13.09.2026 22:30
Referee: E. Guerra

Penarol vs Albion FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77%
Odds 1.45
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.00
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77%
1.45
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.00
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.31
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Penarol Win 77%
Draw 4.2%
Albion FC Win 18.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Penarol1.39
Albion FC1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Penarol Penarol
WWDLW
50 GF / 30 GA
Albion FC Albion FC
WLDWL
35 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
1.3
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
17
BTTS Yes
15
14
Over 2.5
14
4
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Penarol Penarol 33 matches
Albion FC Albion FC 27 matches
Penarol Statistic Albion FC
16 Wins 9
8 Draws 7
9 Losses 11
50 Goals For 35
30 Goals Against 32
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
17 BTTS Yes 15
25 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 7
10 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 8
4 Shots On Goal 0
13.33 Total Shots 0
4 Corners 0
42.8% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Albion FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Penarol arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 50 points compared to Albion FC in 9 on 34, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Albion FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Albion FC having the stronger overall control.

Penarol Analysis

Penarol come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 50 points after 26 matches. The return of 15 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 41:21, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of - wins, - draws, and - losses supports the view of an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Albion FC Analysis

Albion FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 34 points from 27 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats with a 35:32 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Penarol won 3 times, Albion FC won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:2 from Penarol's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Penarol 3-5-1-1 / Albion FC -
H2H summary: Penarol wins 3, draws 1, Albion FC wins 0

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 10 4 35:22 13 52
W L W D W
2 26 15 5 6 41:21 20 50
W L D W W
3 27 14 7 6 42:26 16 49
W L D W D
4 26 14 5 7 44:30 14 47
W W W W L
5 28 13 4 11 40:36 4 43
D D W W L
6 28 12 7 9 35:34 1 43
D L W L D
7 27 11 9 7 36:24 12 42
W D W W W
8 27 10 7 10 30:33 -3 37
D L L L W
9 27 9 7 11 35:32 3 34
L L L L L
10 27 8 8 11 28:30 -2 32
L D D D D
11 27 8 7 12 31:37 -6 31
D W W L D
12 28 8 6 14 27:38 -11 30
L L D W D
13 27 6 11 10 22:30 -8 29
D L D L L
14 27 8 5 14 19:40 -21 29
W D L W W
15 27 4 12 11 22:36 -14 24
L L D D L
16 27 6 4 17 20:38 -18 22
W W L L L
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