MACEDONIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Pelister
Match Timeline
Bashkimi Kumanovo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Bashkimi Kumanovo
24'
M. Srbijanac
Pelister
🔄
46'
H. Sumer ↔ R. Asani
Bashkimi Kumanovo
🔄
46'
E. Asani ↔ D. Manasievski
Bashkimi Kumanovo
🔄
60'
E. Avornyo ↔ A. Sulimani
Bashkimi Kumanovo
🔄
63'
F. Boskovski ↔ H. Stojanovski
Pelister
🔄
67'
A. Murati ↔ B. Limani
Bashkimi Kumanovo
🔄
67'
N. Orr ↔ E. Saiti
Bashkimi Kumanovo
🔄
70'
M. Ristovski ↔ V. Kerim
Pelister
🔄
70'
D. Angelevski ↔ P. Petkovski
Pelister
🔄
88'
L. Bulatovic ↔ F. Petrovic
Pelister
🔄
88'
M. Ivanovski ↔ B. Zdravevski
Pelister

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Pelister Win 40.5%
Draw 13.8%
Bashkimi Kumanovo Win 45.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pelister1.41
Bashkimi Kumanovo1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pelister Pelister
WWDLW
40 GF / 42 GA
Bashkimi Kumanovo Bashkimi Kumanovo
WLDWL
40 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.66
14
BTTS Yes
17
16
Over 2.5
17
1.33
Shots on Goal
1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pelister Pelister 32 matches
Bashkimi Kumanovo Bashkimi Kumanovo 32 matches
Pelister Statistic Bashkimi Kumanovo
9 Wins 11
10 Draws 9
13 Losses 12
40 Goals For 40
42 Goals Against 53
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.66
14 BTTS Yes 17
22 Over 1.5 26
16 Over 2.5 17
8 Over 3.5 11
11 Clean Sheets 7
12 Failed To Score 11
1.33 Shots On Goal 1
3.33 Total Shots 3
0.67 Corners 1.75
13% Ball Possession 13.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Bashkimi Kumanovo having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Bashkimi Kumanovo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Pelister Analysis

So far, Pelister have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 37 points from 32 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 40:42 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by L. Bulatovic (10 goals), Mirko Ivanovski (6 goals), P. Petkovski (5 goals), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bashkimi Kumanovo Analysis

So far, Bashkimi Kumanovo have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 42 points from 32 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 40:53 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Avornyo (12 goals), F. Aleksovski (7 goals), N. Orr (4 goals), with creative support from B. Panovski (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Pelister won 3 times, Bashkimi Kumanovo won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:4 from Pelister's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.2%)
H2H summary: Pelister wins 3, draws 0, Bashkimi Kumanovo wins 2

Lineups

Pelister
Formation
Bashkimi Kumanovo
A. Jovcevski
A. Jovcevski
N. Zdravkovic
N. Zdravkovic
S. Spirovski
S. Spirovski
F. Boskovski
F. Boskovski
M. Ristovski
M. Ristovski
D. Angelevski
D. Angelevski
M. Srbijanac
M. Srbijanac
K. Ristevski
K. Ristevski
L. Milojevic
L. Milojevic
L. Bulatovic
L. Bulatovic
M. Ivanovski
M. Ivanovski
L. Stojkovski
L. Stojkovski
B. Panovski
B. Panovski
H. Sumer
H. Sumer
E. Lichina
E. Lichina
N. Orr
N. Orr
A. Alimi
A. Alimi
A. Murati
A. Murati
E. Asani
E. Asani
F. Aleksovski
F. Aleksovski
F. Zuka
F. Zuka
E. Avornyo
E. Avornyo
Pelister 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Jovcevski
5
N. Zdravkovic
10
S. Spirovski
11
F. Boskovski
↓ 63'
14
M. Ristovski
↓ 70'
17
D. Angelevski
↓ 70'
22
M. Srbijanac
⚽ 24'
24
K. Ristevski
27
L. Milojevic
28
L. Bulatovic
↓ 88'
44
M. Ivanovski
↓ 88'
Substitutes
90
N. Dimovski
2
S. Ivanovski
4
A. Ristevski
7
V. Kerim
↑ 70'
8
P. Petkovski
↑ 70'
9
F. Petrovic
↑ 88'
15
H. Stojanovski
↑ 63'
18
M. Milevski
23
T. Grozdanovski
29
J. Mrmachovski
30
B. Zdravevski
↑ 88'
Bashkimi Kumanovo 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
96
L. Stojkovski
2
B. Panovski
5
H. Sumer
↓ 46'
6
E. Lichina
7
N. Orr
↓ 67'
10
A. Alimi
20
A. Murati
↓ 67'
22
E. Asani
↓ 46'
23
F. Aleksovski
33
F. Zuka
80
E. Avornyo
↓ 60'
Substitutes
1
A. Jasar
4
M. Mislimi
3
R. Murati
8
F. Trawally
9
A. Sulimani
↑ 60'
11
A. Petejchuk
14
B. Limani
↑ 67'
19
R. Asani
↑ 46'
21
D. Manasievski
↑ 46'
24
H. Saiti
25
E. Saiti
↑ 67'
Last matches: Pelister
31.05.26
Fir
Pelister
Shkëndija Haraçinë
1
1
D
16.05.26
Fir
Pelister
Tikveš
2
2
D
09.05.26
Fir
Pelister
Shkupi 1927
7
0
W
02.05.26
Fir
Pelister
FK Rabotnicki
3
3
D
26.04.26
Fir
Pelister
Akademija Pandev
1
0
W
18.04.26
Fir
Pelister
Makedonija GjP
2
0
W
14.04.26
Fir
Pelister
Aresimi
0
1
L
08.04.26
Fir
Pelister
Vardar Skopje
0
0
D
04.04.26
Fir
Pelister
Shkendija
2
1
W
22.03.26
Fir
Pelister
Struga
0
2
L
16.03.26
Fir
Pelister
Sileks
0
0
D
08.03.26
Fir
Pelister
Tikveš
0
1
L
05.03.26
Fir
Pelister
Sileks
0
0
D
02.03.26
Fir
Pelister
Shkendija
1
2
L
21.02.26
Fir
Pelister
Struga
1
1
D
17.02.26
Fir
Pelister
Bashkimi Kumanovo
0
1
L
12.02.26
Fir
Pelister
FK Rabotnicki
4
1
W
30.01.26
Fri
Pelister
Pakhtakor
0
1
L
28.01.26
Fri
Pelister
Navbahor
1
2
L
25.01.26
Fri
Pelister
Borac Banja Luka
0
2
L
Last matches: Bashkimi Kumanovo
16.05.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Makedonija GjP
3
3
D
10.05.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Aresimi
1
1
D
02.05.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Vardar Skopje
0
2
L
27.04.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Shkendija
3
2
W
19.04.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Struga
0
4
L
11.04.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Sileks
0
1
L
07.04.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Akademija Pandev
0
0
D
02.04.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Tikveš
2
2
D
23.03.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Shkupi 1927
3
2
W
16.03.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
FK Rabotnicki
1
2
L
08.03.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Makedonija GjP
2
0
W
03.03.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Shkupi 1927
2
0
W
27.02.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Akademija Pandev
0
2
L
21.02.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Vardar Skopje
0
1
L
17.02.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Pelister
1
0
W
11.02.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Sileks
0
0
D
02.02.26
Fri
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Mladost DG
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Hrvace
1
3
L
27.01.26
Fri
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Radnik Bijeljina
2
1
W
25.01.26
Fri
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Rudar
3
0
W
H2H: Pelister vs Bashkimi Kumanovo
24.05.26
H2H
Pelister
Bashkimi Kumanovo
1
0
W
17.02.26
H2H
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Pelister
1
0
L
23.09.25
H2H
Pelister
Bashkimi Kumanovo
1
2
L
04.05.24
H2H
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Pelister
1
2
W
25.11.23
H2H
Pelister
Bashkimi Kumanovo
4
0
W
Last matches: Pelister
31.05.26
Fir
Pelister
Shkëndija Haraçinë
1
1
D
09.05.26
Fir
Pelister
Shkupi 1927
7
0
W
18.04.26
Fir
Pelister
Makedonija GjP
2
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
Pelister
Vardar Skopje
0
0
D
22.03.26
Fir
Pelister
Struga
0
2
L
05.03.26
Fir
Pelister
Sileks
0
0
D
21.02.26
Fir
Pelister
Struga
1
1
D
12.02.26
Fir
Pelister
FK Rabotnicki
4
1
W
30.01.26
Fri
Pelister
Pakhtakor
0
1
L
29.11.25
Fir
Pelister
Makedonija GjP
1
1
D
09.11.25
Fir
Pelister
Akademija Pandev
1
0
W
05.11.25
Fir
Pelister
Vardar Skopje
1
2
L
30.10.25
Fir
Pelister
Tikveš
0
0
D
06.10.25
Fir
Pelister
Shkendija
0
0
D
23.09.25
Fir
Pelister
Bashkimi Kumanovo
1
2
L
14.09.25
Fir
Pelister
Aresimi
0
4
L
25.08.25
Fir
Pelister
Shkupi 1927
2
0
W
H2H at home: Pelister
24.05.26
H2H
Pelister
Bashkimi Kumanovo
1
0
W
23.09.25
H2H
Pelister
Bashkimi Kumanovo
1
2
L
25.11.23
H2H
Pelister
Bashkimi Kumanovo
4
0
W
Last matches: Bashkimi Kumanovo
10.05.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Aresimi
1
1
D
27.04.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Shkendija
3
2
W
11.04.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Sileks
0
1
L
23.03.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Shkupi 1927
3
2
W
03.03.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Shkupi 1927
2
0
W
21.02.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Vardar Skopje
0
1
L
11.02.26
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Sileks
0
0
D
02.02.26
Fri
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Mladost DG
1
1
D
30.11.25
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Struga
0
6
L
23.11.25
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Tikveš
0
3
L
03.11.25
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Aresimi
2
4
L
29.10.25
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Makedonija GjP
1
1
D
04.10.25
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Akademija Pandev
1
1
D
23.09.25
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Pelister
2
1
W
12.09.25
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
Shkendija
1
2
L
16.08.25
Fir
Bashkimi Kumanovo
FK Rabotnicki
2
0
W
H2H away: Bashkimi Kumanovo
24.05.26
H2H
Pelister
Bashkimi Kumanovo
1
0
L
23.09.25
H2H
Pelister
Bashkimi Kumanovo
1
2
W
25.11.23
H2H
Pelister
Bashkimi Kumanovo
4
0
L

Standings

1. MFL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 26 5 2 80:21 59 83
W W W W W
2 33 23 5 5 67:30 37 74
L W W D L
3 33 19 5 9 68:28 40 62
L L L L W
4 33 16 5 12 59:36 23 53
L L L D L
5 33 14 6 13 59:47 12 48
W D W D L
6 33 13 7 13 50:53 -3 46
W W D D W
7 33 11 9 13 40:54 -14 42
L D D L W
8 33 10 10 13 41:42 -1 40
D W D W D
9 33 10 10 13 46:56 -10 40
L W L D W
10 33 9 7 17 42:57 -15 34
W D L W W
11 33 9 6 18 45:58 -13 33
L W D D L
12 33 0 1 32 15:130 -115 1
L L L L L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation