
Doncaster
73'
B. Sharp · Assist: H. Clifton
Doncaster
76'
H. Leonard · Assist: J. Dornelly
Peterborough
🔄
78'
J. Dornelly ↔ O. Aderoju
Peterborough
79'
B. Sharp · Assist: E. Lee
Doncaster
🔄
83'
T. Lo-Tutala ↔ J. Oram
Doncaster
🔄
83'
B. Hanlan ↔ K. Williams
Doncaster
🔄
83'
S. Grehan ↔ B. McCann
Doncaster
🟨
87'
Elliott Lee
Doncaster

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.6%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Peterborough Win 43.5%
Draw 14.3%
Doncaster Win 42.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Peterborough1.42
Doncaster1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Peterborough Peterborough
WWDLW
64 GF / 66 GA
Doncaster Doncaster
WLDWL
53 GF / 73 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
26
BTTS Yes
25
25
Over 2.5
25
4
Shots on Goal
3.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Peterborough Peterborough 47 matches
Doncaster Doncaster 48 matches
Peterborough Statistic Doncaster
16 Wins 18
8 Draws 9
23 Losses 21
64 Goals For 53
66 Goals Against 73
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
26 BTTS Yes 25
36 Over 1.5 35
25 Over 2.5 25
11 Over 3.5 10
11 Clean Sheets 11
11 Failed To Score 14
4 Shots On Goal 3.7
11.49 Total Shots 12.36
4.28 Corners 4.32
53.9% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Peterborough expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Doncaster in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Doncaster having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Doncaster. Peterborough have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Peterborough Analysis

Peterborough approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 53 points from 45 matches. Across the season they have posted 15 wins, 8 draws, and 22 defeats, and the 63:65 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on H. Leonard (15 goals), J. Morgan (12 goals), Kyrell Lisbie (11 goals), with creative support from Archie Collins (7 assists), Kyrell Lisbie (6 assists), H. Leonard (5 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Doncaster Analysis

Doncaster approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 57 points from 45 matches. Their record of 16 wins, 9 draws, and 20 losses, together with goals at 47:68, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through O. Bailey (13 goals), L. Molyneux (8 goals), B. Hanlan (5 goals), with creative support from L. Molyneux (7 assists), O. Bailey (4 assists), J. Gibson (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Peterborough won 5 times, Doncaster won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:20 from Peterborough's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.8%)
Predicted formations: Peterborough 4-2-3-1 / Doncaster 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Peterborough wins 5, draws 5, Doncaster wins 5
Stats
Peterborough Peterborough
Doncaster Doncaster
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
13
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 3
10 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 5
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Goal 13
3 Shots off Goal 7
7 Blocked Shots 2
11 Shots insidebox 19
5 Shots outsidebox 3
10 Goalkeeper Saves 5
377 Total passes 320
304 Passes accurate 246
2.04 expected_goals 4.70
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Peterborough
Formation
Doncaster
A. Bass
A. Bass
J. Dornelly
🎯
J. Dornelly
T. Lees
T. Lees
L. Mendonca
L. Mendonca
H. Mills
H. Mills
B. Khela
B. Khela
B. Woods
B. Woods
B. Shofowoke
B. Shofowoke
M. Garbett
M. Garbett
K. Lisbie
K. Lisbie
H. Leonard
H. Leonard
T. Lo-Tutala
T. Lo-Tutala
J. Sterry
J. Sterry
S. Grehan
S. Grehan
J. McGrath
J. McGrath
J. Senior
J. Senior
O. Bailey
O. Bailey
D. Robinson
D. Robinson
G. Broadbent
🎯
G. Broadbent
B. Hanlan
B. Hanlan
B. Sharp
⚽ 3
B. Sharp
H. Adelakun
H. Adelakun
Peterborough 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. Bass
G
33
J. Dornelly
🎯 76' ↓ 78'
D
12
T. Lees
D
32
L. Mendonca
D
23
H. Mills
↓ 66' 🟨 38'
D
8
B. Khela
↓ 66'
M
16
B. Woods
M
36
B. Shofowoke
↓ 22'
M
28
M. Garbett
M
17
K. Lisbie
M
27
H. Leonard
⚽ 76'
F
Substitutes
31
B. Smith
G
40
J. Mendy
↑ 66'
D
18
C. Hayes
M
26
D. Okagbue
D
39
O. Aderoju
↑ 78'
F
42
P. Sykut
↑ 66'
M
34
D. Kamara
↑ 22'
Doncaster 4-3-3
Starting XI
29
T. Lo-Tutala
↓ 83'
G
2
J. Sterry
D
27
S. Grehan
↓ 83' 🟨 68'
D
6
J. McGrath
D
23
J. Senior
D
4
O. Bailey
M
20
D. Robinson
↓ 67' 🟨 56'
M
8
G. Broadbent
🎯 54'
M
9
B. Hanlan
↓ 83'
F
14
B. Sharp
⚽ 54' ⚽ 73' ⚽ 79'
F
47
H. Adelakun
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
32
J. Oram
↑ 83'
G
40
K. Williams
↑ 83'
D
18
E. Lee
🎯 79' ↑ 71' 🟨 87'
M
15
H. Clifton
🎯 73' ↑ 67'
M
25
B. McCann
↑ 83'
37
S. Brown
M
51
A. Swales
Last matches: Peterborough
22.07.26
Fri
Peterborough
Peterborough Sports
1
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Peterborough
Colchester
3
2
W
17.07.26
Fri
Peterborough
NEOM
0
0
D
28.04.26
Lea
Peterborough
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
25.04.26
Lea
Peterborough
Stockport County
1
3
L
19.04.26
Lea
Peterborough
Burton Albion
1
1
D
16.04.26
Lea
Peterborough
Port Vale
1
3
L
11.04.26
Lea
Peterborough
Blackpool
1
3
L
06.04.26
Lea
Peterborough
Cardiff
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lea
Peterborough
Luton
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lea
Peterborough
AFC Wimbledon
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Peterborough
Rotherham
5
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Peterborough
Leyton Orient
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Peterborough
Northampton
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Peterborough
Exeter City
3
3
D
17.02.26
Lea
Peterborough
Barnsley
1
2
L
14.02.26
Lea
Peterborough
Bradford
0
2
L
10.02.26
Lea
Peterborough
Mansfield Town
2
1
W
07.02.26
Lea
Peterborough
Wigan
6
1
W
31.01.26
Lea
Peterborough
Huddersfield
2
3
L
Last matches: Doncaster
18.07.26
Fri
Doncaster
Linfield
2
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
Doncaster
Glenavon FC
5
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Doncaster
St Patrick's Athl.
4
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Doncaster
Stevenage
1
1
D
21.04.26
Lea
Doncaster
Lincoln
0
2
L
18.04.26
Lea
Doncaster
Northampton
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Doncaster
Reading
1
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Doncaster
Exeter City
0
3
L
03.04.26
Lea
Doncaster
Mansfield Town
0
2
L
24.03.26
Lea
Doncaster
Port Vale
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Doncaster
Barnsley
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Doncaster
Bolton
0
0
D
14.03.26
Lea
Doncaster
Blackpool
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Doncaster
Luton
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Doncaster
Plymouth
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Doncaster
Cardiff
0
4
L
21.02.26
Lea
Doncaster
Rotherham
2
1
W
17.02.26
Lea
Doncaster
Huddersfield
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lea
Doncaster
Wycombe
0
4
L
03.02.26
Lea
Doncaster
Burton Albion
2
1
W
H2H: Peterborough vs Doncaster
02.05.26
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
1
3
L
29.11.25
H2H
Doncaster
Peterborough
2
1
L
02.12.23
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
2
1
W
09.05.21
H2H
Doncaster
Peterborough
1
4
W
27.04.21
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
2
2
D
26.12.19
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
0
3
L
21.09.19
H2H
Doncaster
Peterborough
2
0
L
09.02.19
H2H
Doncaster
Peterborough
3
1
L
01.09.18
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
1
1
D
01.01.18
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
1
1
D
02.09.17
H2H
Doncaster
Peterborough
0
0
D
19.03.16
H2H
Doncaster
Peterborough
1
2
W
24.10.15
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
4
0
W
14.03.15
H2H
Doncaster
Peterborough
0
2
W
28.12.14
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
0
0
D
Last matches: Peterborough
17.07.26
Fri
Peterborough
NEOM
0
0
D
28.04.26
Lea
Peterborough
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lea
Peterborough
Burton Albion
1
1
D
16.04.26
Lea
Peterborough
Port Vale
1
3
L
06.04.26
Lea
Peterborough
Cardiff
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Peterborough
Rotherham
5
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Peterborough
Exeter City
3
3
D
07.02.26
Lea
Peterborough
Wigan
6
1
W
31.01.26
Lea
Peterborough
Huddersfield
2
3
L
17.01.26
Lea
Peterborough
Plymouth
0
1
L
10.01.26
Lea
Peterborough
Bolton
3
1
W
29.12.25
Lea
Peterborough
Reading
1
1
D
26.12.25
Lea
Peterborough
Leyton Orient
1
0
W
13.12.25
Lea
Peterborough
Northampton
2
1
W
06.12.25
FA
Peterborough
Barnsley
0
1
L
25.11.25
Lea
Peterborough
Stevenage
0
1
L
20.11.25
Lea
Peterborough
Stockport County
3
0
W
08.11.25
Lea
Peterborough
AFC Wimbledon
5
0
W
01.11.25
FA
Peterborough
Cardiff
1
0
W
25.10.25
Lea
Peterborough
Blackpool
1
2
L
H2H at home: Peterborough
02.05.26
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
1
3
L
02.12.23
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
2
1
W
27.04.21
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
2
2
D
26.12.19
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
0
3
L
01.09.18
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
1
1
D
01.01.18
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
1
1
D
24.10.15
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
4
0
W
28.12.14
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
0
0
D
Last matches: Doncaster
18.07.26
Fri
Doncaster
Linfield
2
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
Doncaster
Glenavon FC
5
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Doncaster
Northampton
3
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Doncaster
Exeter City
0
3
L
21.03.26
Lea
Doncaster
Barnsley
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Doncaster
Bolton
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lea
Doncaster
Plymouth
1
2
L
21.02.26
Lea
Doncaster
Rotherham
2
1
W
07.02.26
Lea
Doncaster
Wycombe
0
4
L
03.02.26
Lea
Doncaster
Burton Albion
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lea
Doncaster
Bradford
0
1
L
17.01.26
Lea
Doncaster
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
29.12.25
Lea
Doncaster
Stockport County
2
4
L
26.12.25
Lea
Doncaster
Blackpool
0
1
L
13.12.25
Lea
Doncaster
Cardiff
3
4
L
06.12.25
FA
Doncaster
Chesterfield
2
1
W
22.11.25
Lea
Doncaster
Stevenage
0
0
D
15.11.25
Lea
Doncaster
Lincoln
1
2
L
01.11.25
FA
Doncaster
Crewe
2
1
W
25.10.25
Lea
Doncaster
Reading
1
1
D
H2H away: Doncaster
02.05.26
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
1
3
W
02.12.23
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
2
1
L
27.04.21
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
2
2
D
26.12.19
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
0
3
W
01.09.18
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
1
1
D
01.01.18
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
1
1
D
24.10.15
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
4
0
L
28.12.14
H2H
Peterborough
Doncaster
0
0
D

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two