INDONESIA LIGA 1
--.--.---- --:--
Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium
Referee: M. Santoso
Persebaya Surabaya
Match Timeline
PSBS Biak Numfor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
M. Hassan
PSBS Biak Numfor
🟨
29'
A. Catur
Persebaya Surabaya
VAR
45+2'
Luquinhas
PSBS Biak Numfor
🔄
46'
Freitas Gali ↔ Bruno
Persebaya Surabaya
🔄
46'
A. Catur ↔ R. Malik
Persebaya Surabaya
🔄
50'
D. Galih ↔ A. Wisnu
PSBS Biak Numfor
🔄
51'
M. Hassan ↔ I. Armaiyn
PSBS Biak Numfor
53'
M. Raickovic · Assist: Bruno
Persebaya Surabaya
🔄
62'
M. Perovic ↔ Bruno Paraiba
Persebaya Surabaya
66'
M. Raickovic · Assist: R. Malik
Persebaya Surabaya
🔄
69'
Luquinhas ↔ L. Urbanus
PSBS Biak Numfor
🔄
69'
M. Madjar ↔ L. Oktavianto
PSBS Biak Numfor
🔄
69'
A. Agung ↔ R. Siregar
PSBS Biak Numfor
🔄
73'
T. Firmansyah ↔ M. Baihaqi
Persebaya Surabaya
75'
F. Rivera · Assist: Bruno Paraiba
Persebaya Surabaya
81'
F. Rivera · Assist: Bruno
Persebaya Surabaya
🔄
88'
M. Raickovic ↔ M. Tata
Persebaya Surabaya
🟨
90'
R. Ardiansyah
Persebaya Surabaya
🟨
90+1'
N. Alom
PSBS Biak Numfor

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Persebaya Surabaya Win 100%
Draw 0%
PSBS Biak Numfor Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Persebaya Surabaya1.89
PSBS Biak Numfor1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya
WWDLW
45 GF / 35 GA
PSBS Biak Numfor PSBS Biak Numfor
WLDWL
29 GF / 74 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
2.47
17
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
21
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 30 matches
PSBS Biak Numfor PSBS Biak Numfor 30 matches
Persebaya Surabaya Statistic PSBS Biak Numfor
13 Wins 4
9 Draws 6
8 Losses 20
45 Goals For 29
35 Goals Against 74
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 2.47
17 BTTS Yes 18
22 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 21
9 Over 3.5 13
10 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Persebaya Surabaya's more proactive style and PSBS Biak Numfor's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Persebaya Surabaya arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 48 points compared to PSBS Biak Numfor in 18 on 18, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward PSBS Biak Numfor. PSBS Biak Numfor arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward PSBS Biak Numfor having the stronger overall control.

Persebaya Surabaya Analysis

Persebaya Surabaya come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 48 points after 30 matches. The return of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 45:35, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through F. Rivera (10 goals), Bruno (9 goals), Freitas Gali (6 goals), with creative support from F. Rivera (5 assists), Freitas Gali (5 assists), Bruno (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

PSBS Biak Numfor Analysis

PSBS Biak Numfor sit 18 with 18 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 20 losses, together with goals at 29:74, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through R. Blanco (10 goals), Luquinhas (6 goals), H. Susanto (3 goals), with creative support from Luquinhas (6 assists), Pablo Andrade (4 assists), M. Hassan (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Persebaya Surabaya won 3 times, PSBS Biak Numfor won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:0 from Persebaya Surabaya's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
H2H summary: Persebaya Surabaya wins 3, draws 1, PSBS Biak Numfor wins 0

Lineups

Persebaya Surabaya
Formation
PSBS Biak Numfor
A. Ramadhani
A. Ramadhani
A. Catur
A. Catur
R. Mitrevski
R. Mitrevski
Gustavo Fernandes
Gustavo Fernandes
Jefferson
Jefferson
M. Raickovic
⚽ 2
M. Raickovic
T. Firmansyah
T. Firmansyah
Freitas Gali
Freitas Gali
F. Rivera
⚽ 2
F. Rivera
R. Ardiansyah
R. Ardiansyah
M. Perovic
M. Perovic
D. Galih
D. Galih
A. Agung
A. Agung
N. Haji Haris
N. Haji Haris
M. Madjar
M. Madjar
Pablo Andrade
Pablo Andrade
Y. Putra
Y. Putra
N. Alom
N. Alom
I. Hadi
I. Hadi
H. Susanto
H. Susanto
M. Hassan
M. Hassan
Luquinhas
Luquinhas
Persebaya Surabaya 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
52
A. Ramadhani
2
A. Catur
↓ 46' 🟨 29'
5
R. Mitrevski
44
Gustavo Fernandes
17
Jefferson
88
M. Raickovic
⚽ 53' ⚽ 66' ↓ 88'
68
T. Firmansyah
↓ 73'
22
Freitas Gali
↓ 46'
7
F. Rivera
⚽ 75' ⚽ 81'
14
R. Ardiansyah
🟨 90'
11
M. Perovic
↓ 62'
Substitutes
82
A. Arido
8
O. Fernando
10
Bruno
🎯 53' 🎯 81' ↑ 46'
15
M. Tata
↑ 88'
18
R. May
26
D. Wicaksono
33
K. Araya
66
S. Kardanu
77
R. Malik
🎯 66' ↑ 46'
78
A. Mujtaba
83
Bruno Paraiba
🎯 75' ↑ 62'
81
M. Baihaqi
↑ 73'
PSBS Biak Numfor 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
92
D. Galih
↓ 50'
15
A. Agung
↓ 69'
5
N. Haji Haris
44
M. Madjar
↓ 69'
33
Pablo Andrade
27
Y. Putra
90
N. Alom
🟨 90+1'
87
I. Hadi
94
H. Susanto
9
M. Hassan
↓ 51' 🟨 27'
10
Luquinhas
↓ 69'
Substitutes
35
A. Wisnu
↑ 50'
13
L. Urbanus
↑ 69'
14
I. Rumbewas
32
P. Rumere
23
L. Oktavianto
↑ 69'
30
I. Armaiyn
↑ 51'
98
S. Gwijangge
46
T. Solossa
77
R. Siregar
↑ 69'
Last matches: Persebaya Surabaya
19.07.26
Fri
Persebaya Surabaya
PSIS Semarang
2
2
D
23.05.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persik Kediri
5
0
W
15.05.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Semen Padang
7
0
W
09.05.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persis Solo
0
0
D
28.04.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
4
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Malut United
2
0
W
17.04.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persepam Madura Utd
1
2
L
11.04.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persija
0
3
L
04.04.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persita
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Pusamania Borneo
1
5
L
02.03.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persib Bandung
2
2
D
25.02.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
PSM Makassar
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persijap
1
3
L
14.02.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Bhayangkara FC
1
2
L
07.02.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Bali United
3
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Dewa United
1
1
D
25.01.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
PSIM Yogyakarta
3
0
W
10.01.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Malut United
2
1
W
03.01.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persepam Madura Utd
1
0
W
28.12.25
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persijap
4
0
W
Last matches: PSBS Biak Numfor
23.05.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Bhayangkara FC
0
7
L
15.05.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Arema FC
2
5
L
08.05.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Dewa United
0
5
L
28.04.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Malut United
0
7
L
24.04.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Persijap
0
2
L
18.04.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Persija
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Pusamania Borneo
1
5
L
06.04.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Bali United
1
6
L
09.03.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Semen Padang
0
2
L
05.03.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Persik Kediri
1
2
L
27.02.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
PSIM Yogyakarta
2
4
L
21.02.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Persis Solo
1
1
D
16.02.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Persita
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
PSM Makassar
1
2
L
31.01.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Persepam Madura Utd
0
0
D
25.01.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Persib Bandung
0
1
L
12.01.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Bhayangkara FC
4
1
W
04.01.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Malut United
2
6
L
29.12.25
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
PSIM Yogyakarta
2
2
D
22.12.25
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Bali United
0
3
L
H2H: Persebaya Surabaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor
02.05.26
H2H
Persebaya Surabaya
PSBS Biak Numfor
4
0
W
24.10.25
H2H
PSBS Biak Numfor
Persebaya Surabaya
0
0
D
15.02.25
H2H
Persebaya Surabaya
PSBS Biak Numfor
1
0
W
22.09.24
H2H
PSBS Biak Numfor
Persebaya Surabaya
0
1
W
Last matches: Persebaya Surabaya
19.07.26
Fri
Persebaya Surabaya
PSIS Semarang
2
2
D
23.05.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persik Kediri
5
0
W
17.04.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persepam Madura Utd
1
2
L
04.04.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persita
1
0
W
02.03.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persib Bandung
2
2
D
25.02.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
PSM Makassar
1
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Bhayangkara FC
1
2
L
01.02.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Dewa United
1
1
D
10.01.26
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Malut United
2
1
W
28.12.25
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persijap
4
0
W
20.12.25
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Pusamania Borneo
2
2
D
22.11.25
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
1
1
D
02.11.25
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persis Solo
2
1
W
18.10.25
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Persija
1
3
L
19.09.25
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Semen Padang
1
0
W
23.08.25
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
Bali United
5
2
W
08.08.25
Lig
Persebaya Surabaya
PSIM Yogyakarta
0
1
L
H2H at home: Persebaya Surabaya
02.05.26
H2H
Persebaya Surabaya
PSBS Biak Numfor
4
0
W
15.02.25
H2H
Persebaya Surabaya
PSBS Biak Numfor
1
0
W
Last matches: PSBS Biak Numfor
23.05.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Bhayangkara FC
0
7
L
24.04.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Persijap
0
2
L
11.04.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Pusamania Borneo
1
5
L
06.04.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Bali United
1
6
L
05.03.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Persik Kediri
1
2
L
21.02.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Persis Solo
1
1
D
16.02.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Persita
1
2
L
31.01.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Persepam Madura Utd
0
0
D
25.01.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Persib Bandung
0
1
L
04.01.26
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Malut United
2
6
L
29.12.25
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
PSIM Yogyakarta
2
2
D
21.11.25
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
PSM Makassar
0
5
L
31.10.25
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Persija
1
3
L
20.09.25
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Dewa United
1
3
L
11.09.25
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Semen Padang
2
1
W
11.08.25
Lig
PSBS Biak Numfor
Arema FC
1
4
L
H2H away: PSBS Biak Numfor
02.05.26
H2H
Persebaya Surabaya
PSBS Biak Numfor
4
0
L
15.02.25
H2H
Persebaya Surabaya
PSBS Biak Numfor
1
0
L

Standings

Indonesia Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 7 3 59:22 37 79
D W W W W
2 34 25 4 5 74:31 43 79
W D W W W
3 34 22 5 7 65:29 36 71
W W L W W
4 34 16 10 8 61:35 26 58
W W D W W
5 34 16 5 13 53:45 8 53
W L W L L
6 34 15 8 11 68:53 15 53
L D L W W
7 34 16 5 13 44:37 7 53
L L W W W
8 34 14 9 11 57:48 9 51
W W L L W
9 34 13 9 12 53:47 6 48
W W W L L
10 34 13 6 15 38:37 1 45
L D L L W
11 34 11 12 11 43:44 -1 45
L W W L L
12 34 11 6 17 42:61 -19 39
L L W W L
13 34 9 9 16 31:45 -14 36
D D W L L
14 34 9 8 17 37:54 -17 35
W L L W W
15 34 8 10 16 39:49 -10 34
L L L W L
16 34 8 10 16 39:59 -20 34
W W D L L
17 34 5 5 24 22:65 -43 20
L L L L L
18 34 4 6 24 31:95 -64 18
L L L L L
Champions League 2
Challenge League
Relegation