WALES PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Bryntirion Park
Referee: J. A. Jones
Penybont
Match Timeline
Haverfordwest County AFC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
C. Venables · Assist: E. Cann
Penybont
🟨
31'
A. Baker
Penybont
🔄
45+1'
A. Cvetkovic ↔ C. Green
Penybont
🔄
62'
O. Jones ↔ W. Hughes
Haverfordwest County AFC
🔄
63'
A. Baker ↔ J. Jones
Penybont
64'
M. Davies
Penybont
🟨
68'
C. Venables
Penybont
🔄
80'
C. Venables ↔ N. Daley
Penybont
🔄
80'
J. Wilson ↔ J. Bacon
Haverfordwest County AFC
🟨
85'
J. Bacon
Haverfordwest County AFC
🟨
90+3'
J. Clay
Penybont

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Penybont Win 37%
Draw 0%
Haverfordwest County AFC Win 63%
Expected Goals (xG)
Penybont1.24
Haverfordwest County AFC1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Penybont Penybont
WWDLW
40 GF / 53 GA
Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC
WLDWL
52 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.49
1.51
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
14
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Penybont Penybont 35 matches
Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC 35 matches
Penybont Statistic Haverfordwest County AFC
11 Wins 14
10 Draws 7
14 Losses 14
40 Goals For 52
53 Goals Against 49
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.49
1.51 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
14 BTTS Yes 15
24 Over 1.5 25
15 Over 2.5 19
9 Over 3.5 14
12 Clean Sheets 14
15 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs Penybont's more proactive style and Haverfordwest County AFC's more cautious structure, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Penybont hold an advantage after winning the first leg 2-1, so Haverfordwest County AFC now have a 1-goal deficit to overturn. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Haverfordwest County AFC. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Penybont arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 38 points compared to Haverfordwest County AFC in 9 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Penybont have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Haverfordwest County AFC having the stronger overall control.

Penybont Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Penybont arrive from a league campaign that has them 3 with 38 points after 22 matches. The return of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 36:31 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by J. Crole (11 goals), N. Daley (11 goals), I. Phillips (4 goals), and at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Haverfordwest County AFC Analysis

Haverfordwest County AFC come into this tie placed 9 in their league with 24 points from 22 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats with goals at 30:39 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on B. Ahmun (13 goals), C. Shephard (9 goals), D. Hawkins (7 goals), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Penybont won 11 times, Haverfordwest County AFC won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:9 from Penybont's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Penybont 4-4-2 / Haverfordwest County AFC -
H2H summary: Penybont wins 11, draws 2, Haverfordwest County AFC wins 2

Lineups

Penybont
Formation
Haverfordwest County AFC
L. Armstrong
L. Armstrong
K. Ludvigsen
K. Ludvigsen
A. Baker
A. Baker
B. Borge
B. Borge
J. Clay
J. Clay
M. Davies
M. Davies
O. Pritchard
O. Pritchard
C. Venables
C. Venables
N. Wood
N. Wood
A. Cvetkovic
A. Cvetkovic
E. Cann
🎯
E. Cann
I. Knott
I. Knott
J. Wilson
J. Wilson
D. Rees
D. Rees
K. McCarthy
K. McCarthy
R. Abbruzzese
R. Abbruzzese
G. Walters
G. Walters
C. Shephard
C. Shephard
K. Kenniford
K. Kenniford
D. Hawkins
D. Hawkins
O. Jones
O. Jones
B. Ahmun
B. Ahmun
Penybont 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
L. Armstrong
2
K. Ludvigsen
21
A. Baker
↓ 63' 🟨 31'
16
B. Borge
15
J. Clay
🟨 90+3'
6
M. Davies
⚽ 64'
8
O. Pritchard
9
C. Venables
⚽ 10' ↓ 80' 🟨 68'
7
N. Wood
33
A. Cvetkovic
↓ 45+1'
10
E. Cann
🎯 10'
Substitutes
5
J. Woodiwiss
11
N. Daley
↑ 80'
17
I. Phillips
18
J. Jones
↑ 63'
24
A. Matthews
29
C. Green
↑ 45+1'
72
J. Villacorta
Haverfordwest County AFC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
I. Knott
22
J. Wilson
↓ 80'
2
D. Rees
17
K. McCarthy
3
R. Abbruzzese
18
G. Walters
8
C. Shephard
19
K. Kenniford
10
D. Hawkins
20
O. Jones
↓ 62'
28
B. Ahmun
Substitutes
31
L. Rees
24
I. Humphreys
6
J. Bacon
↑ 80' 🟨 85'
23
W. Hughes
↑ 62'
11
P. Makwiramiti
21
A. Watkins
44
H. Thomas
Last matches: Penybont
16.07.26
UEF
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
0
3
L
09.07.26
UEF
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
0
1
L
23.06.26
Fri
Penybont
Trethomas Bluebirds
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
1
2
L
03.03.26
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
1
3
L
14.02.26
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
0
D
07.02.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
0
6
L
24.01.26
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
0
D
13.01.26
Pre
Penybont
Cardiff MET
1
1
D
01.01.26
Pre
Penybont
llanelli AFC
1
0
W
26.12.25
Pre
Penybont
Briton Ferry
1
1
D
09.12.25
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
1
1
D
29.11.25
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
4
5
L
15.11.25
Pre
Penybont
Bala Town
2
1
W
Last matches: Haverfordwest County AFC
21.07.26
Fri
Haverfordwest County AFC
Caerau (Ely)
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Haverfordwest County AFC
Gloucester City
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Haverfordwest County AFC
Hamilton Academical
0
4
L
26.04.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
6
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Flint Town United
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Briton Ferry
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Bala Town
0
1
L
13.03.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Cardiff MET
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Flint Town United
1
3
L
20.02.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
1
0
W
13.02.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Bala Town
3
0
W
06.02.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Briton Ferry
2
0
W
23.01.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Cardiff MET
2
0
W
13.01.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Briton Ferry
2
3
L
30.12.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Cardiff MET
0
0
D
26.12.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
3
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Flint Town United
2
2
D
05.12.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Bala Town
2
0
W
28.11.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
0
4
L
H2H: Penybont vs Haverfordwest County AFC
02.05.26
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
0
W
07.10.25
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
1
W
08.08.25
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
0
1
W
21.03.25
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
1
2
W
01.02.25
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
0
D
03.12.24
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
0
W
17.09.24
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
0
W
23.08.24
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
0
0
D
21.04.24
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
0
W
08.03.24
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
0
1
W
17.10.23
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
3
2
L
18.08.23
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
0
W
04.07.23
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
0
W
02.12.22
H2H
Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
2
1
L
30.08.22
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
2
W
Last matches: Penybont
09.07.26
UEF
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
0
D
24.01.26
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
0
D
13.01.26
Pre
Penybont
Cardiff MET
1
1
D
26.12.25
Pre
Penybont
Briton Ferry
1
1
D
09.12.25
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
1
1
D
15.11.25
Pre
Penybont
Bala Town
2
1
W
25.10.25
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
2
L
07.10.25
Pre
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
1
W
27.09.25
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
1
0
W
13.09.25
Pre
Penybont
Flint Town United
5
0
W
30.08.25
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
1
L
25.08.25
Pre
Penybont
llanelli AFC
2
0
W
16.08.25
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
0
2
L
17.07.25
UEF
Penybont
Kauno Žalgiris
1
1
D
H2H at home: Penybont
02.05.26
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
0
W
07.10.25
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
1
W
01.02.25
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
0
D
03.12.24
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
0
W
17.09.24
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
0
W
21.04.24
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
0
W
18.08.23
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
0
W
04.07.23
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
0
W
30.08.22
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
2
W
Last matches: Haverfordwest County AFC
18.07.26
Fri
Haverfordwest County AFC
Gloucester City
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Flint Town United
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Bala Town
0
1
L
20.02.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
1
0
W
06.02.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Briton Ferry
2
0
W
23.01.26
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Cardiff MET
2
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Cardiff MET
0
0
D
20.12.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Flint Town United
2
2
D
05.12.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Bala Town
2
0
W
28.11.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Barry Town
0
4
L
08.11.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Caernarfon Town
2
2
D
25.10.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
GAP Connah S Quay FC
3
3
D
07.10.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Penybont
1
2
L
26.09.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
llanelli AFC
0
1
L
13.09.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Colwyn Bay
0
3
L
06.09.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
The New Saints
0
5
L
25.08.25
Pre
Haverfordwest County AFC
Briton Ferry
1
0
W
08.07.25
UEF
Haverfordwest County AFC
Floriana
1
2
L
H2H away: Haverfordwest County AFC
02.05.26
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
0
L
07.10.25
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
1
L
01.02.25
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
0
D
03.12.24
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
0
L
17.09.24
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
0
L
21.04.24
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
0
L
18.08.23
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
0
L
04.07.23
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
0
L
30.08.22
H2H
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
2
L

Standings

Cymru Premier , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 26 2 4 81:25 56 80
W W W L W
2 32 16 10 6 61:38 23 58
D L D W W
3 32 12 10 10 43:33 10 46
L L W D W
4 32 12 9 11 56:47 9 45
W W L L L
5 32 12 9 11 41:37 4 45
L D L D W
6 32 11 8 13 39:49 -10 41
W W L L D
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs