Penybont
Match Timeline
Caernarfon Town
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Penybont Win 0%
Draw 0%
Caernarfon Town Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Penybont1.57
Caernarfon Town1.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Penybont
WWDLW
23 GF / 17 GA
Caernarfon Town
WLDWL
30 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
2.31
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.62
5
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Penybont
15 matches
Caernarfon Town
13 matches
| Penybont | Statistic | Caernarfon Town |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 6 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 23 | Goals For | 30 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.31 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Penybont won 9 times, Caernarfon Town won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:20 from Penybont's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Penybont 4-4-2 / Caernarfon Town 5-4-1
H2H summary: Penybont wins 9, draws 1, Caernarfon Town wins 5
Lineups
Penybont
Formation
Caernarfon Town
L. Armstrong
M. Little
J. Woodiwiss
G. Kircough
A. Baker
N. Daley
K. Owen
C. Green
M. Davies
N. Wood
J. Crole
C. Roberts
M. Owen
R. Sears
P. Mooney
K. Harrison
D. Smith
A. Davies
S. Bradley
I. Lewis
S. Downey
M. Jones
Penybont
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
L. Armstrong
30
M. Little
↓ 68'
5
J. Woodiwiss
4
G. Kircough
21
A. Baker
🟨 56'
11
N. Daley
↓ 85'
3
K. Owen
↓ 79'
29
C. Green
🟨 58'
6
M. Davies
7
N. Wood
↓ 68'
10
J. Crole
🟨 87'
Substitutes
35
J. Price
8
O. Pritchard
↑ 68'
14
I. Phillips
↑ 85'
15
J. Clay
↑ 68'
16
B. Borge
17
O. Warlow
↑ 79'
18
J. Jones
Caernarfon Town
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
C. Roberts
🟨 18'
2
M. Owen
🟨 79'
27
R. Sears
5
P. Mooney
🟨 41'
24
K. Harrison
⚽ 51'
15
D. Smith
9
A. Davies
↓ 84'
19
S. Bradley
⚽ 84'
6
I. Lewis
17
S. Downey
🟨 8'
3
M. Jones
Substitutes
13
H. Thomas
10
D. Thomas
12
O. Abadaki
21
C. Evans
↑ 84'
23
J. Lock
39
O. Ellis
Last matches: Penybont
14.08.26
Pre
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
0
W
07.08.26
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
2
1
W
02.08.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
0
0
D
16.07.26
UEF
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
0
3
L
09.07.26
UEF
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
0
1
L
23.06.26
Fri
Penybont
Trethomas Bluebirds
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
1
2
L
03.03.26
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
1
3
L
14.02.26
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
0
D
07.02.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
0
6
L
24.01.26
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
0
D
13.01.26
Pre
Penybont
Cardiff MET
1
1
D
01.01.26
Pre
Penybont
llanelli AFC
1
0
W
Last matches: Caernarfon Town
15.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
07.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
02.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
09.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
20.06.26
Fri
Caernarfon Town
Glentoran
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
27.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
L
27.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
0
2
L
06.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
0
D
13.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
2
D
31.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
1
0
W
27.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
L
05.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Flint Town United
1
1
D
H2H: Penybont vs Caernarfon Town
07.08.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
W
18.04.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
L
24.01.26
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
0
D
25.10.25
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
2
L
20.09.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
W
13.04.25
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
3
1
W
22.02.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
3
2
L
02.11.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
5
W
07.09.24
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
2
0
W
18.05.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
3
1
L
04.11.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
4
W
16.09.23
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
3
2
W
07.01.23
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
5
1
W
05.11.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
2
W
15.04.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
0
L
Last matches: Penybont
02.08.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
0
0
D
09.07.26
UEF
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pre
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
0
D
24.01.26
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
0
D
13.01.26
Pre
Penybont
Cardiff MET
1
1
D
26.12.25
Pre
Penybont
Briton Ferry
1
1
D
09.12.25
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
1
1
D
15.11.25
Pre
Penybont
Bala Town
2
1
W
07.10.25
Pre
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
1
W
27.09.25
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
1
0
W
13.09.25
Pre
Penybont
Flint Town United
5
0
W
30.08.25
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
1
L
25.08.25
Pre
Penybont
llanelli AFC
2
0
W
16.08.25
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
0
2
L
17.07.25
UEF
Penybont
Kauno Žalgiris
1
1
D
H2H at home: Penybont
24.01.26
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
0
D
25.10.25
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
2
L
13.04.25
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
3
1
W
07.09.24
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
2
0
W
16.09.23
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
3
2
W
07.01.23
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
5
1
W
Last matches: Caernarfon Town
02.08.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
20.06.26
Fri
Caernarfon Town
Glentoran
2
1
W
03.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
1
2
L
20.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
2
L
06.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
0
D
31.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
1
0
W
28.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
2
L
15.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
llanelli AFC
1
1
D
11.10.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
2
2
D
04.10.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
0
1
L
23.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
13.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Briton Ferry
5
2
W
30.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
1
D
22.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Flint Town United
5
2
W
09.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Cardiff MET
2
2
D
H2H away: Caernarfon Town
24.01.26
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
0
D
25.10.25
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
2
W
13.04.25
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
3
1
L
07.09.24
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
2
0
L
16.09.23
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
3
2
L
07.01.23
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
5
1
L
Standings
Cymru Premier , Championship Round
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 26 | 2 | 4 | 81:25 | 56 | 80 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 61:38 | 23 | 58 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 46 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Caernarfon Town
Away
|
32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 45 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
| 5 | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 41:37 | 4 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Penybont
Home
|
32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39:49 | -10 | 41 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs