BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Leonidas Sodre de Castro
Referee: T. Silva
Paysandu
Match Timeline
Confiança
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
43'
Pablo
Paysandu
🟨
45+3'
Mateus Ludke
Confiança
45'
Icaro
Confiança
🔄
46'
Pablo ↔ Thalyson
Paysandu
🔄
55'
Kelvyn ↔ Matheus Juliao
Confiança
🔄
55'
Guilherme Nunes ↔ Madison
Confiança
🔄
55'
Luiz Thiago ↔ C. Breiner
Confiança
🔄
59'
Luciano ↔ Kleiton Pego
Paysandu
🟨
60'
Matheus Silva
Confiança
🔄
71'
PK ↔ Iago Silva
Confiança
🔄
74'
Pedro Felipe ↔ Gabriel Zeca
Confiança
🔄
75'
Lucas Cardoso ↔ Thayllon
Paysandu
🟨
81'
C. Breiner
Confiança
🔄
86'
Caio Mello ↔ Henrico
Paysandu
89'
Italo Carvalho
Paysandu
🟨
90+4'
Marcinho
Paysandu
🟨
90+6'
Thayllon
Paysandu
90'
Pedro Carrerette
Paysandu

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.7%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Paysandu Win 86.7%
Draw 6.2%
Confiança Win 7.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paysandu1.32
Confiança0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paysandu Paysandu
WWDLW
23 GF / 21 GA
Confiança Confiança
WLDWL
9 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
0.56
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1
11
BTTS Yes
5
9
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paysandu Paysandu 15 matches
Confiança Confiança 16 matches
Paysandu Statistic Confiança
7 Wins 3
2 Draws 3
6 Losses 10
23 Goals For 9
21 Goals Against 16
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 0.56
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1
11 BTTS Yes 5
12 Over 1.5 7
9 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Paysandu's more proactive style and Confiança's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Confiança. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Paysandu arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 23 points compared to Confiança in 20 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Paysandu have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Confiança having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Paysandu Analysis

Paysandu approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 23 points from 15 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats with a 23:21 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Confiança Analysis

With 12 points from 15 games and a place of 20, Confiança still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats with a 9:15 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Paysandu won 2 times, Confiança won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Paysandu's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
H2H summary: Paysandu wins 2, draws 0, Confiança wins 1

Lineups

Paysandu
Formation
Confiança
Gabriel Mesquita
Gabriel Mesquita
Edilson
Edilson
Pedro Carrerette
Pedro Carrerette
Bruno Bispo
Bruno Bispo
Luciano
Luciano
Pedro Henrique
Pedro Henrique
Caio Mello
Caio Mello
Marcinho
Marcinho
Pablo
Pablo
Lucas Cardoso
Lucas Cardoso
Italo Carvalho
Italo Carvalho
Matheus Silva
Matheus Silva
Mateus Ludke
Mateus Ludke
Alisson
Alisson
Icaro
Icaro
Renilson
Renilson
Kelvyn
Kelvyn
Valdir Junior
Valdir Junior
Guilherme Nunes
Guilherme Nunes
Luiz Thiago
Luiz Thiago
PK
PK
Pedro Felipe
Pedro Felipe
Paysandu 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
Gabriel Mesquita
2
Edilson
44
Pedro Carrerette
⚽ 90'
14
Bruno Bispo
77
Luciano
↓ 59'
39
Pedro Henrique
8
Caio Mello
↓ 86'
10
Marcinho
🟨 90+4'
80
Pablo
↓ 46' 🟨 43'
99
Lucas Cardoso
↓ 75'
9
Italo Carvalho
⚽ 89'
Substitutes
1
Jean Drosny
4
larley Brito
5
Henrico
↑ 86'
19
Thayllon
↑ 75' 🟨 90+6'
20
Matheus Capixaba
22
Lucas Rodrigues
23
Brian Macapa
26
Libonati
30
Thalyson
↑ 46'
31
F. Bonifazi
75
Kleiton Pego
↑ 59'
90
Emerson
Confiança 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Matheus Silva
🟨 60'
2
Mateus Ludke
🟨 45+3'
3
Alisson
4
Icaro
⚽ 45'
5
Renilson
6
Kelvyn
↓ 55'
7
Valdir Junior
8
Guilherme Nunes
↓ 55'
9
Luiz Thiago
↓ 55'
10
PK
↓ 71'
11
Pedro Felipe
↓ 74'
Substitutes
12
Cadu
13
Joao Mandovani
14
Matheus Juliao
↑ 55'
15
Madison
↑ 55'
16
Danielzinho
17
Joao Pedro
18
Gabriel Zeca
↑ 74'
19
Welder
20
Iago Silva
↑ 71'
21
C. Breiner
↑ 55' 🟨 81'
22
Maikon Aquino
Last matches: Paysandu
29.08.26
Ser
Paysandu
Maringá
0
1
L
22.08.26
Ser
Paysandu
Ituano
1
0
W
17.08.26
Ser
Paysandu
Ferroviária
0
4
L
26.07.26
Ser
Paysandu
Amazonas
1
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Paysandu
Guarani Campinas
3
2
W
05.07.26
Ser
Paysandu
Ypiranga-RS
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
Paysandu
Santa Cruz
1
3
L
21.06.26
Ser
Paysandu
Maranhão
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Paysandu
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Figueirense
1
2
L
25.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Floresta
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Caxias
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Anápolis
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Botafogo PB
4
2
W
25.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
AO Itabaiana
4
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
Barra
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
Brusque
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
Volta Redonda
1
0
W
Last matches: Confiança
29.08.26
Ser
Confiança
Ferroviária
0
1
L
22.08.26
Ser
Confiança
Anápolis
0
1
L
16.08.26
Ser
Confiança
Maringá
1
1
D
25.07.26
Ser
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
Confiança
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
04.07.26
Ser
Confiança
Barra
1
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
22.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Guarani Campinas
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Floresta
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Figueirense
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Maranhão
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Ituano
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Brusque
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Caxias
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Amazonas
0
1
L
04.01.26
Fri
Confiança
Decisão
0
1
L
H2H: Paysandu vs Confiança
10.08.26
H2H
Paysandu
Confiança
2
1
W
26.08.23
H2H
Confiança
Paysandu
1
0
L
09.07.22
H2H
Paysandu
Confiança
1
0
W
Last matches: Paysandu
29.08.26
Ser
Paysandu
Maringá
0
1
L
12.07.26
Ser
Paysandu
Guarani Campinas
3
2
W
27.06.26
Ser
Paysandu
Santa Cruz
1
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Paysandu
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
25.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Floresta
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Anápolis
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Botafogo PB
4
2
W
18.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
Barra
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
Brusque
1
1
D
H2H at home: Paysandu
10.08.26
H2H
Paysandu
Confiança
2
1
W
09.07.22
H2H
Paysandu
Confiança
1
0
W
Last matches: Confiança
29.08.26
Ser
Confiança
Ferroviária
0
1
L
12.07.26
Ser
Confiança
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Floresta
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Ituano
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Brusque
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Caxias
0
1
L
04.01.26
Fri
Confiança
Decisão
0
1
L
H2H away: Confiança
10.08.26
H2H
Paysandu
Confiança
2
1
L
09.07.22
H2H
Paysandu
Confiança
1
0
L

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
W W D D W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D D W L W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W L W D D
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W W D L D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W W W L D
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D L W L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L W L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
D W L D L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation