NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
--.--.---- --:--
IJsseldelta Stadion
Referee: R. Dieperink
PEC Zwolle
Match Timeline
Heracles
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
A. Garcia MacNulty · Assist: R. Thomas
PEC Zwolle
🟨
21'
Ryan Thomas
PEC Zwolle
🟨
31'
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck
Heracles
🟨
38'
Djevencio van der Kust
Heracles
🔄
46'
D. van der Kust ↔ J. Wieckhoff
Heracles
🔄
59'
W. Ould Chikh ↔ B. Limbombe
Heracles
🔄
59'
M. Engels ↔ E. Ahlstrand
Heracles
🟨
62'
Sem Scheperman
Heracles
🟨
63'
Sem Scheperman
Heracles
🟥
63'
Sem Scheperman
Heracles
🟨
68'
Sherel Constancio Floranus
PEC Zwolle
🔄
71'
J. Zamburek ↔ S. Cestic
Heracles
🔄
72'
O. Velanas ↔ N. Fichtinger
PEC Zwolle
🔄
73'
R. Thomas ↔ J. Monteiro
PEC Zwolle
🔄
80'
S. Floranus ↔ T. Velthuis
PEC Zwolle
VAR
86'
Koen Kostons
PEC Zwolle
🔄
87'
M. Benita ↔ T. Hamamioglu
Heracles

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
PEC Zwolle Win 100%
Draw 0%
Heracles Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
PEC Zwolle1.81
Heracles1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
WWDLW
41 GF / 66 GA
Heracles Heracles
WLDWL
34 GF / 79 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.1
2.13
Average Goals Conceded
2.55
22
BTTS Yes
16
20
Over 2.5
22
3.58
Shots on Goal
3.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 31 matches
Heracles Heracles 31 matches
PEC Zwolle Statistic Heracles
8 Wins 5
10 Draws 4
13 Losses 22
41 Goals For 34
66 Goals Against 79
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
2.13 Avg Goals Conceded 2.55
22 BTTS Yes 16
27 Over 1.5 29
20 Over 2.5 22
14 Over 3.5 13
5 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 14
3.58 Shots On Goal 3.81
9.81 Total Shots 11.16
3.61 Corners 4.32
44.5% Ball Possession 43.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Heracles. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Heracles arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

PEC Zwolle Analysis

So far, PEC Zwolle have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 34 points from 31 matches. The record of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 41:66 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Kostons (11 goals), K. de Rooij (6 goals), T. Oosting (6 goals), with creative support from K. Kostons (6 assists), K. de Rooij (5 assists), Y. Namli (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Heracles Analysis

With 19 points from 31 games and a place of 18, Heracles still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 22 defeats, and the 34:79 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Jizz Hornkamp (10 goals), L. Kulenovic (5 goals), Damon Mirani (3 goals), with creative support from Ajdin Hrustić (6 assists), W. Ould Chikh (4 assists), L. Kulenovic (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 13 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, PEC Zwolle won 7 times, Heracles won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:26 from PEC Zwolle's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1 / Heracles 4-2-3-1
Missing players: PEC Zwolle 8, Heracles 2
H2H summary: PEC Zwolle wins 7, draws 1, Heracles wins 6
Stats
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
Heracles Heracles
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
3 Corner Kicks 3
18 Fouls 18
4 Offsides 1
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Goal 3
2 Shots off Goal 7
2 Blocked Shots 4
4 Shots insidebox 9
5 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
363 Total passes 423
271 Passes accurate 347
0.62 expected_goals 1.00
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

PEC Zwolle
Formation
Heracles
T. de Graaff
T. de Graaff
O. Aertssen
O. Aertssen
S. Graves
S. Graves
A. Garcia MacNulty
A. Garcia MacNulty
S. Floranus
S. Floranus
R. Thomas
🎯
R. Thomas
Z. Buurmeester
Z. Buurmeester
O. Velanas
O. Velanas
T. Oosting
T. Oosting
K. de Rooij
K. de Rooij
K. Kostons
K. Kostons
T. Jansink
T. Jansink
M. Benita
M. Benita
D. Mirani
D. Mirani
A. Van Hoorenbeeck
A. Van Hoorenbeeck
D. van der Kust
D. van der Kust
J. Zamburek
J. Zamburek
S. Scheperman
S. Scheperman
T. van Gilst
T. van Gilst
W. Ould Chikh
W. Ould Chikh
M. Engels
M. Engels
L. Kulenovic
L. Kulenovic
PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
16
T. de Graaff
G
3
O. Aertssen
D
28
S. Graves
D
4
A. Garcia MacNulty
⚽ 19'
D
2
S. Floranus
↓ 80' 🟨 68'
D
30
R. Thomas
🎯 19' ↓ 73' 🟨 21'
M
8
Z. Buurmeester
M
18
O. Velanas
↓ 72'
M
25
T. Oosting
M
22
K. de Rooij
M
10
K. Kostons
F
Substitutes
41
D. Verduin
G
48
L. Bakker
G
35
J. Monteiro
↑ 73'
M
29
T. Buitink
F
5
T. Velthuis
↑ 80'
D
42
D. Ruward
D
34
N. Fichtinger
↑ 72'
M
6
T. Gooijer
D
45
R. Kroeze
D
20
G. Reiziger
M
Heracles 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
16
T. Jansink
G
2
M. Benita
↓ 87'
D
4
D. Mirani
D
18
A. Van Hoorenbeeck
🟨 31'
D
5
D. van der Kust
↓ 46' 🟨 38'
D
13
J. Zamburek
↓ 71'
M
32
S. Scheperman
🟨 62' 🟨 63' 🟥 63'
M
17
T. van Gilst
M
73
W. Ould Chikh
↓ 59'
M
8
M. Engels
↓ 59'
M
19
L. Kulenovic
F
Substitutes
30
R. Mantel
G
22
R. Pasveer
G
23
M. te Wierik
D
6
S. Cestic
↑ 71'
D
7
B. Limbombe
↑ 59'
F
20
R. Bozinovski
M
14
E. Ahlstrand
↑ 59'
M
3
J. Wieckhoff
↑ 46'
D
25
L. Zeefuik
F
38
J. Wijnreder
D
39
S. Blokhuis
M
41
T. Hamamioglu
↑ 87'
F
Last matches: PEC Zwolle
17.05.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Feyenoord
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Fortuna Sittard
2
3
L
23.04.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
PSV Eindhoven
1
6
L
12.04.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Excelsior
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
GO Ahead Eagles
0
5
L
21.03.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
NAC Breda
2
1
W
13.03.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Groningen
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam
1
1
D
01.03.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Ajax
0
0
D
22.02.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Utrecht
1
1
D
15.02.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Heerenveen
2
4
L
07.02.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
FC Volendam
1
2
L
31.01.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Telstar
4
1
W
24.01.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
NEC Nijmegen
1
2
L
17.01.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar
3
1
W
10.01.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Twente
1
1
D
20.12.25
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Excelsior
1
2
L
13.12.25
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Fortuna Sittard
1
0
W
06.12.25
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Feyenoord
1
6
L
28.11.25
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Heerenveen
2
1
W
Last matches: Heracles
08.07.26
Fri
Heracles
Groningen
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ere
Heracles
Groningen
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ere
Heracles
Telstar
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ere
Heracles
FC Volendam
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ere
Heracles
Ajax
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ere
Heracles
Heerenveen
1
4
L
20.03.26
Ere
Heracles
Excelsior
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ere
Heracles
AZ Alkmaar
0
4
L
06.03.26
Ere
Heracles
Utrecht
0
0
D
28.02.26
Ere
Heracles
PSV Eindhoven
1
3
L
22.02.26
Ere
Heracles
GO Ahead Eagles
0
4
L
14.02.26
Ere
Heracles
NAC Breda
0
1
L
07.02.26
Ere
Heracles
NEC Nijmegen
1
4
L
01.02.26
Ere
Heracles
Fortuna Sittard
2
1
W
25.01.26
Ere
Heracles
Feyenoord
2
4
L
18.01.26
Ere
Heracles
Twente
0
2
L
11.01.26
Ere
Heracles
Sparta Rotterdam
0
2
L
20.12.25
Ere
Heracles
Heerenveen
0
3
L
13.12.25
Ere
Heracles
PSV Eindhoven
3
4
L
06.12.25
Ere
Heracles
Telstar
1
1
D
H2H: PEC Zwolle vs Heracles
03.05.26
H2H
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
1
0
W
02.11.25
H2H
Heracles
PEC Zwolle
8
2
L
02.03.25
H2H
Heracles
PEC Zwolle
4
2
L
01.09.24
H2H
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
3
0
W
28.04.24
H2H
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
3
1
W
01.10.23
H2H
Heracles
PEC Zwolle
2
1
L
15.01.23
H2H
Heracles
PEC Zwolle
0
3
W
14.10.22
H2H
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
3
2
W
26.02.22
H2H
Heracles
PEC Zwolle
2
0
L
23.10.21
H2H
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
1
0
W
07.08.21
H2H
Heracles
PEC Zwolle
3
1
L
07.03.21
H2H
Heracles
PEC Zwolle
2
1
L
26.01.21
H2H
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
2
2
D
09.08.20
H2H
Heracles
PEC Zwolle
0
1
W
14.03.20
H2H
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
0
0
D
Last matches: PEC Zwolle
17.05.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Feyenoord
0
2
L
12.04.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Excelsior
2
2
D
21.03.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
NAC Breda
2
1
W
13.03.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Groningen
1
1
D
01.03.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Ajax
0
0
D
07.02.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
FC Volendam
1
2
L
31.01.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Telstar
4
1
W
17.01.26
Ere
PEC Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar
3
1
W
13.12.25
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Fortuna Sittard
1
0
W
28.11.25
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Heerenveen
2
1
W
08.11.25
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam
1
0
W
25.10.25
Ere
PEC Zwolle
NEC Nijmegen
2
2
D
04.10.25
Ere
PEC Zwolle
PSV Eindhoven
0
4
L
21.09.25
Ere
PEC Zwolle
GO Ahead Eagles
0
2
L
31.08.25
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Utrecht
0
2
L
10.08.25
Ere
PEC Zwolle
Twente
1
0
W
H2H at home: PEC Zwolle
03.05.26
H2H
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
1
0
W
01.09.24
H2H
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
3
0
W
28.04.24
H2H
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
3
1
W
14.10.22
H2H
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
3
2
W
23.10.21
H2H
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
1
0
W
26.01.21
H2H
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
2
2
D
14.03.20
H2H
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
0
0
D
Last matches: Heracles
10.05.26
Ere
Heracles
Telstar
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ere
Heracles
Heerenveen
1
4
L
15.03.26
Ere
Heracles
AZ Alkmaar
0
4
L
22.02.26
Ere
Heracles
GO Ahead Eagles
0
4
L
07.02.26
Ere
Heracles
NEC Nijmegen
1
4
L
25.01.26
Ere
Heracles
Feyenoord
2
4
L
11.01.26
Ere
Heracles
Sparta Rotterdam
0
2
L
13.12.25
Ere
Heracles
PSV Eindhoven
3
4
L
29.11.25
Ere
Heracles
Fortuna Sittard
1
1
D
08.11.25
Ere
Heracles
Excelsior
2
1
W
25.10.25
Ere
Heracles
FC Volendam
0
3
L
05.10.25
Ere
Heracles
Twente
1
2
L
20.09.25
Ere
Heracles
NAC Breda
1
2
L
29.08.25
Ere
Heracles
Groningen
0
4
L
24.08.25
Ere
Heracles
Ajax
0
2
L
10.08.25
Ere
Heracles
Utrecht
0
4
L
H2H away: Heracles
03.05.26
H2H
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
1
0
L
01.09.24
H2H
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
3
0
L
28.04.24
H2H
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
3
1
L
14.10.22
H2H
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
3
2
L
23.10.21
H2H
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
1
0
L
26.01.21
H2H
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
2
2
D
14.03.20
H2H
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
0
0
D

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2 34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3 34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4 34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5 34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6 34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7 34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8 34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9 34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12 34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie

Missing Players

PEC Zwolle 8 missing
-
S. Lagsir
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
J. Monteiro
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
J. Schendelaar
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
D. Voute
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
J. Faberski
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
J. Pereira da Gama
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
S. Shoretire
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
D. van der Haar
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
Heracles 2 missing
-
F. de Keijzer
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
M. te Wierik
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT