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27.09.2026 19:00
Patronato
Match Timeline
San Martin S.J.
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
R. Reynaga
Patronato
🟨
5'
F. Nadalin
San Martin S.J.
🟨
9'
J. Salas
Patronato
🟨
17'
R. Reynaga
Patronato
🟨
20'
J. Marchio
San Martin S.J.
🔄
28'
V. L. Pereyra ↔ B. Bravo
Patronato
⚽
41'
R. Reynaga
Patronato
🔄
46'
J. Barolin ↔ G. Salega
Patronato
🔄
46'
G. Acosta ↔ F. Coronel
San Martin S.J.
🔄
46'
F. Nadalin ↔ L. Ferreyra
San Martin S.J.
🔄
59'
R. Reynaga ↔ F. Soldano
Patronato
🔄
60'
J. Salas ↔ T. Attis
Patronato
🔄
67'
N. Genez ↔ S. Piccioni
Patronato
🔄
68'
G. Rossi ↔ B. Juncos
San Martin S.J.
🔄
68'
D. Alvarez ↔ H. Zuliani
San Martin S.J.
🟥
71'
S. Gonzalez
San Martin S.J.
🟨
79'
W. Rueda
Patronato
🔄
84'
J. Marchio ↔ E. Aguilera
San Martin S.J.
⚽
90'
T. Attis · Assist: B. Bravo
Patronato

Patronato vs San Martin S.J. Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 46.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
46.5%
- ▥
BTTS No
56%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Patronato Win 36.4%
Draw 17.1%
San Martin S.J. Win 46.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Patronato0.82
San Martin S.J.1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Patronato Patronato
D D D L W
3 GF / 2 GA
San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J.
W D L W W
6 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
1.09
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
11
BTTS Yes
16
7
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Patronato Patronato 30 matches
San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J. 32 matches
Patronato Statistic San Martin S.J.
5 Wins 13
16 Draws 10
9 Losses 9
24 Goals For 35
31 Goals Against 27
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 0.84
11 BTTS Yes 16
18 Over 1.5 21
7 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 2
11 Clean Sheets 12
15 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by San Martin S.J.'s more proactive style and Patronato's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward San Martin S.J.. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Martin S.J. having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. San Martin S.J. carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 42 points while Patronato sit 16 on 30, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Patronato Analysis

With 30 points from 29 games and a place of 16, Patronato still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 15 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 23:30 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Martin S.J. Analysis

So far, San Martin S.J. have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 42 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 31:27 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Patronato won 3 times, San Martin S.J. won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:12 from Patronato's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.9%)
H2H summary: Patronato wins 3, draws 1, San Martin S.J. wins 6

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 16 16 4 34:16 18 64
D D W D D
2 36 19 5 12 42:34 8 62
D W L W W
3 36 16 13 7 43:31 12 61
D L D W W
4 36 16 10 10 53:49 4 58
L L W D L
5 36 15 10 11 43:29 14 55
D W L W D
6 36 14 10 12 43:34 9 52
D W L D W
7 36 14 10 12 36:32 4 52
D D W D W
8 36 14 10 12 37:35 2 52
L L W D L
9 36 13 12 11 42:36 6 51
W D D D L
10 36 11 14 11 39:37 2 47
D L W L W
11 36 12 11 13 29:35 -6 47
D D W L L
12 36 12 10 14 31:39 -8 46
W W L W D
13 36 12 9 15 33:30 3 45
W W L L D
14 36 12 6 18 29:35 -6 42
W W W L W
15 36 11 9 16 33:44 -11 42
L D L W W
16 36 7 17 12 29:35 -6 38
D L L W L
17 36 9 10 17 25:36 -11 37
L D L L L
18 36 6 9 21 28:62 -34 27
D L W L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation