BRAZIL SERIE C
10.08.2026 23:00
Leonidas Sodre de Castro
Referee: T. Silva
Paysandu
Match Timeline
Confiança
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
43'
Pablo
Paysandu
🟨
45+3'
Mateus Ludke
Confiança
45'
Icaro
Confiança
🔄
46'
Pablo ↔ Thalyson
Paysandu
🔄
55'
Kelvyn ↔ Matheus Juliao
Confiança
🔄
55'
Guilherme Nunes ↔ Madison
Confiança
🔄
55'
Luiz Thiago ↔ C. Breiner
Confiança
🔄
59'
Luciano ↔ Kleiton Pego
Paysandu
🟨
60'
Matheus Silva
Confiança
🔄
71'
PK ↔ Iago Silva
Confiança
🔄
74'
Pedro Felipe ↔ Gabriel Zeca
Confiança
🔄
75'
Lucas Cardoso ↔ Thayllon
Paysandu
🟨
81'
C. Breiner
Confiança
🔄
86'
Caio Mello ↔ Henrico
Paysandu
89'
Italo Carvalho
Paysandu
🟨
90+4'
Marcinho
Paysandu
🟨
90+6'
Thayllon
Paysandu
90'
Pedro Carrerette
Paysandu

Paysandu vs Confiança Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.7%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Paysandu Win 86.7%
Draw 6.2%
Confiança Win 7.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paysandu1.32
Confiança0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paysandu Paysandu
WWDLW
23 GF / 21 GA
Confiança Confiança
WLDWL
9 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
0.56
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1
11
BTTS Yes
5
9
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paysandu Paysandu 15 matches
Confiança Confiança 16 matches
Paysandu Statistic Confiança
7 Wins 3
2 Draws 3
6 Losses 10
23 Goals For 9
21 Goals Against 16
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 0.56
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1
11 BTTS Yes 5
12 Over 1.5 7
9 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Paysandu's more proactive style and Confiança's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Confiança. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Paysandu arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 23 points compared to Confiança in 20 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Paysandu have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Confiança having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Paysandu Analysis

Paysandu approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 23 points from 15 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats with a 23:21 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Confiança Analysis

With 12 points from 15 games and a place of 20, Confiança still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats with a 9:15 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Paysandu won 2 times, Confiança won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Paysandu's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
H2H summary: Paysandu wins 2, draws 0, Confiança wins 1

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L L W W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W L W W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
L W L W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W W D W
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation