Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
90.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
71.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Parma
Sassuolo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Parma
40 matches
Sassuolo
39 matches
| Parma | Statistic | Sassuolo |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 15 |
| 13 | Draws | 7 |
| 16 | Losses | 17 |
| 32 | Goals For | 47 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 52 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 16 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 3.82 |
| 10.75 | Total Shots | 10.97 |
| 3.93 | Corners | 3.97 |
| 43.7% | Ball Possession | 45.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sassuolo. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Parma expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Sassuolo in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sassuolo having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Parma have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Parma sit 13 with 42 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 10 wins, 12 draws, and 15 defeats with a 27:46 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Pellegrino (8 goals), A. Bernabe (3 goals), Enrico Del Prato (2 goals), with creative support from G. Strefezza (2 assists), A. Benedyczak (2 assists), E. Valeri (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Sassuolo sit 11 with 49 points after 37 league matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 7 draws, and 16 losses with goals at 46:49 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Pinamonti (9 goals), Domenico Berardi (8 goals), A. Lauriente (7 goals), with creative support from A. Lauriente (9 assists), Domenico Berardi (4 assists), Kristian Thorstvedt (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Parma won 7 times, Sassuolo won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:17 from Parma's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Parma
3
1
11
4
2
1
Lineups
Parma
Sampdoria
Parma
Iraklis 1908
Parma
Arezzo
Parma
Sassuolo
Parma
Trento
Parma
Como
Parma
AS Roma
Parma
Inter
Parma
Pisa
Parma
Udinese
Parma
Napoli
Parma
Lazio
Parma
Cremonese
Parma
Torino
Parma
Fiorentina
Parma
Cagliari
Parma
AC Milan
Parma
Hellas Verona
Parma
Bologna
Parma
Juventus
Sassuolo
FC Augsburg
Sassuolo
Celta Vigo
Sassuolo
Folgore Caratese
Sassuolo
Trento
Sassuolo
Parma
Sassuolo
Padova
Sassuolo
Lecce
Sassuolo
Torino
Sassuolo
AC Milan
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
Como
Sassuolo
Genoa
Sassuolo
Cagliari
Sassuolo
Juventus
Sassuolo
Bologna
Sassuolo
Lazio
Sassuolo
Atalanta
Sassuolo
Hellas Verona
Sassuolo
Udinese
Sassuolo
Inter
Parma
Sampdoria
Parma
Iraklis 1908
Parma
Arezzo
Parma
AS Roma
Parma
Pisa
Parma
Napoli
Parma
Cremonese
Parma
Cagliari
Parma
Hellas Verona
Parma
Juventus
Parma
Genoa
Parma
Inter
Parma
Fiorentina
Parma
Lazio
Parma
Udinese
Parma
AC Milan
Parma
Bologna
Parma
Como
Parma
Lecce
Parma
Torino
Sassuolo
FC Augsburg
Sassuolo
Trento
Sassuolo
Torino
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
Genoa
Sassuolo
Juventus
Sassuolo
Lazio
Sassuolo
Udinese
Sassuolo
Pisa
Sassuolo
Napoli
Sassuolo
AS Roma
Sassuolo
Bologna
Sassuolo
AC Milan
Sassuolo
Como
Sassuolo
Atalanta
Sassuolo
Cagliari
Sassuolo
Lecce
Sassuolo
Hellas Verona
Sassuolo
Como
Sassuolo
Inter
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 |
Sassuolo
Away
|
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 |
Parma
Home
|
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|