PAOK vs AEK Athens FC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
86.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
32.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
PAOK
AEK Athens FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
PAOK
44 matches
AEK Athens FC
46 matches
| PAOK | Statistic | AEK Athens FC |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wins | 30 |
| 12 | Draws | 11 |
| 9 | Losses | 5 |
| 80 | Goals For | 85 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.85 |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.76 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 22 | Clean Sheets | 24 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.57 | Shots On Goal | 4.76 |
| 12.05 | Total Shots | 14.35 |
| 4.73 | Corners | 5.15 |
| 54.1% | Ball Possession | 51.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring AEK Athens FC. AEK Athens FC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with PAOK expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and AEK Athens FC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AEK Athens FC having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Placed 2 with 62 points from 30 outings, PAOK continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 18 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 56:22 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by G. Konstantelias (8 goals), Giorgos Giakoumakis (7 goals), M. Ozdoev (7 goals), with creative support from A. Zivkovic (10 assists), Taison (6 assists), M. Ozdoev (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
AEK Athens FC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 70 points after 30 outings. They have recorded 21 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, with a 55:18 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Luka Jović (16 goals), B. Varga (5 goals), Orbelín Pineda (5 goals), with creative support from R. Marin (7 assists), Lazaros Rota (5 assists), Robert Ljubičić (4 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, PAOK won 5 times, AEK Athens FC won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from PAOK's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AEK Athens FC
Away
|
26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 49:17 | 32 | 60 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
| 2 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 45:11 | 34 | 58 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 |
PAOK
Home
|
26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 52:17 | 35 | 57 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
| 4 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 44:26 | 18 | 49 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 51:37 | 14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 32 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:38 | -12 | 31 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 20:27 | -7 | 30 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 29 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 32:42 | -10 | 27 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 24:38 | -14 | 26 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 22:39 | -17 | 23 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16:55 | -39 | 17 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
W
D
W
D
W
|