Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
91.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
21.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
74.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Penarol
19 matches
Liverpool Montevideo
17 matches
| Penarol | Statistic | Liverpool Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 5 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 6 | Losses | 6 |
| 26 | Goals For | 21 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.25 | Shots On Goal | 3.5 |
| 10.5 | Total Shots | 11.5 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 40% | Ball Possession | 56% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Liverpool Montevideo. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Penarol expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Liverpool Montevideo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Liverpool Montevideo having the stronger overall control.
Placed 4 with 27 points from 15 outings, Penarol continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 23:16 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Arezo (6 goals), L. Angulo (4 goals), Leandro Umpierrez (3 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
So far, Liverpool Montevideo have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 20 points from 15 matches. The record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 20:18 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Martinez (6 goals), D. Romero (3 goals), F. Barcelo (3 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Penarol won 6 times, Liverpool Montevideo won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:21 from Penarol's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Lineups
Penarol
Cerro
Penarol
Central Espanol
Penarol
Santa Fe
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Corinthians
Penarol
Cerro Largo
Penarol
Platense
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Corinthians
Penarol
Wanderers
Penarol
Juventud
Penarol
Platense
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Santa Fe
Penarol
Progreso
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Boston River
Penarol
Cerro
Penarol
Albion FC
Penarol
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Deportivo Maldonado
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
Liverpool Montevideo
Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
Penarol
Central Espanol
Penarol
Santa Fe
Penarol
Corinthians
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Juventud
Penarol
Platense
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Cerro
Penarol
Danubio
Penarol
Deportivo Maldonado
Penarol
Atletico Torque
Penarol
Club Nacional
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Wanderers
Penarol
Danubio
Penarol
Juventud
Penarol
Plaza Colonia
Penarol
CA River Plate
Penarol
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Independiente Medellin
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Albion FC
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Plaza Colonia
Liverpool Montevideo
CA River Plate
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Miramar
Liverpool Montevideo
Villa Espanola
Liverpool Montevideo
Miramar
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 15 | 39 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 37 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 |
Penarol
Home
|
19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 28:18 | 10 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 32 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 31 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 29 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 26 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Liverpool Montevideo
Away
|
19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 23 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 20 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 23:30 | -7 | 19 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 13 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10:31 | -21 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|