NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
13.09.2026 14:45
MAC³PARK Stadion
Referee: Alex Bos, Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
Match Timeline
Feyenoord
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
11'
Nacho Ferri
Feyenoord
18'
Nacho · Assist: T. Watanabe
Feyenoord
23'
Nacho · Assist: G. Read
Feyenoord
40'
G. Zechiel · Assist: G. Read
Feyenoord
🔄
46'
N. Fichtinger ↔ T. Velthuis
PEC Zwolle
🔄
46'
O. Velanas ↔ S. van Hooijdonk
PEC Zwolle
🔄
46'
I. Cissoko ↔ E. Sorensen
PEC Zwolle
49'
Nacho
Feyenoord
63'
A. Hadj Moussa · Assist: L. Valente
Feyenoord
🔄
64'
C. Vanhoutte ↔ S. Steijn
Feyenoord
🔄
64'
L. Valente ↔ J. Zinhagel
Feyenoord
🔄
64'
Nacho ↔ S. van Persie
Feyenoord
69'
J. Zinhagel · Assist: G. Read
Feyenoord
🔄
70'
K. Kostons ↔ T. Oosting
PEC Zwolle
🔄
75'
G. Read ↔ M. Deijl
Feyenoord
77'
A. Hadj Moussa
Feyenoord
🔄
79'
O. Aertssen ↔ J. Burger
PEC Zwolle
🔄
79'
J. St. Juste ↔ T. Kraaijeveld
Feyenoord

PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 82.7%
Odds 1.48
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.39
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
82.7%
1.48
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.39
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.13
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
PEC Zwolle Win 13.6%
Draw 3.8%
Feyenoord Win 82.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
PEC Zwolle1.31
Feyenoord2.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
WWDLW
11 GF / 19 GA
Feyenoord Feyenoord
WLDWL
30 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
2.73
2.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
5
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
10
4
Shots on Goal
6.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 9 matches
Feyenoord Feyenoord 11 matches
PEC Zwolle Statistic Feyenoord
2 Wins 8
1 Draws 2
6 Losses 1
11 Goals For 30
19 Goals Against 16
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 2.73
2.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
5 BTTS Yes 9
8 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 8
1 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 0
4 Shots On Goal 6.5
11.8 Total Shots 18.5
3.6 Corners 5.33
38.8% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Feyenoord's more proactive style and PEC Zwolle's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with PEC Zwolle expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Feyenoord in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Feyenoord having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Feyenoord. PEC Zwolle have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Feyenoord carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 11 points while PEC Zwolle sit 13 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

PEC Zwolle Analysis

PEC Zwolle sit 13 with 4 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 6:10, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through K. Kostons (2 goals), N. Viergever (1 goals), E. Sørensen (1 goals), with creative support from D. Mbayo (2 assists), T. Sommer (1 assists), T. Oosting (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Feyenoord Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 11 points from 5 games, Feyenoord bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a 13:7 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on G. Zechiël (4 goals), Ayase Ueda (3 goals), L. Valente (3 goals), with creative support from G. Zechiël (3 assists), Ayase Ueda (1 assists), Anis Hadj Moussa (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, PEC Zwolle won 1 times, Feyenoord won 14 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:45 from PEC Zwolle's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1 / Feyenoord 4-3-3
Missing players: PEC Zwolle 3, Feyenoord 6
H2H summary: PEC Zwolle wins 1, draws 0, Feyenoord wins 14

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 1 0 18:6 12 19
W D W W W
2 7 5 2 0 25:7 18 17
W W W D W
3 7 5 1 1 24:10 14 16
L W W W W
4 7 5 1 1 15:7 8 16
W W W D W
5 7 4 2 1 21:9 12 14
D W W L W
6 7 4 1 2 13:14 -1 13
W L W W L
7 7 3 2 2 15:9 6 11
D L D W W
8 7 3 2 2 15:13 2 11
W D D L L
9 7 2 4 1 16:14 2 10
D D D L W
10 7 2 3 2 11:9 2 9
W D L D L
11 7 2 2 3 12:13 -1 8
D L D L W
12 7 1 2 4 10:17 -7 5
L L D L D
13 7 1 2 4 5:12 -7 5
L D L D L
14 7 1 2 4 10:19 -9 5
D W D L L
15 7 1 2 4 11:24 -13 5
L W D L D
16 7 1 1 5 6:20 -14 4
L L D L W
17 7 0 2 5 7:17 -10 2
D L L D L
18 7 0 2 5 6:20 -14 2
L L D L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie