21.03.2026 22:30
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Referee: A. M. Matonte Cabrera
Penarol
Match Timeline
Cerro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
18'
M. Arezo
Penarol
⚽
26'
L. Angulo
Penarol
🔄
27'
N. Sena ↔ A. Severo
Cerro
🟨
30'
A. Miranda
Cerro
🟨
39'
A. Miranda
Cerro
🟥
39'
A. Miranda
Cerro
🟥
44'
M. Olivera
Penarol
🟨
45'
E. Remedi
Penarol
⚽
45'
C. Barros
Cerro
🔄
46'
L. Angulo ↔ K. Rodriguez
Penarol
🔄
46'
E. Sosa ↔ J. Amaro
Cerro
🟨
50'
K. Rodriguez
Penarol
🟨
51'
R. Carlos
Cerro
🔄
59'
M. Lemos ↔ E. Gularte
Penarol
🔄
59'
E. Darias ↔ L. Umpierrez
Penarol
🟨
60'
A. Severo
Cerro
🔄
62'
R. Carlos ↔ B. Aleman
Cerro
🟨
71'
A. Cambon
Cerro
🟨
72'
C. Barros
Cerro
🔄
75'
A. Cambon ↔ S. Paiva
Cerro
🟨
78'
N. Fernandez
Penarol
🔄
80'
L. Fernandez ↔ S. Muhlethaler
Penarol
🔄
80'
M. Arezo ↔ F. Batista
Penarol
🟨
90'
D. Suarez
Cerro
🟨
90+3'
J. Amaro
Cerro
⚽
90'
N. Fernandez
Penarol

Penarol vs Cerro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Penarol Win 0%
Draw 0%
Cerro Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Penarol1.43
Cerro0.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Penarol Penarol
WWDLW
9 GF / 5 GA
Cerro Cerro
WLDWL
2 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.33
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
4
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Penarol Penarol 6 matches
Cerro Cerro 6 matches
Penarol Statistic Cerro
4 Wins 0
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 4
9 Goals For 2
5 Goals Against 8
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.33
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
4 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Penarol won 11 times, Cerro won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:11 from Penarol's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Penarol 3-4-1-2 / Cerro 4-3-3
H2H summary: Penarol wins 11, draws 3, Cerro wins 1

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 18 5 6 48:24 24 58
W W W W L
2 30 16 7 7 46:27 19 55
W W L W L
3 29 16 5 8 51:34 17 53
L W W W W
4 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
L D W L W
5 30 15 4 11 45:38 7 49
W W D D W
6 30 13 8 9 38:36 2 47
W D D L W
7 30 12 10 8 39:28 11 46
W D L W D
8 30 10 8 12 32:39 -7 38
L L D D L
9 30 9 9 12 35:39 -4 36
D W D D W
10 30 8 11 11 26:33 -7 35
W L W D L
11 30 9 7 14 38:40 -2 34
L L L L L
12 30 8 9 13 28:34 -6 33
L L D L D
13
Cerro Away
30 9 6 15 23:43 -20 33
D L W W D
14 30 8 6 16 29:42 -13 30
L L L L D
15 30 8 4 18 25:43 -18 28
W W L W W
16 30 4 14 12 24:39 -15 26
L D D L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
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