ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
26.08.2026 18:30
Patronato
Match Timeline
Atlanta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
G. Diaz · Assist: A. Miro
Patronato
🟨
30'
A. Picco
Patronato
🔄
46'
N. Genez ↔ F. Heredia
Patronato
🔄
46'
A. Miro ↔ B. Cortes
Patronato
🔄
52'
J. Puch ↔ A. Morales
Atlanta
🟨
56'
I. Rodriguez
Atlanta
🟨
59'
I. Rodriguez
Atlanta
🟥
59'
I. Rodriguez
Atlanta
🔄
65'
A. Dramisino ↔ G. Miranda
Atlanta
🟨
67'
W. Rueda
Patronato
🟨
68'
P. Ostachuk
Atlanta
🔄
71'
D. Diaz ↔ T. Attis
Patronato
🔄
74'
J. Salas ↔ B. Bravo
Patronato
🔄
78'
R. Sosa ↔ C. Bernardi
Atlanta
82'
B. Cortes · Assist: V. L. Pereyra
Patronato
🔄
87'
W. Rueda ↔ F. N. Diaz
Patronato
🟨
89'
A. Sosa
Patronato

Patronato vs Atlanta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 71%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
71%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Patronato Win 29%
Draw 18.5%
Atlanta Win 52.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Patronato0.92
Atlanta1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Patronato Patronato
WWDLW
21 GF / 29 GA
Atlanta Atlanta
WLDWL
31 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
0.84
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.16
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
10
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Patronato Patronato 25 matches
Atlanta Atlanta 26 matches
Patronato Statistic Atlanta
4 Wins 13
13 Draws 3
8 Losses 10
21 Goals For 31
29 Goals Against 27
0.84 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.16 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
10 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 16
7 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 11
12 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Atlanta's more proactive style and Patronato's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atlanta having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Atlanta carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 36 points while Patronato sit 16 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atlanta.

Patronato Analysis

With 22 points from 20 games and a place of 16, Patronato still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 10 draws, and 6 defeats with a 13:17 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atlanta Analysis

Atlanta come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 36 points after 20 matches. The return of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 25:15, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Patronato won 2 times, Atlanta won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from Patronato's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.6%)
H2H summary: Patronato wins 2, draws 4, Atlanta wins 0

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 14 11 4 31:15 16 53
D D W L W
2 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
W D W W W
3 30 15 8 7 45:36 9 53
D W W D D
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 30 13 8 9 34:25 9 47
W W L L W
6 30 12 9 9 33:27 6 45
W D L W W
7 30 12 9 9 31:27 4 45
L D W W L
8 30 11 9 10 25:26 -1 42
W L L W D
9 30 11 8 11 37:31 6 41
D D D L W
10 30 11 7 12 29:30 -1 40
L W L W W
11 30 9 12 9 32:30 2 39
L W L D W
12 30 9 9 12 26:34 -8 36
W L W D L
13 30 9 8 13 28:27 1 35
L W L L L
14 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L D L W D
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 30 8 6 16 22:31 -9 30
W L L L L
18 30 5 8 17 23:51 -28 23
L L L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation