ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Patronato
Match Timeline
Midland
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
27'
H. Rivero · Assist: A. Miro
Patronato
🟨
35'
G. Cepeda
Midland
🟨
45'
F. Moreyra
Patronato
🔄
46'
H. Rivero ↔ T. Attis
Patronato
🔄
46'
D. Aguilar ↔ J. Perales
Midland
🔄
60'
N. Genez ↔ S. Piccioni
Patronato
🟨
62'
J. P. Barinaga
Patronato
65'
A. I. Campana
Midland
🟨
66'
A. I. Campana
Midland
🔄
67'
J. P. Barinaga ↔ M. Enrique
Patronato
🔄
70'
R. Cao ↔ D. Guzman
Midland
🔄
79'
A. Miro ↔ F. Heredia
Patronato
🔄
79'
R. Reynaga ↔ F. Soldano
Patronato
🟨
80'
M. Roseti
Midland
🟨
88'
M. Leguiza
Midland
🟨
88'
S. Piccioni
Patronato
🔄
89'
A. I. Campana ↔ L. Gigli
Midland
🔄
89'
P. Casarico ↔ M. Penepil
Midland
🟨
90+1'
M. Penepil
Midland
🟨
90+8'
M. Flores
Midland
🔄
90+2'
M. Roseti ↔ M. Flores
Midland

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.6%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Patronato Win 36.7%
Draw 18.5%
Midland Win 44.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Patronato0.71
Midland0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Patronato Patronato
WWDLW
11 GF / 14 GA
Midland Midland
WLDWL
21 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
0.65
Average Goals Scored
1.11
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
5
BTTS Yes
8
3
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Patronato Patronato 17 matches
Midland Midland 19 matches
Patronato Statistic Midland
4 Wins 8
8 Draws 5
5 Losses 6
11 Goals For 21
14 Goals Against 15
0.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
5 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 11
3 Over 2.5 6
0 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 7
9 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Midland's more proactive style and Patronato's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Midland arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Midland having the stronger overall control. Midland carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 25 points while Patronato sit 14 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Midland.

Patronato Analysis

Patronato approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 19 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats with a 11:14 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on R. Reynaga (2 goals), W. Rueda (2 goals), B. Cortes (1 goals), with creative support from F. Soldano (2 assists), J. Salas (1 assists), F. Meritello (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Midland Analysis

With 25 points from 17 games and a place of 4, Midland still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 18:13 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Rogoski (5 goals), F. Gonzalez (2 goals), J. Vega (2 goals), with creative support from M. Roseti (3 assists), A. I. Campana (3 assists), L. Diaz Laharque (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Patronato won 0 times, Midland won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Patronato's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.6%)
H2H summary: Patronato wins 0, draws 1, Midland wins 0

Lineups

Patronato
Formation
Midland
A. Sosa
A. Sosa
W. Rueda
W. Rueda
G. Diaz
G. Diaz
F. Moreyra
F. Moreyra
N. Genez
N. Genez
J. P. Barinaga
J. P. Barinaga
F. Bravo
F. Bravo
A. Miro
🎯
A. Miro
V. L. Pereyra
V. L. Pereyra
H. Rivero
H. Rivero
R. Reynaga
R. Reynaga
M. Leguiza
M. Leguiza
L. Diaz Laharque
L. Diaz Laharque
G. Cepeda
G. Cepeda
F. Gonzalez
F. Gonzalez
P. Casarico
P. Casarico
D. Aguilar
D. Aguilar
J. Camano
J. Camano
M. Rogoski
M. Rogoski
M. Roseti
M. Roseti
A. I. Campana
A. I. Campana
R. Cao
R. Cao
Patronato 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Sosa
4
W. Rueda
2
G. Diaz
6
F. Moreyra
🟨 45'
3
N. Genez
↓ 60'
10
J. P. Barinaga
↓ 67' 🟨 62'
5
F. Bravo
8
A. Miro
🎯 27' ↓ 79'
11
V. L. Pereyra
7
H. Rivero
⚽ 27' ↓ 46'
9
R. Reynaga
↓ 79'
Substitutes
12
F. Rivasseau
13
S. Piccioni
↑ 60' 🟨 88'
14
F. Heredia
↑ 79'
15
A. Picco
18
B. Bravo
20
T. Attis
↑ 46'
16
M. Enrique
↑ 67'
19
F. Soldano
↑ 79'
17
V. Villarreal
Midland 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Leguiza
🟨 88'
4
L. Diaz Laharque
2
G. Cepeda
🟨 35'
6
F. Gonzalez
3
P. Casarico
↓ 89'
5
D. Aguilar
↓ 46'
8
J. Camano
7
M. Rogoski
10
M. Roseti
↓ 90+2' 🟨 80'
11
A. I. Campana
⚽ 65' ↓ 89' 🟨 66'
9
R. Cao
↓ 70'
Substitutes
12
S. Garcia Rossi
13
L. Gigli
↑ 89'
14
P. Castorani
16
M. Penepil
↑ 89' 🟨 90+1'
15
D. Guzman
↑ 70'
17
M. Flores
↑ 90+2' 🟨 90+8'
18
J. Perales
↑ 46'
19
J. Vega
20
M. Abruzzese
Last matches: Patronato
12.07.26
Pri
Patronato
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
05.07.26
Pri
Patronato
San Martin Tucuman
0
1
L
14.06.26
Pri
Patronato
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
0
D
07.06.26
Pri
Patronato
Agropecuario
1
1
D
31.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Tristan Suarez
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Club Atlético Güemes
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Chacarita Juniors
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Patronato
San Martin S.J.
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Nueva Chicago
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Temperley
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Deportivo Maipu
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Almagro
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Gimnasia Jujuy
0
2
L
29.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Colon Santa Fe
0
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Colegiales
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Quilmes
0
3
L
03.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Atlanta
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pri
Patronato
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
2
L
15.02.26
Pri
Patronato
San Martin Tucuman
0
0
D
Last matches: Midland
12.07.26
Pri
Midland
Quilmes
1
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
1
D
13.06.26
Pri
Midland
Atlanta
1
2
L
06.06.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
1
L
31.05.26
Pri
Midland
San Martin Tucuman
2
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Midland
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Midland
Agropecuario
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Midland
Tristan Suarez
3
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Midland
Club Atlético Güemes
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Midland
Chacarita Juniors
0
1
L
23.04.26
Cop
Midland
Deportivo Moron
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Midland
San Martin S.J.
0
1
L
13.04.26
Pri
Midland
Nueva Chicago
2
2
D
08.04.26
Pri
Midland
Acassuso
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Midland
Temperley
0
0
D
22.03.26
Pri
Midland
Deportivo Maipu
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Midland
Almagro
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Midland
Colegiales
2
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Midland
Quilmes
0
0
D
16.02.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
2
L
H2H: Patronato vs Midland
21.06.26
H2H
Patronato
Midland
1
1
D
Last matches: Patronato
05.07.26
Pri
Patronato
San Martin Tucuman
0
1
L
14.06.26
Pri
Patronato
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Tristan Suarez
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Chacarita Juniors
2
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Nueva Chicago
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Deportivo Maipu
0
0
D
29.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Colon Santa Fe
0
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Colegiales
2
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Patronato
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
2
L
H2H at home: Patronato
21.06.26
H2H
Patronato
Midland
1
1
D
Last matches: Midland
06.06.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pri
Midland
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Midland
Tristan Suarez
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Midland
Chacarita Juniors
0
1
L
23.04.26
Cop
Midland
Deportivo Moron
2
1
W
13.04.26
Pri
Midland
Nueva Chicago
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
Midland
Deportivo Maipu
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Midland
Quilmes
0
0
D
16.02.26
Pri
Midland
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
2
L
22.01.26
Cop
Midland
Argentinos JRS
1
1
D
15.11.25
Pri
Midland
Flandria
0
1
L
01.11.25
Pri
Midland
Deportivo Laferrere
4
1
W
12.10.25
Pri
Midland
Comunicaciones
0
0
D
30.09.25
Pri
Midland
San Martín Burzaco
0
1
L
16.09.25
Pri
Midland
Deportivo Merlo
0
0
D
30.08.25
Pri
Midland
Villa San Carlos
0
0
D
17.08.25
Pri
Midland
UAI Urquiza
2
0
W
25.07.25
Pri
Midland
Excursionistas
0
1
L
13.07.25
Pri
Midland
Brown DE Adrogue
2
1
W
05.07.25
Pri
Midland
Argentino Quilmes
0
0
D
H2H away: Midland
21.06.26
H2H
Patronato
Midland
1
1
D