BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Parnahyba
Match Timeline
Moto Club
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
78'
Gleryston
Parnahyba

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 83.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.7%
-
BTTS Yes
83.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Parnahyba Win 56.7%
Draw 23.7%
Moto Club Win 19.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Parnahyba1.29
Moto Club1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Parnahyba Parnahyba
WWDLW
10 GF / 13 GA
Moto Club Moto Club
WLDWL
8 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
5
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Parnahyba Parnahyba 9 matches
Moto Club Moto Club 9 matches
Parnahyba Statistic Moto Club
3 Wins 2
2 Draws 3
4 Losses 4
10 Goals For 8
13 Goals Against 14
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
5 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Moto Club arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Moto Club having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Moto Club. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Parnahyba Analysis

Parnahyba arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 11 points after 9 matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 10:13 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Cremosinho (3 goals), Junior Barbosa (3 goals), Jeffinho (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Moto Club Analysis

Moto Club sit 5 with 9 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 8:14 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Jojo (3 goals), Itambe (2 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Parnahyba won 1 times, Moto Club won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Parnahyba's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (80.5%)
H2H summary: Parnahyba wins 1, draws 1, Moto Club wins 0
Last matches: Parnahyba
21.06.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Águia de Marabá
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Iguatu
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Maracanã
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Sampaio Correa
1
4
L
09.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
IAPE
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
IAPE
3
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Sampaio Correa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Maracanã
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Iguatu
0
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Moto Club
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Imperatriz
2
3
L
20.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Sampaio Correa
2
2
D
12.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Altos
2
4
L
06.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Iguatu
2
0
W
29.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Maracanã
1
2
L
15.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Maranhão
2
2
D
07.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Tocantinópolis
0
0
D
01.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Tocantinópolis
1
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Maranhão
1
1
D
18.05.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Maracanã
3
2
W
Last matches: Moto Club
30.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Maracanã
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Sampaio Correa
0
4
L
16.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
IAPE
2
2
D
10.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Iguatu
1
3
L
06.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Sampaio Correa
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Iguatu
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Moto Club
IAPE
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Moto Club
Maracanã
0
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Moto Club
Parnahyba
1
1
D
H2H: Parnahyba vs Moto Club
07.06.26
H2H
Parnahyba
Moto Club
1
0
W
05.04.26
H2H
Moto Club
Parnahyba
1
1
D
Last matches: Parnahyba
21.06.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Águia de Marabá
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Maracanã
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
IAPE
3
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Sampaio Correa
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Iguatu
0
2
L
20.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Sampaio Correa
2
2
D
06.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Iguatu
2
0
W
15.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Maranhão
2
2
D
01.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Tocantinópolis
1
0
W
18.05.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Maracanã
3
2
W
04.05.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Altos
0
2
L
20.04.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Imperatriz
0
0
D
H2H at home: Parnahyba
07.06.26
H2H
Parnahyba
Moto Club
1
0
W
Last matches: Moto Club
24.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Sampaio Correa
0
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Moto Club
Iguatu
1
3
L
25.04.26
Ser
Moto Club
IAPE
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Moto Club
Maracanã
0
2
L
H2H away: Moto Club
07.06.26
H2H
Parnahyba
Moto Club
1
0
L

Standings

Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)