BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Leonidas Sodre de Castro
Paysandu
Match Timeline
Floresta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
Caio Mello
Paysandu
🟨
27'
Eliandro
Floresta
🟨
34'
Pedro Henrique
Paysandu
35'
Juninho
Paysandu
🟨
39'
Luciano Taboca
Paysandu
🟨
45'
Marcinho
Paysandu
🟨
45+2'
Matheus Martins
Floresta
🔄
46'
Pedro Henrique ↔ Henrico
Paysandu
🔄
46'
Marcinho ↔ Kaua Hinkel
Paysandu
🔄
46'
Eliandro ↔ Nonato
Floresta
🔄
46'
Matheus Martins ↔ Daniel
Floresta
🔄
59'
Garraty ↔ Matheusinho
Floresta
🔄
59'
Danrley ↔ Buga
Floresta
🟨
68'
Caique
Floresta
🔄
70'
Matheus Capixaba ↔ Edilson
Paysandu
🔄
70'
Caio Mello ↔ Brian Macapa
Paysandu
🔄
73'
Jeam ↔ Joao Celeri
Floresta
🟨
77'
Joao Victor
Floresta
🟨
77'
Henrico
Paysandu
🔄
81'
Thayllon ↔ Matheus Vargas
Paysandu
85'
Daniel
Floresta
🟨
88'
Nonato
Floresta

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Paysandu Win 52.4%
Draw 11.9%
Floresta Win 35.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paysandu1.52
Floresta1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paysandu Paysandu
WWDLW
13 GF / 8 GA
Floresta Floresta
WLDWL
9 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paysandu Paysandu 7 matches
Floresta Floresta 7 matches
Paysandu Statistic Floresta
4 Wins 3
2 Draws 3
1 Losses 1
13 Goals For 9
8 Goals Against 7
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1
5 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Floresta. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Floresta having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Paysandu Analysis

Paysandu approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 14 points after 7 outings. With 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:8, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Kleiton Pego (4 goals), Italo Carvalho (3 goals), Juninho (3 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Floresta Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Floresta have collected 12 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 9:7 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Daniel (2 goals), Garraty (2 goals), Jeam (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Paysandu won 3 times, Floresta won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from Paysandu's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.1%)
H2H summary: Paysandu wins 3, draws 1, Floresta wins 1

Lineups

Paysandu
Formation
Floresta
Gabriel Mesquita
Gabriel Mesquita
Matheus Capixaba
Matheus Capixaba
larley Brito
larley Brito
Bruno Bispo
Bruno Bispo
Luciano Taboca
Luciano Taboca
Pedro Henrique
Pedro Henrique
Caio Mello
Caio Mello
Marcinho
Marcinho
Thayllon
Thayllon
Lucas Cardoso
Lucas Cardoso
Juninho
Juninho
Dheimison
Dheimison
Afonso
Afonso
Joao Victor
Joao Victor
Jhony Douglas
Jhony Douglas
Danrley
Danrley
Jeam
Jeam
Garraty
Garraty
Eliandro
Eliandro
Matheus Martins
Matheus Martins
Islan
Islan
Caique
Caique
Paysandu 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
Gabriel Mesquita
20
Matheus Capixaba
↓ 70'
4
larley Brito
14
Bruno Bispo
77
Luciano Taboca
🟨 39'
39
Pedro Henrique
↓ 46' 🟨 34'
8
Caio Mello
⚽ 6' ↓ 70'
10
Marcinho
↓ 46' 🟨 45'
19
Thayllon
↓ 81'
99
Lucas Cardoso
98
Juninho
⚽ 35'
Substitutes
41
Marcao
2
Edilson
↑ 70'
3
Y. Quintana
5
Henrico
↑ 46' 🟨 77'
9
Italo Carvalho
15
Castro
23
Brian Macapa
↑ 70'
25
Tiago Indio
30
Thalyson
31
F. Bonifazi
94
Kaua Hinkel
↑ 46'
96
Matheus Vargas
↑ 81'
Floresta 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
Dheimison
3
Afonso
4
Joao Victor
🟨 77'
5
Jhony Douglas
8
Danrley
↓ 59'
9
Jeam
↓ 73'
13
Garraty
↓ 59'
15
Eliandro
↓ 46' 🟨 27'
21
Matheus Martins
↓ 46' 🟨 45+2'
23
Islan
29
Caique
🟨 68'
Substitutes
1
Jeferson Souza
6
Diego Matos
10
Matheusinho
↑ 59'
11
Rafinha
14
Valdo
17
Nonato
↑ 46' 🟨 88'
18
Joao Celeri
↑ 73'
19
Daniel
⚽ 85' ↑ 46'
28
Guilherme Borges
30
Eduardo
31
Buga
↑ 59'
Last matches: Paysandu
12.07.26
Ser
Paysandu
Guarani Campinas
3
2
W
05.07.26
Ser
Paysandu
Ypiranga-RS
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
Paysandu
Santa Cruz
1
3
L
21.06.26
Ser
Paysandu
Maranhão
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Paysandu
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Figueirense
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Caxias
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Anápolis
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Botafogo PB
4
2
W
25.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
AO Itabaiana
4
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
Barra
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
Brusque
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
Volta Redonda
1
0
W
Last matches: Floresta
11.07.26
Ser
Floresta
Caxias
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Floresta
Guarani Campinas
0
0
D
27.06.26
Ser
Floresta
Barra
2
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
Floresta
Brusque
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Floresta
Figueirense
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Confiança
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Amazonas
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Floresta
AO Itabaiana
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Floresta
Maranhão
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Botafogo PB
2
1
W
20.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Ferroviária
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Inter De Limeira
2
1
W
H2H: Paysandu vs Floresta
25.05.26
H2H
Paysandu
Floresta
2
1
W
18.06.23
H2H
Paysandu
Floresta
2
1
W
13.08.22
H2H
Paysandu
Floresta
0
1
L
28.08.21
H2H
Paysandu
Floresta
1
1
D
27.06.21
H2H
Floresta
Paysandu
0
2
W
Last matches: Paysandu
12.07.26
Ser
Paysandu
Guarani Campinas
3
2
W
27.06.26
Ser
Paysandu
Santa Cruz
1
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Paysandu
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Anápolis
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Botafogo PB
4
2
W
18.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
Barra
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
Brusque
1
1
D
H2H at home: Paysandu
25.05.26
H2H
Paysandu
Floresta
2
1
W
18.06.23
H2H
Paysandu
Floresta
2
1
W
13.08.22
H2H
Paysandu
Floresta
0
1
L
28.08.21
H2H
Paysandu
Floresta
1
1
D
Last matches: Floresta
11.07.26
Ser
Floresta
Caxias
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Floresta
Guarani Campinas
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Floresta
Brusque
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Floresta
AO Itabaiana
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Botafogo PB
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Floresta
Inter De Limeira
2
1
W
H2H away: Floresta
25.05.26
H2H
Paysandu
Floresta
2
1
L
18.06.23
H2H
Paysandu
Floresta
2
1
L
13.08.22
H2H
Paysandu
Floresta
0
1
W
28.08.21
H2H
Paysandu
Floresta
1
1
D

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 7 4 3 17:14 3 25
W W D L W
2 14 7 3 4 20:15 5 24
L W L W L
3 14 7 3 4 15:10 5 24
W W W L W
4 14 7 2 5 22:19 3 23
W L L W L
5 14 6 5 3 25:14 11 23
L D D L W
6 14 7 1 6 19:15 4 22
W W W W D
7 14 6 4 4 27:24 3 22
W W D D D
8 14 6 4 4 15:12 3 22
W L L W W
9 14 5 6 3 13:10 3 21
D W D D L
10 14 5 5 4 15:14 1 20
D D W L L
11 14 5 4 5 16:16 0 19
L L D D D
12 14 5 3 6 17:19 -2 18
L W D W D
13 14 5 3 6 10:15 -5 18
D L W L W
14 14 5 2 7 13:19 -6 17
L L L D W
15 14 4 5 5 11:14 -3 17
W L D L D
16 14 4 5 5 12:18 -6 17
D L D D W
17 14 4 4 6 12:17 -5 16
W W W L D
18 14 3 6 5 17:16 1 15
L W L D L
19 14 3 2 9 8:14 -6 11
L L D W L
20 14 2 3 9 9:18 -9 9
L L D W L
Play-offs
Relegation