FRANCE › LIGUE 1
04.09.2026 19:05
Parc des Princes
Referee: Jérôme Brisard, France
Paris Saint Germain
Match Timeline
Monaco
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
31'
Marquinhos · Assist: K. Kvaratskhelia
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
52'
Vanderson ↔ J. Teze
Monaco
⚽
58'
Nazinho · Assist: J. Teze
Monaco
🔄
63'
W. Zaire-Emery ↔ L. Hernandez
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
63'
D. Doue ↔ F. Torres
Paris Saint Germain
🟨
68'
Lucas Hernández
Paris Saint Germain
🟨
68'
Jordan Teze
Monaco
🔄
68'
M. Akliouche ↔ O. Dembele
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
68'
K. Kvaratskhelia ↔ M. Godts
Paris Saint Germain
⚽
72'
S. Idumbo · Assist: A. Golovin
Monaco
🔄
73'
M. Coulibaly ↔ A. Soubeir
Monaco
🔄
73'
P. Brunner ↔ M. Abline
Monaco
🔄
76'
F. Ruiz ↔ D. Fernandez
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
87'
S. Idumbo ↔ C. Mawissa
Monaco
🔄
87'
A. Golovin ↔ S. Benzahra
Monaco

Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.10
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.38
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
61.1%
1.10 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.38 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.24 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.91 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Paris Saint Germain Win 39.2%
Draw 22%
Monaco Win 38.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paris Saint Germain1.36
Monaco1.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
WWDLW
7 GF / 9 GA
Monaco Monaco
WLDWL
21 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
2.1
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
4
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
5
5
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 5 matches
Monaco Monaco 10 matches
Paris Saint Germain Statistic Monaco
1 Wins 7
3 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
7 Goals For 21
9 Goals Against 13
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 2.1
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
4 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 5
0 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 2
5 Shots On Goal 6
16.33 Total Shots 13.75
5 Corners 4.5
67.7% Ball Possession 50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Paris Saint Germain won 7 times, Monaco won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:22 from Paris Saint Germain's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.1%)
Predicted formations: Paris Saint Germain 4-3-1-2 / Monaco 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Paris Saint Germain 2, Monaco 4
H2H summary: Paris Saint Germain wins 7, draws 3, Monaco wins 5

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
2 5 3 2 0 10:2 8 11
W D W D W
3 5 3 2 0 8:3 5 11
W D W W D
4 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
L W W D W
5 5 3 1 1 8:9 -1 10
L W W W D
6 5 2 2 1 8:7 1 8
W W L D D
7 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
W D L W L
8 5 2 1 2 10:10 0 7
L D W W L
9 5 1 3 1 9:9 0 6
W D D L D
10 5 2 0 3 7:12 -5 6
W W L L L
11 5 1 2 2 7:8 -1 5
L L W D D
12 5 1 2 2 5:6 -1 5
L D W L D
13 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
W D L D L
14 5 1 2 2 3:6 -3 5
W L D L D
15 5 1 1 3 9:9 0 4
L D L L W
16 5 1 1 3 4:11 -7 4
L L L W D
17 5 1 0 4 7:8 -1 3
L L L L W
18 5 0 2 3 4:7 -3 2
L D L D L
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation