BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Leonidas Sodre de Castro
Referee: F. A. Santos Sa Junior
Paysandu
Match Timeline
Guarani Campinas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Carlos Eduardo
Guarani Campinas
14'
Herbert
Guarani Campinas
🟨
21'
Guarani Campinas
Guarani Campinas
🟨
26'
Bruno Bispo
Paysandu
27'
Mauricio Antonio
Guarani Campinas
🟨
46'
Herbert
Guarani Campinas
🔄
46'
F. Bonifazi ↔ Luciano Taboca
Paysandu
🔄
46'
Thayllon ↔ Pablo
Paysandu
🔄
46'
Kleiton Pego ↔ Lucas Cardoso
Paysandu
🟨
51'
Lucas Cardoso
Paysandu
🟨
56'
Caio Mello
Paysandu
60'
Marcinho · Assist: Marcinho
Paysandu
🔄
63'
Carlos Eduardo ↔ Emerson Barbosa
Guarani Campinas
65'
Luciano Taboca
Paysandu
🟨
71'
Pablo
Paysandu
🔄
76'
Caio Mello ↔ Italo Carvalho
Paysandu
🔄
77'
Renan Castro ↔ Ralf
Guarani Campinas
🔄
77'
Herbert ↔ Kewen
Guarani Campinas
80'
Italo Carvalho
Paysandu
🔄
84'
Kaua Jesus ↔ Raphael
Guarani Campinas
🔄
84'
Maranhao ↔ Lucca
Guarani Campinas
🟥
90+1'
Paysandu
Paysandu
🔄
90+4'
Marcinho ↔ Tiago Indio
Paysandu
90'
Bruno Bispo
Paysandu

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.6%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Paysandu Win 38.8%
Draw 16.4%
Guarani Campinas Win 44.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paysandu1.22
Guarani Campinas1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paysandu Paysandu
WWDLW
19 GF / 17 GA
Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas
WLDWL
23 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.77
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
9
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paysandu Paysandu 13 matches
Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas 13 matches
Paysandu Statistic Guarani Campinas
6 Wins 6
2 Draws 5
5 Losses 2
19 Goals For 23
17 Goals Against 11
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.77
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
9 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Guarani Campinas having the stronger overall control. Paysandu have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Guarani Campinas. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Paysandu Analysis

Paysandu approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 20 points from 12 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 19:16 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Guarani Campinas Analysis

Placed 1 with 23 points from 13 outings, Guarani Campinas continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 23:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Paysandu won 5 times, Guarani Campinas won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:6 from Paysandu's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.6%)
H2H summary: Paysandu wins 5, draws 1, Guarani Campinas wins 1

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
W W D D W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D D W L W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W L W D D
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W W D L D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W W W L D
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D L W L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L W L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
D W L D L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation