NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
03.05.2026 12:30
IJsseldelta Stadion
Referee: R. Dieperink
PEC Zwolle
Match Timeline
Heracles
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
A. Garcia MacNulty · Assist: R. Thomas
PEC Zwolle
🟨
21'
Ryan Thomas
PEC Zwolle
🟨
31'
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck
Heracles
🟨
38'
Djevencio van der Kust
Heracles
🔄
46'
D. van der Kust ↔ J. Wieckhoff
Heracles
🔄
59'
W. Ould Chikh ↔ B. Limbombe
Heracles
🔄
59'
M. Engels ↔ E. Ahlstrand
Heracles
🟨
62'
Sem Scheperman
Heracles
🟨
63'
Sem Scheperman
Heracles
🟥
63'
Sem Scheperman
Heracles
🟨
68'
Sherel Constancio Floranus
PEC Zwolle
🔄
71'
J. Zamburek ↔ S. Cestic
Heracles
🔄
72'
O. Velanas ↔ N. Fichtinger
PEC Zwolle
🔄
73'
R. Thomas ↔ J. Monteiro
PEC Zwolle
🔄
80'
S. Floranus ↔ T. Velthuis
PEC Zwolle
VAR
86'
Koen Kostons
PEC Zwolle
🔄
87'
M. Benita ↔ T. Hamamioglu
Heracles

PEC Zwolle vs Heracles Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
PEC Zwolle Win 100%
Draw 0%
Heracles Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
PEC Zwolle1.81
Heracles1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
WWDLW
41 GF / 66 GA
Heracles Heracles
WLDWL
34 GF / 79 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.1
2.13
Average Goals Conceded
2.55
22
BTTS Yes
16
20
Over 2.5
22
3.58
Shots on Goal
3.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 31 matches
Heracles Heracles 31 matches
PEC Zwolle Statistic Heracles
8 Wins 5
10 Draws 4
13 Losses 22
41 Goals For 34
66 Goals Against 79
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
2.13 Avg Goals Conceded 2.55
22 BTTS Yes 16
27 Over 1.5 29
20 Over 2.5 22
14 Over 3.5 13
5 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 14
3.58 Shots On Goal 3.81
9.81 Total Shots 11.16
3.61 Corners 4.32
44.5% Ball Possession 43.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Heracles. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Heracles arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

PEC Zwolle Analysis

So far, PEC Zwolle have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 34 points from 31 matches. The record of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 41:66 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Kostons (11 goals), K. de Rooij (6 goals), T. Oosting (6 goals), with creative support from K. Kostons (6 assists), K. de Rooij (5 assists), Y. Namli (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Heracles Analysis

With 19 points from 31 games and a place of 18, Heracles still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 22 defeats, and the 34:79 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Jizz Hornkamp (10 goals), L. Kulenovic (5 goals), Damon Mirani (3 goals), with creative support from Ajdin Hrustić (6 assists), W. Ould Chikh (4 assists), L. Kulenovic (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 13 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, PEC Zwolle won 7 times, Heracles won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:26 from PEC Zwolle's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1 / Heracles 4-2-3-1
Missing players: PEC Zwolle 8, Heracles 2
H2H summary: PEC Zwolle wins 7, draws 1, Heracles wins 6

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2 34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3 34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4 34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5 34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6 34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7 34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8 34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9 34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12 34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie