GREECE SUPER LEAGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Toumba Stadium
Referee: S. Sozza
PAOK
Match Timeline
Olympiakos Piraeus
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
A. Jeremejeff
PAOK
29'
A. El Kaabi · Assist: Chiquinho
Olympiakos Piraeus
🟨
43'
Francisco Ortega
Olympiakos Piraeus
🟨
45'
Christos Zafeiris
PAOK
55'
A. Zivkovic · Assist: G. Konstantelias
PAOK
65'
A. Jeremejeff · Assist: A. Zivkovic
PAOK
🔄
71'
Rodinei ↔ D. Podence
Olympiakos Piraeus
🔄
71'
D. Garcia ↔ C. Mouzakitis
Olympiakos Piraeus
🔄
77'
S. Meite ↔ M. Ozdoev
PAOK
🔄
77'
Taison ↔ D. Pelkas
PAOK
🔄
81'
G. Martins ↔ Andre Luiz
Olympiakos Piraeus
🔄
87'
G. Konstantelias ↔ L. Ivanusec
PAOK
🔄
87'
A. Jeremejeff ↔ A. Mythou
PAOK
🔄
90+2'
C. Zafeiris ↔ A. Bianco
PAOK
🔄
90'
Chiquinho ↔ M. Taremi
Olympiakos Piraeus
🔄
90'
P. Retsos ↔ G. Biancone
Olympiakos Piraeus

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
60.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
PAOK Win 37.2%
Draw 9.3%
Olympiakos Piraeus Win 53.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
PAOK1.38
Olympiakos Piraeus1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
PAOK PAOK
WWDLW
76 GF / 38 GA
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
WLDWL
57 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.81
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
0.74
16
BTTS Yes
12
23
Over 2.5
13
4.6
Shots on Goal
5.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

PAOK PAOK 42 matches
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 38 matches
PAOK Statistic Olympiakos Piraeus
22 Wins 21
11 Draws 10
9 Losses 7
76 Goals For 57
38 Goals Against 28
1.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 0.74
16 BTTS Yes 12
30 Over 1.5 27
23 Over 2.5 13
12 Over 3.5 5
22 Clean Sheets 22
11 Failed To Score 10
4.6 Shots On Goal 5.11
12.26 Total Shots 16.66
4.86 Corners 6.37
54.6% Ball Possession 56.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Olympiakos Piraeus. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

PAOK Analysis

PAOK arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 58 points after 28 matches. The record of 17 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 52:20 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through G. Konstantelias (7 goals), Giorgos Giakoumakis (7 goals), M. Ozdoev (7 goals), with creative support from A. Zivkovic (9 assists), Taison (6 assists), M. Ozdoev (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 11 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Olympiakos Piraeus Analysis

Olympiakos Piraeus arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 61 points after 28 matches. The record of 18 wins, 7 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 47:12 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. El Kaabi (17 goals), M. Taremi (10 goals), Chiquinho (4 goals), with creative support from Chiquinho (5 assists), D. Podence (5 assists), F. Ortega (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, PAOK won 6 times, Olympiakos Piraeus won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:25 from PAOK's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.7%)
Predicted formations: PAOK 4-2-3-1 / Olympiakos Piraeus 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: PAOK wins 6, draws 2, Olympiakos Piraeus wins 7
Stats
PAOK PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
5
3 Corner Kicks 9
12 Fouls 7
3 Offsides 3
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Goal 5
1 Shots off Goal 7
0 Blocked Shots 5
5 Shots insidebox 11
2 Shots outsidebox 6
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
371 Total passes 426
254 Passes accurate 323
1.95 expected_goals 2.28
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

PAOK
Formation
Olympiakos Piraeus
J. Pavlenka
J. Pavlenka
J. Kenny
J. Kenny
T. Kedziora
T. Kedziora
G. Michailidis
G. Michailidis
A. R. Baba
A. R. Baba
C. Zafeiris
C. Zafeiris
S. Meite
S. Meite
A. Zivkovic
🎯
A. Zivkovic
G. Konstantelias
🎯
G. Konstantelias
Taison
Taison
A. Jeremejeff
⚽ 2
A. Jeremejeff
K. Tzolakis
K. Tzolakis
Costinha
Costinha
P. Retsos
P. Retsos
L. Pirola
L. Pirola
F. Ortega
F. Ortega
D. Garcia
D. Garcia
S. Hezze
S. Hezze
Rodinei
Rodinei
Chiquinho
🎯
Chiquinho
G. Martins
G. Martins
A. El Kaabi
A. El Kaabi
PAOK 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Pavlenka
G
3
J. Kenny
D
16
T. Kedziora
D
5
G. Michailidis
D
21
A. R. Baba
D
20
C. Zafeiris
↓ 90+2' 🟨 45'
M
8
S. Meite
↓ 77'
M
14
A. Zivkovic
⚽ 55' 🎯 65'
M
65
G. Konstantelias
🎯 55' ↓ 87'
M
11
Taison
↓ 77'
M
19
A. Jeremejeff
⚽ 15' ⚽ 65' ↓ 87'
F
Substitutes
99
A. Tsiftsis
G
41
D. Monastirlis
G
27
M. Ozdoev
↑ 77'
M
23
J. Sastre
D
97
D. Bataoulas
D
10
D. Pelkas
↑ 77'
M
4
A. Vogliacco
D
18
L. Ivanusec
↑ 87'
F
35
J. Sanchez
D
32
G. Taylor
D
22
A. Bianco
↑ 90+2'
M
56
A. Mythou
↑ 87'
F
Olympiakos Piraeus 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
88
K. Tzolakis
G
20
Costinha
D
45
P. Retsos
↓ 90'
D
5
L. Pirola
D
3
F. Ortega
🟨 43'
D
14
D. Garcia
↓ 71'
M
32
S. Hezze
M
23
Rodinei
↓ 71'
M
22
Chiquinho
🎯 29' ↓ 90'
M
10
G. Martins
↓ 81'
M
9
A. El Kaabi
⚽ 29'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Paschalakis
G
61
G. Kouraklis
G
21
R. Vezo
D
56
D. Podence
↑ 71'
F
99
M. Taremi
↑ 90'
F
97
Y. Yazici
F
4
G. Biancone
↑ 90'
D
17
Andre Luiz
↑ 81'
F
16
L. Scipioni
M
96
C. Mouzakitis
↑ 71'
M
8
D. Nascimento
M
6
A. Kalogeropoulos
D
Last matches: PAOK
17.05.26
Sup
PAOK
Panathinaikos
2
2
D
13.05.26
Sup
PAOK
AEK Athens FC
1
1
D
10.05.26
Sup
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
19.04.26
Sup
PAOK
AEK Athens FC
0
3
L
05.04.26
Sup
PAOK
Panathinaikos
0
0
D
22.03.26
Sup
PAOK
Volos NFC
1
2
L
15.03.26
Sup
PAOK
Levadiakos
3
0
W
08.03.26
Sup
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
0
D
04.03.26
Sup
PAOK
Kifisia
4
1
W
01.03.26
Sup
PAOK
Asteras Tripolis
2
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
PAOK
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
22.02.26
Sup
PAOK
Larisa
1
1
D
19.02.26
UEF
PAOK
Celta Vigo
1
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
PAOK
AEK Athens FC
0
0
D
08.02.26
Sup
PAOK
Aris Thessalonikis
0
0
D
01.02.26
Sup
PAOK
Panserraikos
4
1
W
29.01.26
UEF
PAOK
Lyon
2
4
L
22.01.26
UEF
PAOK
Real Betis
2
0
W
18.01.26
Sup
PAOK
OFI
3
0
W
10.01.26
Sup
PAOK
Panetolikos
3
0
W
Last matches: Olympiakos Piraeus
17.05.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
1
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
1
1
D
19.04.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
2
0
W
05.04.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
0
1
L
22.03.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Larisa
0
0
D
14.03.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
OFI
3
0
W
08.03.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
0
0
D
01.03.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panserraikos
2
1
W
24.02.26
UEF
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
0
0
D
21.02.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panetolikos
2
0
W
18.02.26
UEF
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
0
2
L
14.02.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Levadiakos
0
0
D
08.02.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
0
1
L
04.02.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Asteras Tripolis
3
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
1
1
D
28.01.26
UEF
Olympiakos Piraeus
Ajax
2
1
W
24.01.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Volos NFC
1
0
W
20.01.26
UEF
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
2
0
W
10.01.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Atromitos
2
0
W
H2H: PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus
10.05.26
H2H
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
1
1
D
03.05.26
H2H
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
3
1
W
08.03.26
H2H
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
0
0
D
14.01.26
H2H
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
0
2
W
05.10.25
H2H
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
1
W
04.05.25
H2H
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
4
2
L
06.04.25
H2H
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
1
W
23.02.25
H2H
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
2
1
L
10.11.24
H2H
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
3
L
12.05.24
H2H
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
0
W
21.04.24
H2H
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
2
1
L
18.02.24
H2H
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
4
L
05.11.23
H2H
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
2
4
W
14.05.23
H2H
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
1
L
05.04.23
H2H
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
3
1
L
Last matches: PAOK
13.05.26
Sup
PAOK
AEK Athens FC
1
1
D
05.04.26
Sup
PAOK
Panathinaikos
0
0
D
15.03.26
Sup
PAOK
Levadiakos
3
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
PAOK
Asteras Tripolis
2
0
W
19.02.26
UEF
PAOK
Celta Vigo
1
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
PAOK
AEK Athens FC
0
0
D
01.02.26
Sup
PAOK
Panserraikos
4
1
W
22.01.26
UEF
PAOK
Real Betis
2
0
W
18.01.26
Sup
PAOK
OFI
3
0
W
21.12.25
Sup
PAOK
Panathinaikos
2
0
W
07.12.25
Sup
PAOK
Aris Thessalonikis
3
1
W
27.11.25
UEF
PAOK
Brann
1
1
D
23.11.25
Sup
PAOK
Kifisia
3
0
W
06.11.25
UEF
PAOK
BSC Young Boys
4
0
W
26.10.25
Sup
PAOK
Volos NFC
3
0
W
05.10.25
Sup
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
1
W
24.09.25
UEF
PAOK
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0
0
D
20.09.25
Sup
PAOK
Panetolikos
0
0
D
31.08.25
Sup
PAOK
Atromitos
1
0
W
28.08.25
UEF
PAOK
HNK Rijeka
5
0
W
H2H at home: PAOK
03.05.26
H2H
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
3
1
W
05.10.25
H2H
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
1
W
06.04.25
H2H
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
1
W
10.11.24
H2H
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
3
L
12.05.24
H2H
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
0
W
18.02.24
H2H
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
4
L
14.05.23
H2H
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
1
L
Last matches: Olympiakos Piraeus
17.05.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
2
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
OFI
3
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panserraikos
2
1
W
24.02.26
UEF
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
0
0
D
14.02.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Levadiakos
0
0
D
04.02.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Asteras Tripolis
3
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
1
1
D
28.01.26
UEF
Olympiakos Piraeus
Ajax
2
1
W
10.01.26
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Atromitos
2
0
W
14.12.25
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Aris Thessalonikis
0
0
D
09.12.25
UEF
Olympiakos Piraeus
Kairat Almaty
1
0
W
30.11.25
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panetolikos
1
0
W
09.11.25
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Kifisia
3
1
W
21.10.25
UEF
Olympiakos Piraeus
Barcelona
1
6
L
18.10.25
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Larisa
2
0
W
05.10.25
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
1
2
L
01.10.25
UEF
Olympiakos Piraeus
Arsenal
0
2
L
21.09.25
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
1
1
D
30.08.25
Sup
Olympiakos Piraeus
Volos NFC
2
0
W
H2H away: Olympiakos Piraeus
03.05.26
H2H
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
3
1
L
05.10.25
H2H
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
1
L
06.04.25
H2H
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
1
L
10.11.24
H2H
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
3
W
12.05.24
H2H
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
0
L
18.02.24
H2H
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
4
W
14.05.23
H2H
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
1
W

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 6 2 49:17 32 60
D D W D W
2 26 17 7 2 45:11 34 58
D W D L W
3
PAOK Home
26 17 6 3 52:17 35 57
D D D W L
4 26 14 7 5 44:26 18 49
D L L D L
5 26 12 6 8 51:37 14 42
L W W W L
6 26 10 2 14 34:45 -11 32
W L L L W
7 26 9 4 13 26:38 -12 31
L L L L L
8 26 6 12 8 20:27 -7 30
W W W W W
9 26 7 8 11 26:30 -4 29
W L W L L
10 26 6 9 11 32:42 -10 27
W D L W W
11 26 7 5 14 24:38 -14 26
L D D W L
12 26 4 11 11 22:39 -17 23
L W D D D
13 26 4 5 17 16:55 -39 17
L D L L D
14 26 3 8 15 22:41 -19 17
W D W D W