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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
19.09.2026 14:00
Weston Homes Stadium
Referee: W. Davis
Peterborough
Match Timeline
Doncaster
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
Alfie May · Assist: Leon Ayinde
Doncaster
🟨
36'
Josh Feeney
Peterborough
🔄
62'
Alfie May ↔ Jordan Thomas
Doncaster
🔄
64'
Harrison Jones ↔ Harry Ashfield
Peterborough
🔄
65'
Liam Kelly ↔ Benjamin Woods
Peterborough
🔄
73'
Leon Ayinde ↔ Tommi O'Reilly
Doncaster
🔄
76'
Owura Edwards ↔ Ethan Williams
Peterborough
🔄
84'
Brandon Hanlan ↔ Isaac Hutchinson
Doncaster
🔄
85'
Carl Johnston ↔ Chris Conn-Clarke
Peterborough
⚽
88'
Isaac Hutchinson · Assist: Jordan Thomas
Doncaster
🟨
90+2'
Harry Leonard
Peterborough
🟨
90+2'
Jack Senior
Doncaster

Peterborough vs Doncaster Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
67.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Peterborough Win 32.9%
Draw 26.1%
Doncaster Win 41%
Expected Goals (xG)
Peterborough0.99
Doncaster1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Peterborough Peterborough
WWDLW
10 GF / 16 GA
Doncaster Doncaster
WLDWL
19 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
5
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
6
3.17
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Peterborough Peterborough 12 matches
Doncaster Doncaster 13 matches
Peterborough Statistic Doncaster
4 Wins 3
3 Draws 5
5 Losses 5
10 Goals For 19
16 Goals Against 16
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
5 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 5
3.17 Shots On Goal 4.17
13.83 Total Shots 14.5
5 Corners 5.17
59% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Peterborough expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Doncaster in 4-2-2-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Doncaster having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Doncaster. Peterborough have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Peterborough Analysis

Peterborough sit 20 with 4 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 3:9 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on B. Woods (2 goals), H. Leonard (1 goals), with creative support from James Dornelly (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Doncaster Analysis

Doncaster approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 22 with 3 points from 5 matches. The overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats with a 6:8 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Senior (1 goals), A. May (1 goals), O. Bailey (1 goals), with creative support from Bayley McCann (1 assists), B. McCann (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Peterborough won 5 times, Doncaster won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:20 from Peterborough's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.9%)
Predicted formations: Peterborough 4-2-3-1 / Doncaster 4-2-2-2
H2H summary: Peterborough wins 5, draws 5, Doncaster wins 5

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 18:12 6 19
W W L W W
2 9 5 2 2 8:5 3 17
D D W W W
3 9 5 1 3 20:11 9 16
W W D L W
4 9 4 4 1 16:9 7 16
D W L D D
5 9 4 4 1 14:11 3 16
W D D W D
6 9 4 3 2 22:11 11 15
W D D W L
7 8 4 3 1 15:8 7 15
D D D W W
8 7 4 2 1 15:8 7 14
W D W W L
9 8 3 3 2 12:8 4 12
W L W W D
10 10 3 3 4 14:16 -2 12
L L W D L
11 9 3 3 3 7:10 -3 12
L D D W W
12 9 3 2 4 13:11 2 11
D L W L D
13 8 3 2 3 16:15 1 11
W L L D W
14 8 3 2 3 12:14 -2 11
W D D L L
15 9 2 4 3 14:20 -6 10
L D W W D
16 8 2 3 3 9:9 0 9
W W L L D
17 8 2 3 3 10:14 -4 9
L D W L W
18 8 2 2 4 13:14 -1 8
L L D L L
19 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D L L W
20 9 2 2 5 7:14 -7 8
W L L D L
21 8 2 2 4 9:20 -11 8
L W D L L
22 8 1 4 3 8:11 -3 7
L L L D D
23 8 0 6 2 9:15 -6 6
L D D D L
24 8 1 1 6 5:13 -8 4
L L D L W
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two