URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 73.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
73.8%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Paysandu Win 42.5%
Draw 31.3%
CA River Plate Win 26.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paysandu1.31
CA River Plate1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paysandu Paysandu
WWDLW
23 GF / 29 GA
CA River Plate CA River Plate
WLDWL
29 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
11
BTTS Yes
12
10
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paysandu Paysandu 20 matches
CA River Plate CA River Plate 20 matches
Paysandu Statistic CA River Plate
6 Wins 8
2 Draws 4
12 Losses 8
23 Goals For 29
29 Goals Against 31
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
11 BTTS Yes 12
13 Over 1.5 16
10 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward CA River Plate having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward CA River Plate. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Paysandu Analysis

With 4 points from 6 games and a place of 11, Paysandu still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 4:7, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

CA River Plate Analysis

CA River Plate sit 13 with 4 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 6:13, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Paysandu won 0 times, CA River Plate won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Paysandu's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (73.8%)
H2H summary: Paysandu wins 0, draws 0, CA River Plate wins 2
Last matches: Paysandu
15.08.26
Seg
Paysandu
Sportivo Huracan
2
3
L
08.08.26
Seg
Paysandu
Uruguay Montevideo
0
1
L
03.08.26
Seg
Paysandu
Oriental
2
1
W
25.07.26
Seg
Paysandu
Colón
3
2
W
13.07.26
Seg
Paysandu
Fenix
1
0
W
04.07.26
Seg
Paysandu
Rentistas
2
1
W
27.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
Miramar
2
3
L
20.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
Tacuarembo
0
1
L
14.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
Plaza Colonia
1
2
L
06.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
La Luz
2
1
W
30.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
Cerrito
0
1
L
23.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
Atenas
2
3
L
16.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
CA River Plate
0
1
L
09.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
Sportivo Huracan
2
2
D
26.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
CA River Plate
1
2
L
17.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
10.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
Rentistas
0
1
L
05.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
Oriental
0
1
L
27.03.26
Seg
Paysandu
Miramar
2
0
W
13.03.26
Seg
Paysandu
Colón
0
2
L
Last matches: CA River Plate
15.08.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Miramar
3
0
W
09.08.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Sportivo Huracan
2
0
W
02.08.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Tacuarembo
0
1
L
18.07.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Uruguay Montevideo
1
1
D
11.07.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
3
2
W
04.07.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Oriental
2
1
W
28.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
La Luz
0
0
D
20.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Colón
1
2
L
14.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Cerrito
6
4
W
06.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Fenix
1
3
L
31.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Atenas
0
2
L
23.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Rentistas
2
1
W
16.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Paysandu
1
0
W
10.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Miramar
1
1
D
26.04.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Paysandu
2
1
W
12.04.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Colón
2
4
L
06.04.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Miramar
0
1
L
28.03.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
0
3
L
23.03.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Rentistas
1
1
D
14.03.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Oriental
1
3
L
H2H: Paysandu vs CA River Plate
16.05.26
H2H
CA River Plate
Paysandu
1
0
L
26.04.26
H2H
CA River Plate
Paysandu
2
1
L
Last matches: Paysandu
03.08.26
Seg
Paysandu
Oriental
2
1
W
13.07.26
Seg
Paysandu
Fenix
1
0
W
27.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
Miramar
2
3
L
14.06.26
Seg
Paysandu
Plaza Colonia
1
2
L
30.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
Cerrito
0
1
L
09.05.26
Seg
Paysandu
Sportivo Huracan
2
2
D
10.04.26
Seg
Paysandu
Rentistas
0
1
L
27.03.26
Seg
Paysandu
Miramar
2
0
W
13.03.26
Seg
Paysandu
Colón
0
2
L
Last matches: CA River Plate
02.08.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Tacuarembo
0
1
L
18.07.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Uruguay Montevideo
1
1
D
04.07.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Oriental
2
1
W
20.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Colón
1
2
L
06.06.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Fenix
1
3
L
23.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Rentistas
2
1
W
10.05.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Miramar
1
1
D
12.04.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Colón
2
4
L
06.04.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Miramar
0
1
L
28.03.26
Seg
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
0
3
L
08.11.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Wanderers
4
0
W
26.10.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Danubio
1
0
W
12.10.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Juventud
2
1
W
28.09.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
06.09.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Boston River
0
2
L
24.08.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Penarol
0
2
L
11.08.25
Pri
CA River Plate
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D