TURKEY 1. LIG
20.09.2026 14:00
Pendik Stadyumu
Referee: D. Tonusluoglu

Pendikspor vs Bodrum FK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.93
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.74
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.6%
1.93
BTTS No
50.8%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.74
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.9%
1.44
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20
Correct Score 2-0
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Pendikspor Win 69.6%
Draw 6.4%
Bodrum FK Win 24%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pendikspor1.11
Bodrum FK1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pendikspor Pendikspor
WWDLW
11 GF / 13 GA
Bodrum FK Bodrum FK
WLDWL
6 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
6
BTTS Yes
1
4
Over 2.5
2
4.29
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pendikspor Pendikspor 8 matches
Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 7 matches
Pendikspor Statistic Bodrum FK
3 Wins 1
3 Draws 4
2 Losses 2
11 Goals For 6
13 Goals Against 5
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
6 BTTS Yes 1
7 Over 1.5 3
4 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 5
4.29 Shots On Goal 3
12.14 Total Shots 9.57
4.57 Corners 4.14
53.1% Ball Possession 48.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Bodrum FK's more proactive style and Pendikspor's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pendikspor expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Bodrum FK in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bodrum FK having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Bodrum FK. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Pendikspor Analysis

Pendikspor are currently 11 in the standings with 9 points from 7 matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 9:12 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through H. Yeşil (1 goals), Thuram (1 goals), M. Özdemir (1 goals), with creative support from H. Yeşil (1 assists), Thuram (1 assists), B. Karadeniz (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bodrum FK Analysis

Bodrum FK approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 7 points from 7 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 6:5 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Fernando Andrade (2 goals), E. Bilsel (1 goals), V. Aboubakar (1 goals), with creative support from B. Yavuzay (1 assists), F. Loshaj (1 assists), E. Arslan (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Pendikspor won 2 times, Bodrum FK won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:11 from Pendikspor's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Pendikspor 4-1-4-1 / Bodrum FK 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Pendikspor wins 2, draws 3, Bodrum FK wins 3

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 16:7 9 19
W D W W W
2 7 5 1 1 14:3 11 16
W W D L W
3 8 5 1 2 12:7 5 16
D W W W W
4 8 5 1 2 15:13 2 16
L L W W W
5 8 4 2 2 11:9 2 14
W D L W W
6 8 3 4 1 17:10 7 13
D D W W D
7 7 3 3 1 9:4 5 12
L W D D W
8 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D L D D
9 8 2 5 1 8:7 1 11
D D D W W
10 8 2 4 2 12:5 7 10
L D W L D
11 7 2 3 2 12:11 1 9
D L L D D
12 7 3 0 4 11:13 -2 9
W L W L L
13 7 2 3 2 9:12 -3 9
D W L D W
14 8 1 5 2 9:11 -2 8
D D W D L
15 7 1 4 2 6:5 1 7
W L D D D
16 8 1 3 4 6:9 -3 6
W L L L D
17 7 1 3 3 8:14 -6 6
D D L D W
18 8 0 5 3 4:10 -6 5
L D L D L
19 7 0 2 5 6:19 -13 2
L L L D L
20 8 0 1 7 3:20 -17 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation