ITALY › SERIE A
27.12.2025 11:30
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Referee: Marco Guida, Italy
Parma
Match Timeline
Fiorentina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Alessandro Circati
Parma
🟨
22'
Rolando Mandragora
Fiorentina
🔄
46'
M. Viti ↔ N. Fortini
Fiorentina
⚽
48'
O. Sorensen · Assist: M. Pellegrino
Parma
🔄
63'
R. Mandragora ↔ R. Piccoli
Fiorentina
🔄
67'
A. Benedyczak ↔ G. Oristanio
Parma
🔄
68'
J. Ondrejka ↔ N. Estevez
Parma
🔄
76'
C. Ndour ↔ S. Sohm
Fiorentina
🔄
76'
F. Parisi ↔ R. Gosens
Fiorentina
🔄
81'
A. Bernabe ↔ C. Ordonez
Parma
🟨
86'
Edoardo Corvi
Parma
🔄
86'
P. Comuzzo ↔ E. Kouadio
Fiorentina
🟨
90+3'
Marin Pongračić
Fiorentina
🔄
90+4'
M. Keita ↔ B. Cremaschi
Parma
🔄
90+4'
M. Pellegrino ↔ M. Djuric
Parma

Parma vs Fiorentina Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Parma Win 0%
Draw 0%
Fiorentina Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Parma1.07
Fiorentina1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Parma Parma
WWDLW
15 GF / 22 GA
Fiorentina Fiorentina
WLDWL
31 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
8
BTTS Yes
14
7
Over 2.5
15
3.61
Shots on Goal
3.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Parma Parma 18 matches
Fiorentina Fiorentina 24 matches
Parma Statistic Fiorentina
4 Wins 6
6 Draws 6
8 Losses 12
15 Goals For 31
22 Goals Against 34
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
8 BTTS Yes 14
12 Over 1.5 19
7 Over 2.5 15
3 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 7
3.61 Shots On Goal 3.63
11.61 Total Shots 13.17
3.22 Corners 4.75
42.4% Ball Possession 52.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Parma won 4 times, Fiorentina won 2 times, while 9 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:15 from Parma's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Parma 4-3-3 / Fiorentina 3-5-2
H2H summary: Parma wins 4, draws 9, Fiorentina wins 2

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13
Parma Home
38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B