INDONESIA LIGA 1
05.05.2026 08:30
Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium
Referee: R. Permana
Persepam Madura Utd
Match Timeline
Bali United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
Iran Junior · Assist: F. Alesandro
Persepam Madura Utd
🔄
44'
B. Adi ↔ M. Andhika
Bali United
🟨
54'
M. Andhika
Bali United
🔄
63'
K. Arel ↔ J. Raven
Bali United
🔄
66'
T. Muslihuddin ↔ N. Sasongko
Persepam Madura Utd
🟨
74'
I. Jaya
Bali United
76'
Junior Brandao
Persepam Madura Utd
🔄
80'
F. Alesandro ↔ Emerson Souza
Persepam Madura Utd
🔄
80'
Junior Brandao ↔ Riquelme
Persepam Madura Utd
🔄
80'
R. Arjuna ↔ Rizky Dwi
Bali United
🔄
80'
I. Jaya ↔ Rahmat
Bali United
🔄
80'
Kadek Agung ↔ T. Made
Bali United
🔄
90+4'
Iran Junior ↔ Ilhamsyah
Persepam Madura Utd

Persepam Madura Utd vs Bali United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 80%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 76%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
80%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
76%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Persepam Madura Utd Win 35.6%
Draw 0%
Bali United Win 64.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Persepam Madura Utd1.18
Bali United1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Persepam Madura Utd Persepam Madura Utd
WWDLW
31 GF / 49 GA
Bali United Bali United
WLDWL
50 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
17
BTTS Yes
16
17
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Persepam Madura Utd Persepam Madura Utd 30 matches
Bali United Bali United 30 matches
Persepam Madura Utd Statistic Bali United
7 Wins 12
8 Draws 9
15 Losses 9
31 Goals For 50
49 Goals Against 42
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
17 BTTS Yes 16
21 Over 1.5 20
17 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 12
5 Clean Sheets 11
11 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Bali United's more proactive style and Persepam Madura Utd's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Bali United look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Bali United. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Bali United having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Persepam Madura Utd Analysis

Persepam Madura Utd approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 29 points from 30 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 15 defeats with a 31:49 goal balance points toward good form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Lulinha (6 goals), Junior Brandao (4 goals), Mendonca (4 goals), with creative support from J. Wehrmann (5 assists), F. Alesandro (5 assists), A. Nufiandani (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bali United Analysis

From their first 30 matches, Bali United have collected 45 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 12 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 50:42 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Kopitovic (6 goals), T. Goppel (6 goals), M. Mustafic (5 goals), with creative support from T. Goppel (6 assists), I. Jaya (4 assists), T. Yachida (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Persepam Madura Utd won 6 times, Bali United won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:18 from Persepam Madura Utd's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Persepam Madura Utd wins 6, draws 1, Bali United wins 7

Standings

Indonesia Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 7 3 59:22 37 79
D W W W W
2 34 25 4 5 74:31 43 79
W D W W W
3 34 22 5 7 65:29 36 71
W W L W W
4 34 16 10 8 61:35 26 58
W W D W W
5 34 16 5 13 53:45 8 53
W L W L L
6 34 15 8 11 68:53 15 53
L D L W W
7 34 16 5 13 44:37 7 53
L L W W W
8 34 14 9 11 57:48 9 51
W W L L W
9 34 13 9 12 53:47 6 48
W W W L L
10 34 13 6 15 38:37 1 45
L D L L W
11 34 11 12 11 43:44 -1 45
L W W L L
12 34 11 6 17 42:61 -19 39
L L W W L
13 34 9 9 16 31:45 -14 36
D D W L L
14 34 9 8 17 37:54 -17 35
W L L W W
15 34 8 10 16 39:49 -10 34
L L L W L
16 34 8 10 16 39:59 -20 34
W W D L L
17 34 5 5 24 22:65 -43 20
L L L L L
18 34 4 6 24 31:95 -64 18
L L L L L
Champions League 2
Challenge League
Relegation