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GREECE › SUPER LEAGUE 1
18.10.2026 18:00
Toumba Stadium
Referee: Vassilis Fotias

PAOK vs Iraklis 1908 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.63
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66%
1.25 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
2.20 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.63 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
77.4%
1.26 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.83 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
PAOK Win 66%
Draw 4.8%
Iraklis 1908 Win 29.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
PAOK1.79
Iraklis 19081.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
PAOK PAOK
WWDLW
36 GF / 24 GA
Iraklis 1908 Iraklis 1908
WLDWL
8 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.25
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
11
BTTS Yes
4
12
Over 2.5
1
3.33
Shots on Goal
1.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

PAOK PAOK 16 matches
Iraklis 1908 Iraklis 1908 9 matches
PAOK Statistic Iraklis 1908
9 Wins 2
1 Draws 5
6 Losses 2
36 Goals For 8
24 Goals Against 10
2.25 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
11 BTTS Yes 4
15 Over 1.5 8
12 Over 2.5 1
11 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 3
3.33 Shots On Goal 1.83
8.58 Total Shots 8.17
3.33 Corners 2.5
40.8% Ball Possession 43.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around PAOK's more proactive style and Iraklis 1908's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Iraklis 1908. PAOK come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with PAOK expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Iraklis 1908 in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Iraklis 1908 having the stronger overall control. PAOK arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 12 points compared to Iraklis 1908 in 8 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

PAOK Analysis

PAOK come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 12 points after 5 matches. With 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 12:5, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by D. Pelkas (3 goals), A. Živković (2 goals), C. Ndiaye (2 goals), with creative support from A. Živković (2 assists), T. Ali (1 assists), O. Ugresić (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Iraklis 1908 Analysis

So far, Iraklis 1908 have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 6 points from 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 4:6 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Nanu (1 goals), Ivi López (1 goals), Pedro Marques (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: PAOK 4-2-3-1 / Iraklis 1908 5-4-1

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 0 1 12:3 9 15
L W W W W
2 6 4 2 0 16:3 13 14
W W D W D
3 6 4 1 1 5:2 3 13
W W L D W
4
PAOK Home
6 4 0 2 13:8 5 12
L W W L W
5 6 3 1 2 8:12 -4 10
W D L L W
6 6 3 1 2 8:7 1 10
L D W W L
7 6 2 3 1 6:6 0 9
W D D W D
8 6 3 0 3 8:9 -1 9
L L L W W
9 6 2 2 2 6:7 -1 8
W W D L L
10 6 2 1 3 9:9 0 7
W L W D L
11 6 1 2 3 6:10 -4 5
W D D L L
12 6 0 2 4 5:9 -4 2
L L D D L
13 7 0 2 5 0:11 -11 2
D L L D L
14 7 0 3 4 6:12 -6 0
D L L L D
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