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06.11.2026 19:45
Penybont
FT
2 - 0
Caernarfon Town
Bryntirion Park
Referee: B. Markham-Jones

Penybont vs Caernarfon Town H2H Stats

Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.

View today's football H2H stats
Penybont
Match Timeline
Caernarfon Town
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
19'
C. Venables
Penybont
⚽
49'
T. Walker
Penybont
🟨
50'
H. Charsley
Caernarfon Town
🔄
63'
H. Charsley ↔ J. Canavan
Caernarfon Town
🟨
76'
A. Cieslewicz
Caernarfon Town
🔄
77'
T. Walker ↔ J. Leko
Penybont
🔄
82'
A. Cieslewicz ↔ P. Mendes
Caernarfon Town
🟨
83'
C. Marriott
Caernarfon Town
🟨
86'
S. Bradley
Caernarfon Town
🔄
86'
M. Manga ↔ A. Baker
Penybont
🔄
90'
R. Hill ↔ E. Vaughan
Penybont

Penybont vs Caernarfon Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.75
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
67.1%
1.44 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.75 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.33 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Penybont Win 33%
Draw 27.8%
Caernarfon Town Win 39.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Penybont1.83
Caernarfon Town1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Penybont Penybont
W W L W W
15 GF / 4 GA
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town
L W W L D
9 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.94
Average Goals Scored
2.44
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
8
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Penybont Penybont 17 matches
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 18 matches
Penybont Statistic Caernarfon Town
11 Wins 10
3 Draws 2
3 Losses 6
33 Goals For 44
15 Goals Against 30
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 2.44
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
8 BTTS Yes 11
12 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Penybont won 9 times, Caernarfon Town won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:20 from Penybont's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (72.2%)
H2H summary: Penybont wins 9, draws 1, Caernarfon Town wins 5

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
The New Saints
16 14 2 0 54:6 48 44
W D W W W
2
GAP Connah S Quay FC
16 12 2 2 34:9 25 38
W D W W W
3
Penybont Home
15 11 3 1 32:11 21 36
W W W L W
4
Colwyn Bay
16 10 2 4 28:18 10 32
W W D W L
5
Airbus UK
16 10 0 6 34:24 10 30
W W W W W
6
Caernarfon Town Away
16 9 2 5 42:21 21 29
L L W W L
7
Barry Town
16 9 2 5 35:29 6 29
D W L L W
8
Cardiff MET
16 7 4 5 29:23 6 25
W L D L W
9
Cambrian & Clydach
16 5 4 7 26:41 -15 19
D L L L L
10
Llandudno
16 5 1 10 22:29 -7 16
L L L L L
11
Haverfordwest County AFC
16 5 1 10 12:23 -11 16
L W W L L
12
Briton Ferry
16 4 3 9 17:28 -11 15
L W L L W
13
Flint Town United
16 4 2 10 19:27 -8 14
L W W L W
14
Ammanford AFC
16 3 3 10 13:43 -30 12
W L L W W
15
Trefelin
16 1 3 12 9:38 -29 6
L L L W L
16
Holywell
15 0 2 13 16:52 -36 2
L L L L D
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)