ITALY › SERIE A
27.02.2026 19:45
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Referee: L. Massimi
Parma
Match Timeline
Cagliari
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Juan Rodríguez
Cagliari
🟨
40'
Alberto Dossena
Cagliari
🔄
46'
E. Delprato ↔ G. Oristanio
Parma
🔄
46'
C. Ordonez ↔ H. Nicolussi Caviglia
Parma
🟨
56'
Mateo Pellegrino
Parma
🔄
61'
S. Kilicsoy ↔ M. Folorunsho
Cagliari
⚽
62'
M. Folorunsho · Assist: S. Esposito
Cagliari
🟨
63'
Lautaro Valenti
Parma
🟨
65'
Ibrahim Sulemana
Cagliari
🔄
75'
M. Keita ↔ N. Estevez
Parma
⚽
83'
G. Oristanio
Parma
🔄
87'
I. Sulemana ↔ R. Idrissi
Cagliari
🔄
87'
S. Esposito ↔ L. Pavoletti
Cagliari
🔄
89'
E. Valeri ↔ F. Carboni
Parma
🟨
90+4'
Adam Obert
Cagliari
🔄
90'
A. Bernabe ↔ B. Cremaschi
Parma

Parma vs Cagliari Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Parma Win 0%
Draw 0%
Cagliari Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Parma1.02
Cagliari1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Parma Parma
WWDLW
24 GF / 35 GA
Cagliari Cagliari
WLDWL
34 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
12
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
13
3.28
Shots on Goal
3.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Parma Parma 29 matches
Cagliari Cagliari 29 matches
Parma Statistic Cagliari
9 Wins 8
9 Draws 10
11 Losses 11
24 Goals For 34
35 Goals Against 38
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
12 BTTS Yes 15
18 Over 1.5 23
11 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 6
10 Clean Sheets 6
12 Failed To Score 10
3.28 Shots On Goal 3.38
11.66 Total Shots 10.14
3.97 Corners 3.52
44.1% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Parma won 2 times, Cagliari won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:25 from Parma's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Parma 3-1-4-2 / Cagliari 3-5-2
H2H summary: Parma wins 2, draws 5, Cagliari wins 8

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13
Parma Home
38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B