ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
22.08.2026 18:30
Patronato
Match Timeline
Gimnasia Jujuy
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
D. Diaz · Assist: J. Salas
Patronato
🟨
24'
N. Dematei
Gimnasia Jujuy
33'
D. Gallardo · Assist: F. Maidana
Gimnasia Jujuy
🟨
37'
J. Salas
Patronato
🟨
44'
F. Maidana
Gimnasia Jujuy
🟨
52'
N. Dematei
Gimnasia Jujuy
🟥
52'
N. Dematei
Gimnasia Jujuy
🔄
54'
M. Cachi ↔ J. Varela
Gimnasia Jujuy
🟨
55'
F. Molina
Gimnasia Jujuy
🔄
56'
J. Salas ↔ B. Cortes
Patronato
57'
A. Miro · Assist: A. Picco
Patronato
63'
D. Diaz · Assist: A. Picco
Patronato
🔄
65'
F. Maidana ↔ C. Pombo
Gimnasia Jujuy
🔄
65'
F. Molina ↔ J. Franzoni
Gimnasia Jujuy
🟨
68'
J. Varela
Gimnasia Jujuy
🔄
73'
F. Camargo ↔ M. Casa
Gimnasia Jujuy
🔄
73'
H. Soria ↔ A. Arganaraz
Gimnasia Jujuy
🔄
78'
W. Rueda ↔ F. Moreyra
Patronato
🔄
78'
A. Miro ↔ V. Villarreal
Patronato
🔄
78'
F. Soldano ↔ J. P. Barinaga
Patronato
80'
G. Cosaro
Gimnasia Jujuy
🔄
82'
V. L. Pereyra ↔ F. Heredia
Patronato
83'
D. Gallardo · Assist: O. Bianchi
Gimnasia Jujuy

Patronato vs Gimnasia Jujuy Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 73.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
73.7%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Patronato Win 26.3%
Draw 22.8%
Gimnasia Jujuy Win 50.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Patronato0.94
Gimnasia Jujuy1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Patronato Patronato
WWDLW
18 GF / 26 GA
Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy
WLDWL
40 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
9
BTTS Yes
16
6
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Patronato Patronato 24 matches
Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 27 matches
Patronato Statistic Gimnasia Jujuy
4 Wins 13
12 Draws 7
8 Losses 7
18 Goals For 40
26 Goals Against 33
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
9 BTTS Yes 16
15 Over 1.5 23
6 Over 2.5 15
2 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 6
12 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Gimnasia Jujuy's more proactive style and Patronato's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Gimnasia Jujuy carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 41 points while Patronato sit 17 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gimnasia Jujuy having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gimnasia Jujuy. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Gimnasia Jujuy arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Patronato Analysis

Patronato approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 24 points from 23 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 12 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 18:23, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gimnasia Jujuy Analysis

Gimnasia Jujuy sit 2 with 41 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 35:29, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Patronato won 3 times, Gimnasia Jujuy won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:11 from Patronato's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.92 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.2%)
H2H summary: Patronato wins 3, draws 7, Gimnasia Jujuy wins 2

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 13 9 4 29:15 14 48
L W W W W
2 27 12 10 5 30:22 8 46
W W W L L
3 27 13 7 7 40:33 7 46
D D W L L
4 27 13 3 11 31:28 3 42
L L W L W
5 26 11 8 7 29:19 10 41
W L D W D
6 27 11 8 8 28:25 3 41
W L D W W
7 27 10 9 8 20:20 0 39
W D D W D
8 27 11 5 11 34:28 6 38
L W W L W
9 26 10 8 8 28:24 4 38
W W W D D
10 27 8 12 7 27:24 3 36
D W D D L
11 26 9 7 10 24:25 -1 34
W D L D W
12 27 9 7 11 22:29 -7 34
W D L D L
13 27 8 8 11 27:23 4 32
L L W D W
14 27 7 9 11 23:31 -8 30
D L W W L
15 27 7 8 12 20:27 -7 29
L L L L L
16 27 5 13 9 23:30 -7 28
L W D L D
17 27 7 6 14 19:29 -10 27
L L D L L
18 27 5 8 14 22:44 -22 23
D D D D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation