Paris Saint Germain vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
89%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
93.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
91.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Paris Saint Germain
Stade Brestois 29
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Paris Saint Germain
50 matches
Stade Brestois 29
32 matches
| Paris Saint Germain | Statistic | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | Wins | 10 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 8 | Losses | 13 |
| 120 | Goals For | 42 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 52 |
| 2.4 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.31 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.63 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 41 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 33 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 20 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 22 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 6.98 | Shots On Goal | 3.44 |
| 18.18 | Total Shots | 10.94 |
| 6.16 | Corners | 3.84 |
| 67.5% | Ball Possession | 43.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Paris Saint Germain's more proactive style and Stade Brestois 29's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Stade Brestois 29 arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Paris Saint Germain arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 70 points compared to Stade Brestois 29 in 12 on 38, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Paris Saint Germain expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Stade Brestois 29 in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Stade Brestois 29 having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Stade Brestois 29.
Paris Saint Germain come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 70 points after 31 matches. They have recorded 22 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a 70:27 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on B. Barcola (10 goals), O. Dembele (10 goals), K. Kvaratskhelia (7 goals), with creative support from Vitinha (7 assists), O. Dembele (6 assists), N. Mendes (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 12 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
With 38 points from 31 games and a place of 12, Stade Brestois 29 still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 13 defeats with a 41:51 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on R. Del Castillo (8 goals), Ludovic Ajorque (7 goals), J. Dina Ebimbe (5 goals), with creative support from Ludovic Ajorque (9 assists), R. Del Castillo (3 assists), Kamory Doumbia (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Paris Saint Germain won 14 times, Stade Brestois 29 won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 44:11 from Paris Saint Germain's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
Home
|
34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Stade Brestois 29
Away
|
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|