Parma vs Sassuolo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
90.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
71.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Parma
Sassuolo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Parma
40 matches
Sassuolo
39 matches
| Parma | Statistic | Sassuolo |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 15 |
| 13 | Draws | 7 |
| 16 | Losses | 17 |
| 32 | Goals For | 47 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 52 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 16 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 3.82 |
| 10.75 | Total Shots | 10.97 |
| 3.93 | Corners | 3.97 |
| 43.7% | Ball Possession | 45.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sassuolo. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Parma expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Sassuolo in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sassuolo having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Parma have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Parma sit 13 with 42 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 10 wins, 12 draws, and 15 defeats with a 27:46 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Pellegrino (8 goals), A. Bernabe (3 goals), Enrico Del Prato (2 goals), with creative support from G. Strefezza (2 assists), A. Benedyczak (2 assists), E. Valeri (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Sassuolo sit 11 with 49 points after 37 league matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 7 draws, and 16 losses with goals at 46:49 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Pinamonti (9 goals), Domenico Berardi (8 goals), A. Lauriente (7 goals), with creative support from A. Lauriente (9 assists), Domenico Berardi (4 assists), Kristian Thorstvedt (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Parma won 7 times, Sassuolo won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:17 from Parma's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 |
Sassuolo
Away
|
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 |
Parma
Home
|
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|