BRAZIL SERIE D
24.05.2026 19:00
Parnahyba
Match Timeline
Maracanã
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
77'
Luis Soares
Maracanã

Parnahyba vs Maracanã Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Parnahyba Win 77%
Draw 9.5%
Maracanã Win 13.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Parnahyba0.97
Maracanã1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Parnahyba Parnahyba
WWDLW
8 GF / 10 GA
Maracanã Maracanã
WLDWL
7 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
4
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Parnahyba Parnahyba 7 matches
Maracanã Maracanã 7 matches
Parnahyba Statistic Maracanã
3 Wins 2
1 Draws 4
3 Losses 1
8 Goals For 7
10 Goals Against 5
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
4 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 1
2 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Maracanã's more proactive style and Parnahyba's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Maracanã. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maracanã having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Parnahyba Analysis

Parnahyba come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 10 points after 7 matches. They have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, with a 8:10 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Junior Barbosa (3 goals), Cremosinho (2 goals), Amilton (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

Maracanã Analysis

Maracanã come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 10 points from 7 matches. The record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 7:5 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through Vinicius Caninde (2 goals), Alison (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Parnahyba won 1 times, Maracanã won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:6 from Parnahyba's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.5%)
H2H summary: Parnahyba wins 1, draws 0, Maracanã wins 3

Standings

Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)