NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE

09.08.2026 12:30

PEC Zwolle

0 - 2

Ajax

MAC³PARK Stadion

Referee: Jannick van der Laan, Netherlands

PEC Zwolle

Match Timeline

Ajax

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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PEC Zwolle vs Ajax Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away Win

Probability 58%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 71.2%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 72%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away Win	58%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	71.2%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	72%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	-	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

PEC Zwolle Win 32%

Draw 10.1%

Ajax Win 58%

Expected Goals (xG)

PEC Zwolle1.15

Ajax2.2

Recent Form (Last 5)

PEC Zwolle

WWDLW

5 GF / 9 GA

Ajax

WLDWL

26 GF / 12 GA

Key Stats

1.25

Average Goals Scored

2.17

2.25

Average Goals Conceded

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

10.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

PEC Zwolle 4 matches

Ajax 12 matches

PEC Zwolle	Statistic	Ajax
1	Wins	8
0	Draws	2
3	Losses	2
5	Goals For	26
9	Goals Against	12
1.25	Avg Goals Scored	2.17
2.25	Avg Goals Conceded	1
2	BTTS Yes	8
3	Over 1.5	9
3	Over 2.5	8
2	Over 3.5	7
0	Clean Sheets	3
2	Failed To Score	1
0	Shots On Goal	10.67
0	Total Shots	25.67
0	Corners	10.67
0%	Ball Possession	69.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, PEC Zwolle won 1 times, Ajax won 11 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:30 from PEC Zwolle's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (90%)

Predicted formations: PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1 / Ajax 4-3-3

Missing players: PEC Zwolle 1, Ajax 5

H2H summary: PEC Zwolle wins 1, draws 2, Ajax wins 11

Standings

Eredivisie

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18:6	12	19	W D W W W
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25:7	18	17	W W W D W
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24:10	14	16	L W W W W
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15:7	8	16	W W W D W
5	Ajax Away	7	4	2	1	21:9	12	14	D W W L W
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13:14	-1	13	W L W W L
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15:9	6	11	D L D W W
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15:13	2	11	W D D L L
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16:14	2	10	D D D L W
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11:9	2	9	W D L D L
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12:13	-1	8	D L D L W
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10:17	-7	5	L L D L D
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5:12	-7	5	L D L D L
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10:19	-9	5	D W D L L
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11:24	-13	5	L W D L D
16	PEC Zwolle Home	7	1	1	5	6:20	-14	4	L L D L W
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7:17	-10	2	D L L D L
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6:20	-14	2	L L D L D