28.09.2026 22:00

Paysandu vs Tacuarembo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.2%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
27.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Paysandu Win 61.2%
Draw 9.8%
Tacuarembo Win 29%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paysandu1.14
Tacuarembo0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paysandu Paysandu
WWDLW
28 GF / 32 GA
Tacuarembo Tacuarembo
WLDWL
19 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
0.76
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
13
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paysandu Paysandu 25 matches
Tacuarembo Tacuarembo 25 matches
Paysandu Statistic Tacuarembo
8 Wins 6
4 Draws 8
13 Losses 11
28 Goals For 19
32 Goals Against 29
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 0.76
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
13 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tacuarembo. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tacuarembo having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Paysandu Analysis

Paysandu sit 11 with 4 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 4:7 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tacuarembo Analysis

With 3 points from 6 games and a place of 14, Tacuarembo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 5:9, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.2%)

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D