INDONESIA LIGA 1
03.05.2026 08:30
Brawijaya Stadium
Referee: Y. Supriyanto
Persik Kediri
Match Timeline
Arema FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
E. Gomez · Assist: T. Castanheira
Persik Kediri
🟨
14'
L. Guntara
Arema FC
28'
T. Castanheira · Assist: Bayu Otto
Persik Kediri
43'
E. Gomez · Assist: Bayu Otto
Persik Kediri
🔄
46'
L. Guntara ↔ A. Farisi
Arema FC
🔄
46'
A. Fikri ↔ J. Hariono
Arema FC
🔄
46'
M. Rifai ↔ S. Tuharea
Arema FC
🟨
51'
Betinho
Arema FC
🔄
61'
Gustavo Franca ↔ Joel Vinicius
Arema FC
🔄
63'
A. E. Jayanto ↔ V. Yagalo
Persik Kediri
🔄
63'
Jose Enrique ↔ Rodrigo Dias
Persik Kediri
🟨
66'
H. Hehanusa
Persik Kediri
🟨
74'
A. Luna
Persik Kediri
🔄
78'
Gabriel Silva ↔ Valdeci
Arema FC
🔄
81'
T. Castanheira ↔ S. Abimanyu
Persik Kediri
🔄
81'
A. Luna ↔ M. Supriadi
Persik Kediri
🟨
83'
Walisson Maia
Arema FC
86'
Dalberto · Assist: S. Tuharea
Arema FC
🟨
90+8'
Leo Navacchio
Persik Kediri
🔄
90+6'
Bayu Otto ↔ Y. Munawar
Persik Kediri
90'
Walisson Maia · Assist: R. Fahmi
Arema FC

Persik Kediri vs Arema FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 79.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
79.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Persik Kediri Win 42.1%
Draw 20.5%
Arema FC Win 37.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Persik Kediri1.25
Arema FC1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Persik Kediri Persik Kediri
WWDLW
35 GF / 51 GA
Arema FC Arema FC
WLDWL
40 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
21
BTTS Yes
19
20
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Persik Kediri Persik Kediri 30 matches
Arema FC Arema FC 30 matches
Persik Kediri Statistic Arema FC
9 Wins 10
6 Draws 9
15 Losses 11
35 Goals For 40
51 Goals Against 41
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
21 BTTS Yes 19
26 Over 1.5 24
20 Over 2.5 17
7 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Arema FC. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Persik Kediri have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Arema FC having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Persik Kediri Analysis

With 33 points from 30 games and a place of 12, Persik Kediri still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 15 defeats with a 35:51 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Jose Enrique (10 goals), E. Walian (6 goals), E. Gomez (3 goals), with creative support from E. Walian (9 assists), A. Luna (2 assists), W. Lugo (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Arema FC Analysis

Arema FC sit 11 with 39 points after 30 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, while the 40:41 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Dalberto (14 goals), Gabriel Silva (4 goals), Valdeci (4 goals), with creative support from Dalberto (4 assists), A. Farisi (4 assists), Paulinho Moccelin (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Persik Kediri won 7 times, Arema FC won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:13 from Persik Kediri's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.5%)
H2H summary: Persik Kediri wins 7, draws 0, Arema FC wins 4

Standings

Indonesia Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 7 3 59:22 37 79
D W W W W
2 34 25 4 5 74:31 43 79
W D W W W
3 34 22 5 7 65:29 36 71
W W L W W
4 34 16 10 8 61:35 26 58
W W D W W
5 34 16 5 13 53:45 8 53
W L W L L
6 34 15 8 11 68:53 15 53
L D L W W
7 34 16 5 13 44:37 7 53
L L W W W
8 34 14 9 11 57:48 9 51
W W L L W
9 34 13 9 12 53:47 6 48
W W W L L
10 34 13 6 15 38:37 1 45
L D L L W
11 34 11 12 11 43:44 -1 45
L W W L L
12 34 11 6 17 42:61 -19 39
L L W W L
13 34 9 9 16 31:45 -14 36
D D W L L
14 34 9 8 17 37:54 -17 35
W L L W W
15 34 8 10 16 39:49 -10 34
L L L W L
16 34 8 10 16 39:59 -20 34
W W D L L
17 34 5 5 24 22:65 -43 20
L L L L L
18 34 4 6 24 31:95 -64 18
L L L L L
Champions League 2
Challenge League
Relegation