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09.10.2026 18:45
Bryntirion Park
Referee: C. Charlton-Fleming
Penybont
Match Timeline
Barry Town
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
9'
W. Richards ↔ J. Bernard
Barry Town
⚽
12'
J. Lester
Barry Town
⚽
18'
E. Cann
Penybont
⚽
39'
T. Walker
Penybont
⚽
53'
E. Cann
Penybont
🔄
68'
E. Cann ↔ C. Venables
Penybont
🔄
73'
R. Schwank ↔ J. Fahiya
Barry Town
🔄
76'
O. Pritchard ↔ D. Barrow
Penybont
🟨
80'
D. Barton
Barry Town
🔄
90+2'
L. Shephard ↔ A. Debono
Penybont
🔄
90'
C. Sainty ↔ A. Njie
Barry Town

Penybont vs Barry Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Penybont Win 51.8%
Draw 11%
Barry Town Win 37.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Penybont1.58
Barry Town1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Penybont Penybont
WWDLW
25 GF / 14 GA
Barry Town Barry Town
WLDWL
41 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
2.28
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
7
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Penybont Penybont 15 matches
Barry Town Barry Town 18 matches
Penybont Statistic Barry Town
9 Wins 13
3 Draws 1
3 Losses 4
25 Goals For 41
14 Goals Against 26
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 2.28
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
7 BTTS Yes 13
10 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 13
3 Over 3.5 11
5 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Barry Town. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Penybont come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Barry Town having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Penybont Analysis

Penybont approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 27 points after 12 outings. With 8 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 22:10, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Barry Town Analysis

Barry Town arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 25 points after 12 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 27:20 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Penybont won 6 times, Barry Town won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:17 from Penybont's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89%)
H2H summary: Penybont wins 6, draws 6, Barry Town wins 3

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 12 1 0 44:6 38 37
W W W W W
2 13 10 1 2 30:9 21 31
W W W W W
3 13 9 3 1 25:11 14 30
W L W W W
4 13 8 2 3 37:15 22 26
W L D W D
5 13 8 1 4 22:15 7 25
W L W W W
6 13 8 1 4 28:23 5 25
L W L L D
7 13 6 3 4 24:16 8 21
L W W D L
8 13 7 0 6 25:18 7 21
W W L W L
9 13 5 3 5 21:33 -12 18
L L W L W
10 13 5 1 7 22:23 -1 16
L L L L D
11 13 3 3 7 12:22 -10 12
L W D D L
12 13 3 1 9 8:19 -11 10
L L L L W
13 13 2 3 8 10:32 -22 9
W W L L D
14 13 2 2 9 12:25 -13 8
L W W L L
15 13 1 3 9 8:31 -23 6
W L L D L
16 13 0 2 11 14:44 -30 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)