WALES PREMIER LEAGUE
15.09.2026 18:45
Bryntirion Park

Penybont vs Briton Ferry Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.2%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Penybont Win 70.2%
Draw 6.5%
Briton Ferry Win 23.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Penybont1.68
Briton Ferry0.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Penybont Penybont
WWDLW
14 GF / 9 GA
Briton Ferry Briton Ferry
WLDWL
8 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
0.8
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
2.1
4
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Penybont Penybont 10 matches
Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 10 matches
Penybont Statistic Briton Ferry
5 Wins 3
3 Draws 1
2 Losses 6
14 Goals For 8
9 Goals Against 21
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 2.1
4 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Penybont's more proactive style and Briton Ferry's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Briton Ferry. Penybont arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 15 points compared to Briton Ferry in 11 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Briton Ferry arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Briton Ferry having the stronger overall control.

Penybont Analysis

Penybont are currently 6 in the standings with 15 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 11:5 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Briton Ferry Analysis

Briton Ferry sit 11 with 7 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 5:12 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Penybont won 4 times, Briton Ferry won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:6 from Penybont's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.56 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.5%)
H2H summary: Penybont wins 4, draws 4, Briton Ferry wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 1 0 17:3 14 19
W W W W W
2 7 6 0 1 17:8 9 18
L W W W W
3 7 5 1 1 18:5 13 16
D W W W W
4 7 5 0 2 18:9 9 15
W L W W W
5 7 5 0 2 15:7 8 15
W L W L W
6 7 4 3 0 11:5 6 15
W D D W W
7 7 4 1 2 18:9 9 13
D W W L L
8 7 4 0 3 13:9 4 12
W W L L W
9 7 3 1 3 8:11 -3 10
L W L W L
10 7 2 3 2 10:10 0 9
D D L W W
11 7 2 1 4 5:12 -7 7
L L L W L
12 7 1 1 5 3:13 -10 4
D W L L L
13 7 0 2 5 4:16 -12 2
L L D L L
14 7 0 2 5 3:18 -15 2
D L D L L
15 7 0 1 6 6:14 -8 1
L L D L L
16 7 0 1 6 10:27 -17 1
D L L L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)