INDONESIA LIGA 1
02.05.2026 08:30
Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium
Referee: M. Santoso
Persebaya Surabaya
Match Timeline
PSBS Biak Numfor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
M. Hassan
PSBS Biak Numfor
🟨
29'
A. Catur
Persebaya Surabaya
VAR
45+2'
Luquinhas
PSBS Biak Numfor
🔄
46'
Freitas Gali ↔ Bruno
Persebaya Surabaya
🔄
46'
A. Catur ↔ R. Malik
Persebaya Surabaya
🔄
50'
D. Galih ↔ A. Wisnu
PSBS Biak Numfor
🔄
51'
M. Hassan ↔ I. Armaiyn
PSBS Biak Numfor
53'
M. Raickovic · Assist: Bruno
Persebaya Surabaya
🔄
62'
M. Perovic ↔ Bruno Paraiba
Persebaya Surabaya
66'
M. Raickovic · Assist: R. Malik
Persebaya Surabaya
🔄
69'
Luquinhas ↔ L. Urbanus
PSBS Biak Numfor
🔄
69'
M. Madjar ↔ L. Oktavianto
PSBS Biak Numfor
🔄
69'
A. Agung ↔ R. Siregar
PSBS Biak Numfor
🔄
73'
T. Firmansyah ↔ M. Baihaqi
Persebaya Surabaya
75'
F. Rivera · Assist: Bruno Paraiba
Persebaya Surabaya
81'
F. Rivera · Assist: Bruno
Persebaya Surabaya
🔄
88'
M. Raickovic ↔ M. Tata
Persebaya Surabaya
🟨
90'
R. Ardiansyah
Persebaya Surabaya
🟨
90+1'
N. Alom
PSBS Biak Numfor

Persebaya Surabaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Persebaya Surabaya Win 100%
Draw 0%
PSBS Biak Numfor Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Persebaya Surabaya1.89
PSBS Biak Numfor1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya
WWDLW
45 GF / 35 GA
PSBS Biak Numfor PSBS Biak Numfor
WLDWL
29 GF / 74 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
2.47
17
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
21
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 30 matches
PSBS Biak Numfor PSBS Biak Numfor 30 matches
Persebaya Surabaya Statistic PSBS Biak Numfor
13 Wins 4
9 Draws 6
8 Losses 20
45 Goals For 29
35 Goals Against 74
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 2.47
17 BTTS Yes 18
22 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 21
9 Over 3.5 13
10 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Persebaya Surabaya's more proactive style and PSBS Biak Numfor's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Persebaya Surabaya arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 48 points compared to PSBS Biak Numfor in 18 on 18, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward PSBS Biak Numfor. PSBS Biak Numfor arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward PSBS Biak Numfor having the stronger overall control.

Persebaya Surabaya Analysis

Persebaya Surabaya come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 48 points after 30 matches. The return of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 45:35, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through F. Rivera (10 goals), Bruno (9 goals), Freitas Gali (6 goals), with creative support from F. Rivera (5 assists), Freitas Gali (5 assists), Bruno (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

PSBS Biak Numfor Analysis

PSBS Biak Numfor sit 18 with 18 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 20 losses, together with goals at 29:74, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through R. Blanco (10 goals), Luquinhas (6 goals), H. Susanto (3 goals), with creative support from Luquinhas (6 assists), Pablo Andrade (4 assists), M. Hassan (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Persebaya Surabaya won 3 times, PSBS Biak Numfor won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:0 from Persebaya Surabaya's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
H2H summary: Persebaya Surabaya wins 3, draws 1, PSBS Biak Numfor wins 0

Standings

Indonesia Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 7 3 59:22 37 79
D W W W W
2 34 25 4 5 74:31 43 79
W D W W W
3 34 22 5 7 65:29 36 71
W W L W W
4 34 16 10 8 61:35 26 58
W W D W W
5 34 16 5 13 53:45 8 53
W L W L L
6 34 15 8 11 68:53 15 53
L D L W W
7 34 16 5 13 44:37 7 53
L L W W W
8 34 14 9 11 57:48 9 51
W W L L W
9 34 13 9 12 53:47 6 48
W W W L L
10 34 13 6 15 38:37 1 45
L D L L W
11 34 11 12 11 43:44 -1 45
L W W L L
12 34 11 6 17 42:61 -19 39
L L W W L
13 34 9 9 16 31:45 -14 36
D D W L L
14 34 9 8 17 37:54 -17 35
W L L W W
15 34 8 10 16 39:49 -10 34
L L L W L
16 34 8 10 16 39:59 -20 34
W W D L L
17 34 5 5 24 22:65 -43 20
L L L L L
18 34 4 6 24 31:95 -64 18
L L L L L
Champions League 2
Challenge League
Relegation